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The LabThe fingerprint of every playbook

Los Angeles ChargersScheme DNA

Most outside runs, least pass rate over expected in the league. Their closest twin is Ravens (62% alike), then Buccaneers and Seahawks. 497 offensive snaps read, 497 of them charted.

Pass rate over expected: −12.4% (0th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 40.2% (3th percentile)Shotgun rate: 67.2% (74th percentile)No-huddle rate: 4.8% (45th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 72.8% (94th percentile)Play action: 25.0% (74th percentile)Screen rate: 11.0% (74th percentile)RPO rate: 2.8% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 10.8% (52th percentile)Middle of the field: 20.7% (45th percentile)Outside runs: 37.8% (97th percentile)Tempo: 37.3s (77th percentile)
Outside runs37.8%97th percentile · league 23.4%
Pass rate over expected−12.4%0th percentile · league −2.3%
Early-down pass rate40.2%3th percentile · league 50.6%
Pre-snap motion72.8%94th percentile · league 58.8%

Bottom lineTheir loudest habits: outside runs (37.8%, 97th percentile), pass rate over expected (−12.4%, 0th percentile), early-down pass rate (40.2%, 3th percentile).

How to read this chart
The flower:
each petal is one play-calling habit, labeled around the edge. Petal length is the team's rank among the 32 (long = does it more than most; for tempo, long = fast). The dashed ring is the league middle.
The bars:
the same habits as a list: the bar is the rank (the tick in the middle is the league middle), then the real value and the percentile (90 = more than 90% of teams). Jargon: pass rate over expected = how much more or less they throw than the situation predicts; RPO = run-pass option; men in the box = defenders near the line against the run.
Offense

The playbook

Pass rate over expected: −12.4% (0th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 40.2% (3th percentile)Shotgun rate: 67.2% (74th percentile)No-huddle rate: 4.8% (45th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 72.8% (94th percentile)Play action: 25.0% (74th percentile)Screen rate: 11.0% (74th percentile)RPO rate: 2.8% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 10.8% (52th percentile)Middle of the field: 20.7% (45th percentile)Outside runs: 37.8% (97th percentile)Tempo: 37.3s (77th percentile)PROEEarly passShotgunNo-huddleMotionPlay actionScreensRPODeep shotsMiddleEdge runsTempo
Pass rate over expected−12.4%0
Early-down pass rate40.2%3
Shotgun rate67.2%74
No-huddle rate4.8%45
Pre-snap motion72.8%94
Play action25.0%74
Screen rate11.0%74
RPO rate2.8%23
Deep shots10.8%52
Middle of the field20.7%45
Outside runs37.8%97
Tempo37.3s77
Defense

The defense

Blitz rate: 24.7% (23th percentile)Five-plus rushers: 24.7% (23th percentile)Men in the box: 6.55 (45th percentile)Stacked boxes: 9.3% (65th percentile)Pass rate faced: −3.1% (42th percentile)Deep shots allowed: 9.4% (19th percentile)Blitz5+ rushBox8+ boxPass facedDeep allowed
Blitz rate24.7%23
Five-plus rushers24.7%23
Men in the box6.5545
Stacked boxes9.3%65
Pass rate faced−3.1%42
Deep shots allowed9.4%19

Defensive twins: Rams (89%), Dolphins (86%), Broncos (85%).

Twins

Offenses most like theirs

Solid shape: Chargers · outline: the twin

Bottom lineChargers and Ravens, 62% alike. Both run outside more and run more on early downs than most of the league; Chargers and Ravens differ most in pass rate over expected (−12.4% vs −5.1%) and tempo (37.3s vs 38.8s).

