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The LabThe fingerprint of every playbook

Jacksonville JaguarsScheme DNA

Slowest tempo, least rpo rate in the league. Their closest twin is Colts (70% alike), then 49ers and Falcons. 463 offensive snaps read, 463 of them charted.

Pass rate over expected: −2.8% (36th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 52.1% (71th percentile)Shotgun rate: 54.2% (23th percentile)No-huddle rate: 3.2% (13th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 65.7% (84th percentile)Play action: 23.7% (61th percentile)Screen rate: 9.6% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 1.9% (10th percentile)Deep shots: 10.6% (48th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.2% (52th percentile)Outside runs: 26.5% (81th percentile)Tempo: 39.5s (3th percentile)
Tempo39.5s3th percentile · league 38.0s
RPO rate1.9%10th percentile · league 5.2%
Pre-snap motion65.7%84th percentile · league 58.8%
Shotgun rate54.2%23th percentile · league 61.5%

Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: tempo (39.5s, 3th percentile), rpo rate (1.9%, 10th percentile), pre-snap motion (65.7%, 84th percentile).

How to read this chart
The flower:
each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
The bars:
the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense

The playbook

Pass rate over expected: −2.8% (36th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 52.1% (71th percentile)Shotgun rate: 54.2% (23th percentile)No-huddle rate: 3.2% (13th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 65.7% (84th percentile)Play action: 23.7% (61th percentile)Screen rate: 9.6% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 1.9% (10th percentile)Deep shots: 10.6% (48th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.2% (52th percentile)Outside runs: 26.5% (81th percentile)Tempo: 39.5s (3th percentile)PROEEarly passShotgunNo-huddleMotionPlay actionScreensRPODeep shotsMiddleEdge runsTempo
Pass rate over expected−2.8%36
Early-down pass rate52.1%71
Shotgun rate54.2%23
No-huddle rate3.2%13
Pre-snap motion65.7%84
Play action23.7%61
Screen rate9.6%55
RPO rate1.9%10
Deep shots10.6%48
Middle of the field21.2%52
Outside runs26.5%81
Tempo39.5s3
Defense

The defense

Blitz rate: 31.3% (55th percentile)Five-plus rushers: 31.3% (55th percentile)Men in the box: 6.80 (90th percentile)Stacked boxes: 21.7% (100th percentile)Pass rate faced: +2.6% (94th percentile)Deep shots allowed: 10.0% (29th percentile)Blitz5+ rushBox8+ boxPass facedDeep allowed
Blitz rate31.3%55
Five-plus rushers31.3%55
Men in the box6.8090
Stacked boxes21.7%100
Pass rate faced+2.6%94
Deep shots allowed10.0%29

Defensive twins: Bills (82%), Texans (79%), Lions (73%).

Twins

Offenses most like theirs

Solid shape: Jaguars · outline: the twin

Bottom lineJaguars and Colts, 70% alike. Both huddle more than most of the league; Jaguars and Colts differ most in tempo (39.5s vs 38.4s) and pass rate over expected (−2.8% vs +2.5%).

How to read this chart
Each card is one twin:
an offense that calls games like Jaguars. The colored shape is Jaguars's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
The %
is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
Pass rate over expected: −2.8% (36th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 52.1% (71th percentile)Shotgun rate: 54.2% (23th percentile)No-huddle rate: 3.2% (13th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 65.7% (84th percentile)Play action: 23.7% (61th percentile)Screen rate: 9.6% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 1.9% (10th percentile)Deep shots: 10.6% (48th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.2% (52th percentile)Outside runs: 26.5% (81th percentile)Tempo: 39.5s (3th percentile)
#1 twinColts70%Both huddle more than most of the league; Jaguars and Colts differ most in tempo (39.5s vs 38.4s) and pass rate over expected (−2.8% vs +2.5%).
Pass rate over expected: −2.8% (36th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 52.1% (71th percentile)Shotgun rate: 54.2% (23th percentile)No-huddle rate: 3.2% (13th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 65.7% (84th percentile)Play action: 23.7% (61th percentile)Screen rate: 9.6% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 1.9% (10th percentile)Deep shots: 10.6% (48th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.2% (52th percentile)Outside runs: 26.5% (81th percentile)Tempo: 39.5s (3th percentile)
#2 twin49ers70%Both run fewer RPOs and move more before the snap than most of the league; Jaguars and 49ers differ most in tempo (39.5s vs 38.0s) and pre-snap motion (65.7% vs 75.6%).
Pass rate over expected: −2.8% (36th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 52.1% (71th percentile)Shotgun rate: 54.2% (23th percentile)No-huddle rate: 3.2% (13th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 65.7% (84th percentile)Play action: 23.7% (61th percentile)Screen rate: 9.6% (55th percentile)RPO rate: 1.9% (10th percentile)Deep shots: 10.6% (48th percentile)Middle of the field: 21.2% (52th percentile)Outside runs: 26.5% (81th percentile)Tempo: 39.5s (3th percentile)
#3 twinFalcons68%Both play slower and line up under center more than most of the league; Jaguars and Falcons differ most in early-down pass rate (52.1% vs 43.9%) and pass rate over expected (−2.8% vs −8.0%).
Run game

Where they run

Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry

Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 23% of runs, +0.12 EPA per carry.

How to read this chart
Seen from behind the offense:
the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
Arrow size
and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
Arrow color
= how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
15%L end−0.10 EPA12%L tackle+0.01 EPA13%L guard+0.12 EPA23%Middle+0.12 EPA12%R guard−0.21 EPA14%R tackle−0.05 EPA12%R end+0.14 EPA
Pass game

Where they throw

Share of targets · EPA per throw

Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short left, 34% of throws, +0.03 EPA per throw.

How to read this chart
The field from the quarterback's eyes:
left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
Each box
shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
10%+1.03 EPA · 2234%+0.03 EPA · 772%+1.23 EPA · 519%+0.62 EPA · 435%+1.31 EPA · 1130%+0.29 EPA · 68← leftright →15 air yards
Formation Tell

What the formation gives away

How to read this chart
Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
The gap between them
is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center25%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun81%pass rate, neutral downs

A 56-point gap: one of the most readable offenses in the league (1 of 32). See all 32 →