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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 8 · 2026Vikings 15 · 19 Lions

139 plays, one strand. Lions won after 4 lead changes; Vikings peaked at 63% to win, Lions at 97%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DET, down for MIN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line4 lead changes; Vikings peaked at 63% to win, Lions at 97%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Lions win, play by play. High = DET in control, low = MIN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for DET on offense, down for MIN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Lions ↑Vikings ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDINTINTTDTDTDDET ↑ HOMEMIN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: MIN on the left, DET on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
MINDET
50Plays67
269Yards386
4Explosive plays7
2Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers1
63%Peak win prob.97%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
MINFG ✕27yDETPunt4yMINPunt16yDETFG72yMINTD51yDETINT2yMINPunt7yDETPunt27yMINPunt-7yDETPunt1yMININT37yDETFG48yDETFG ✕47yMINPunt-12yDETTD72yMIN–59yDETPunt9yMINTD86yDETTD69yMINPunt5yDET–35y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.1 expected points against Vikings.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 13:12 · MIN · Missed field goal

    16-W.Reichard 57 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-19-B.Thorson.

    −4.1 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 4:55 · DET · Completion

    16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 1-J.Williams to MIN 9 for 46 yards (7-B.Murphy). PENALTY on DET-1-J.Williams, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at

    +3.9 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 12:56 · DET · Interception

    16-J.Goff pass short left intended for 1-J.Williams INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Pierre at MIN 46. 23-J.Pierre pushed ob at MIN 46 for no gain (1-J.W

    −3.3 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 1:51 · MIN · Interception

    1-K.Murray pass short left intended for 3-J.Addison INTERCEPTED by 4-D.Reed [93-T.Lacy] at DET 38. 4-D.Reed pushed ob at MIN 30 for 32 yards

    −3.9 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 9:54 · DET · Missed field goal

    39-J.Bates 46 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-49-H.Hatten, Holder-3-J.Fox.

    −3.5 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 4:50 · DET · Touchdown

    0-J.Gibbs up the middle for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.7 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 14:34 · MIN · Incomplete

    1-K.Murray pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Addison (4-D.Reed) [97-A.Hutchinson].

    −3.6 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 10:16 · MIN · Completion

    1-K.Murray pass deep middle to 3-J.Addison to DET 10 for 51 yards (30-K.Dorsey).

    +3.0 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
15@19Week 8

If the Vikings had converted that fourth-and-5

Vikings after the play23%what really happened
LionsVikingsthe rest never happened

Q4 14:34 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Addison (4-D.Reed) [97-A.Hutchinson].

Week 8

The rest of the week

Every week →
Panthers at Packers, Game DNA19@27Cardinals at Cowboys, Game DNA33@30Falcons at Buccaneers, Game DNA0@16Ravens at Bills, Game DNA10@36Browns at Steelers, Game DNA6@27Colts at Jaguars, Game DNA7@42Raiders at Jets, Game DNA38@33Titans at Bengals, Game DNA36@43Chargers at Rams, Game DNA9@24Chiefs at Broncos, Game DNA24@28Patriots at Dolphins, Game DNA24@19Eagles at Commanders, Game DNA10@27Bears at Seahawks, Game DNA34@17