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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 8 · 2026Bears 34 · 17 Seahawks

148 plays, one strand. Bears won without the lead ever changing hands; Bears peaked at 100% to win, Seahawks at 56%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for SEA, down for CHI, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Bears peaked at 100% to win, Seahawks at 56%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Seahawks win, play by play. High = SEA in control, low = CHI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for SEA on offense, down for CHI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Seahawks ↑Bears ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDFUMTDTDINTTDSEA ↑ HOMECHI ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CHI on the left, SEA on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CHISEA
69Plays57
364Yards254
5Explosive plays4
4Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers1
100%Peak win prob.56%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
SEAPunt5yCHITD80ySEAPunt2yCHIPunt8ySEAFG45yCHIPunt4ySEAPunt2yCHIFG47ySEAPunt5yCHIFG55ySEATD55yCHI–14yCHIPunt8ySEAPunt1yCHITD69ySEAFG ✕49yCHIFUM-2ySEATD22yCHITD61ySEAINT9yCHITD8ySEA–59yCHI–12y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.5 expected points for Bears.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 10:58 · CHI · Run

    4-D.Swift right tackle to CHI 49 for 5 yards (13-E.Jones).

    +2.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 0:37 · SEA · Touchdown

    14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 10:38 · CHI · Completion

    18-C.Williams pass short middle to 15-R.Odunze to SEA 25 for 22 yards (28-N.Pritchett) [3-N.Emmanwori].

    +2.3 EP
  4. 4
    Q4 14:13 · SEA · Missed field goal

    5-J.Myers 33 yard field goal is BLOCKED (94-A.Booker), Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

    −3.4 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 13:14 · CHI · Fumble lost

    18-C.Williams pass short right to 84-C.Loveland to CHI 21 for 8 yards (0-D.Lawrence; 29-J.Jobe). FUMBLES (0-D.Lawrence), RECOVERED by SEA-0-

    −2.8 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 9:01 · CHI · Run

    14-K.Raymond right end to SEA 5 for 39 yards (28-N.Pritchett).

    +4.0 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 6:01 · SEA · Interception

    14-S.Darnold pass short middle intended for 88-A.Barner INTERCEPTED by 97-J.Lynch (94-A.Booker) at SEA 22. 97-J.Lynch to SEA 6 for 16 yards

    −5.4 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:21 · SEA · Incomplete

    14-S.Darnold pass incomplete short left to 10-C.Kupp.

    −2.9 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
34@17Week 8Changes the winner

If the Seahawks had stopped that fourth-and-1

Seahawks after the play45%what really happened
SeahawksBearsthe rest never happened

Q1 10:58 4-D.Swift right tackle to CHI 49 for 5 yards (13-E.Jones).

Week 8

The rest of the week

Every week →
Panthers at Packers, Game DNA19@27Cardinals at Cowboys, Game DNA33@30Falcons at Buccaneers, Game DNA0@16Ravens at Bills, Game DNA10@36Browns at Steelers, Game DNA6@27Colts at Jaguars, Game DNA7@42Raiders at Jets, Game DNA38@33Vikings at Lions, Game DNA15@19Titans at Bengals, Game DNA36@43Chargers at Rams, Game DNA9@24Chiefs at Broncos, Game DNA24@28Patriots at Dolphins, Game DNA24@19Eagles at Commanders, Game DNA10@27