Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
Latest
InjuryAlec Anderson: Out → Questionable27 min agoInjuryDion Dawkins: Out → Questionable27 min agoNew York JetsHow Will the Jets Approach the NFL's Trade Deadline?New York JetsMore Amazing Facts from David Bailey's Performance in Kansas CityPro Football RumorsVikings Expected To Explore QB TradeESPNFantasy buzz: James Cook III helps Bills overcome tough Vikings defenseDetroit LionsTWENTYMAN: 5 stats that stand out following Lions' Week 9 victoryESPNSeven things Solak thinks for NFL Week 10: Jaguars trades, All-Pro picks, morePittsburgh SteelersAsked and Answered: Nov. 10ESPNCommanders running low on time to 'put it all together'New York GiantsGiants Now: Michael Strahan offers high praise of Arvell ReesePhiladelphia EaglesAAA Official Review: What did the Eagles, Joe Milton learn from the QB's first start?Buffalo Bills'There's no panic' | The Bills stay strong through early struggles and injuries in MNF win over the Minnesota VikingsESPNVikings left at QB crossroads after Carson Wentz's poor MNF showing vs. BillsBroncos DeskBroncos are 7-2, but the snaps say 4.1 wins and the 11th seed in the conference7 h agoInjuryByron Murphy Jr.: Active → Cleared7 h agoMinnesota VikingsVikings Defense Limits Bills Below AveragesMinnesota VikingsO'Connell: Vikings Have to 'Improve Offensively at Rapid Pace'InjuryBlake Cashman: Active → Cleared8 h agoVikings DeskVikings go 0-for-8 on third down and never get a receiver open in a 23-6 loss to Bills8 h agoInjuryWill Reichard: Active → Cleared8 h agoBills DeskJosh Allen's picks and sacks didn't matter: Bills force three turnovers in Minneapolis8 h ago
WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabThe fingerprint of every playbook

New York GiantsScheme DNA

Least pre-snap motion, most deep shots in the league. Their closest twin is Commanders (66% alike), then Cardinals and Texans. 501 offensive snaps read, 438 of them charted.

Pass rate over expected: −8.5% (7th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 44.2% (13th percentile)Shotgun rate: 60.7% (45th percentile)No-huddle rate: 7.0% (61th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 46.8% (7th percentile)Play action: 20.3% (23th percentile)Screen rate: 5.6% (13th percentile)RPO rate: 3.4% (29th percentile)Deep shots: 15.5% (90th percentile)Middle of the field: 23.4% (71th percentile)Outside runs: 23.4% (52th percentile)Tempo: 38.7s (19th percentile)
Pre-snap motion46.8%7th percentile · league 59.0%
Deep shots15.5%90th percentile · league 11.5%
Pass rate over expected−8.5%7th percentile · league −2.3%
Early-down pass rate44.2%13th percentile · league 50.6%

Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: pre-snap motion (46.8%, 7th percentile), deep shots (15.5%, 90th percentile), pass rate over expected (−8.5%, 7th percentile).

How to read this chart
The flower:
each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
The bars:
the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense

The playbook

Pass rate over expected: −8.5% (7th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 44.2% (13th percentile)Shotgun rate: 60.7% (45th percentile)No-huddle rate: 7.0% (61th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 46.8% (7th percentile)Play action: 20.3% (23th percentile)Screen rate: 5.6% (13th percentile)RPO rate: 3.4% (29th percentile)Deep shots: 15.5% (90th percentile)Middle of the field: 23.4% (71th percentile)Outside runs: 23.4% (52th percentile)Tempo: 38.7s (19th percentile)PROEEarly passShotgunNo-huddleMotionPlay actionScreensRPODeep shotsMiddleEdge runsTempo
Pass rate over expected−8.5%7
Early-down pass rate44.2%13
Shotgun rate60.7%45
No-huddle rate7.0%61
Pre-snap motion46.8%7
Play action20.3%23
Screen rate5.6%13
RPO rate3.4%29
Deep shots15.5%90
Middle of the field23.4%71
Outside runs23.4%52
Tempo38.7s19
Defense

The defense

Blitz rate: 40.6% (90th percentile)Five-plus rushers: 40.6% (90th percentile)Men in the box: 6.85 (100th percentile)Stacked boxes: 15.3% (90th percentile)Pass rate faced: −4.9% (7th percentile)Deep shots allowed: 11.9% (65th percentile)Blitz5+ rushBox8+ boxPass facedDeep allowed
Blitz rate40.6%90
Five-plus rushers40.6%90
Men in the box6.85100
Stacked boxes15.3%90
Pass rate faced−4.9%7
Deep shots allowed11.9%65

Defensive twins: Bears (86%), Buccaneers (82%), Bills (81%).