How to read this chart
Each card is one twin:
an offense that calls games like Chargers. The colored shape is Chargers's fingerprint, the white outline the twin's. Where the two match, the habits match.
The %
is how alike the two are across all offensive habits: 100% would be identical, 0% the most different pair in the league.
Pass rate over expected: −12.4% (0th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 40.2% (3th percentile)Shotgun rate: 67.2% (74th percentile)No-huddle rate: 4.8% (45th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 72.8% (94th percentile)Play action: 25.0% (74th percentile)Screen rate: 11.0% (74th percentile)RPO rate: 2.8% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 10.8% (52th percentile)Middle of the field: 20.7% (45th percentile)Outside runs: 37.8% (97th percentile)Tempo: 37.3s (77th percentile)
#1 twinRavens62%Both run outside more and run more on early downs than most of the league; Chargers and Ravens differ most in pass rate over expected (−12.4% vs −5.1%) and tempo (37.3s vs 38.8s).
Pass rate over expected: −12.4% (0th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 40.2% (3th percentile)Shotgun rate: 67.2% (74th percentile)No-huddle rate: 4.8% (45th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 72.8% (94th percentile)Play action: 25.0% (74th percentile)Screen rate: 11.0% (74th percentile)RPO rate: 2.8% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 10.8% (52th percentile)Middle of the field: 20.7% (45th percentile)Outside runs: 37.8% (97th percentile)Tempo: 37.3s (77th percentile)
#2 twinBuccaneers60%Both throw less than the situation predicts and run more on early downs than most of the league; Chargers and Buccaneers differ most in outside runs (37.8% vs 25.2%) and tempo (37.3s vs 38.9s).
Pass rate over expected: −12.4% (0th percentile)Early-down pass rate: 40.2% (3th percentile)Shotgun rate: 67.2% (74th percentile)No-huddle rate: 4.8% (45th percentile)Pre-snap motion: 72.8% (94th percentile)Play action: 25.0% (74th percentile)Screen rate: 11.0% (74th percentile)RPO rate: 2.8% (23th percentile)Deep shots: 10.8% (52th percentile)Middle of the field: 20.7% (45th percentile)Outside runs: 37.8% (97th percentile)Tempo: 37.3s (77th percentile)
#3 twinSeahawks54%Both run outside more and run more on early downs than most of the league; Chargers and Seahawks differ most in pre-snap motion (72.8% vs 52.3%) and shotgun rate (67.2% vs 50.6%).
Run game

Where they run

Arrow size = share of carries · color = EPA per carry

Bottom lineTheir favorite lane: middle, 32% of runs, -0.30 EPA per carry.

How to read this chart
Seen from behind the offense:
the line at the bottom is the line of scrimmage, with seven running lanes from the left end to the right end.
Arrow size
and the % above it = share of the team's runs that go there.
Arrow color
= how well those runs work, in EPA per carry (expected points added: above zero helps the offense). Green works, grey is average, red hurts.
19%L end−0.26 EPA8%L tackle−0.01 EPA9%L guard−0.10 EPA32%Middle−0.30 EPA7%R guard−0.35 EPA6%R tackle+0.23 EPA19%R end−0.21 EPA
Pass game

Where they throw

Share of targets · EPA per throw

Bottom lineMost targeted zone: short right, 41% of throws, -0.30 EPA per throw.

How to read this chart
The field from the quarterback's eyes:
left, middle and right; the bottom row is short throws, the top row deep throws.
Each box
shows the share of throws that go there (more solid = more throws) and its color the EPA per throw: green helps the offense, grey is average, red hurts.
6%+0.72 EPA · 1524%+0.09 EPA · 583%−0.36 EPA · 817%−0.01 EPA · 428%−0.11 EPA · 2041%−0.30 EPA · 98← leftright →15 air yards
Formation Tell

What the formation gives away

How to read this chart
Two dots on one line from 0% to 100%:
how often they throw when the quarterback is under center, and how often from shotgun, on neutral downs.
The gap between them
is what a defense learns from the formation alone: a wide gap means the alignment tips run or pass.
Under center32%pass rate, neutral downs
Shotgun60%pass rate, neutral downs

A 28-point gap: one of the hardest to read offenses in the league (32 of 32). See all 32 →