Twins

Offenses most like theirs

Solid shape: Giants · outline: the twin

Bottom lineGiants and Commanders, 66% alike. Both take more deep shots and throw fewer screens than most of the league; Giants and Commanders differ most in shotgun rate (60.7% vs 72.4%) and pass rate over expected (−8.5% vs −2.0%).

How to read this chart
Each card is one twin:
an offense that calls games like Giants. The colored shape is Giants's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
The %
is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
Pass rate over expected: −8.5% (7th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 44.2% (13th percentile)Shotgun rate: 60.7% (45th percentile)No-huddle rate: 7.0% (61th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 46.8% (7th percentile)Play action: 20.3% (23th percentile)Screen rate: 5.6% (13th percentile)RPO rate: 3.4% (29th percentile)Deep shots: 15.5% (90th percentile)Middle of the field: 23.4% (71th percentile)Outside runs: 23.4% (52th percentile)Tempo: 38.7s (19th percentile)
#1 twinCommanders66%Both take more deep shots and throw fewer screens than most of the league; Giants and Commanders differ most in shotgun rate (60.7% vs 72.4%) and pass rate over expected (−8.5% vs −2.0%).
Pass rate over expected: −8.5% (7th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 44.2% (13th percentile)Shotgun rate: 60.7% (45th percentile)No-huddle rate: 7.0% (61th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 46.8% (7th percentile)Play action: 20.3% (23th percentile)Screen rate: 5.6% (13th percentile)RPO rate: 3.4% (29th percentile)Deep shots: 15.5% (90th percentile)Middle of the field: 23.4% (71th percentile)Outside runs: 23.4% (52th percentile)Tempo: 38.7s (19th percentile)
#2 twinCardinals63%Both throw fewer screens and run fewer RPOs than most of the league; Giants and Cardinals differ most in pre-snap motion (46.8% vs 60.3%) and deep shots (15.5% vs 11.1%).
Pass rate over expected: −8.5% (7th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 44.2% (13th percentile)Shotgun rate: 60.7% (45th percentile)No-huddle rate: 7.0% (61th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 46.8% (7th percentile)Play action: 20.3% (23th percentile)Screen rate: 5.6% (13th percentile)RPO rate: 3.4% (29th percentile)Deep shots: 15.5% (90th percentile)Middle of the field: 23.4% (71th percentile)Outside runs: 23.4% (52th percentile)Tempo: 38.7s (19th percentile)
#3 twinTexans62%Both take more deep shots and throw fewer screens than most of the league; Giants and Texans differ most in early-down pass rate (44.2% vs 55.2%) and pass rate over expected (−8.5% vs −0.3%).
Run game

Where they run

Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry

Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 29% of runs, -0.12 EPA per carry.

How to read this chart
Seen from behind the offense:
the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
Arrow size
and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
Arrow color
= how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
13%L end+0.17 EPA14%L tackle−0.17 EPA15%L guard−0.17 EPA29%Middle−0.12 EPA11%R guard+0.01 EPA7%R tackle−0.56 EPA11%R end−0.00 EPA
Pass game

Where they throw

Share of targets · EPA per throw

Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short left, 32% of throws, -0.01 EPA per throw.

How to read this chart
The field from the quarterback's eyes:
left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
Each box
shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
9%+1.02 EPA · 2232%−0.01 EPA · 815%−0.41 EPA · 1219%+0.42 EPA · 4710%+0.24 EPA · 2426%+0.24 EPA · 66← leftright →15 air yards
Formation Tell

What the formation gives away

How to read this chart
Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
The gap between them
is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center28%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun73%pass rate, neutral downs

A 46-point gap: one of the most readable offenses in the league (8 of 32). See all 32 →