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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 8 · 2026Panthers 19 · 27 Packers

156 plays, one strand. Packers won after 3 lead changes; Panthers peaked at 67% to win, Packers at 99%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for GB, down for CAR, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line3 lead changes; Panthers peaked at 67% to win, Packers at 99%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Packers win, play by play. High = GB in control, low = CAR in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for GB on offense, down for CAR; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Packers ↑Panthers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDFUMTDINTTDTDINTTDFUMGB ↑ HOMECAR ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CAR on the left, GB on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CARGB
70Plays67
258Yards354
2Explosive plays4
2Offensive TDs4
2Turnovers2
67%Peak win prob.99%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
CARFG8yGBPunt7yCARPunt4yGBTD44yCARTD65yGBFUM28yCARPunt1yGBTD86yCARINT2yGBTD48yCARPunt0yGBPunt14yCAR–7yCAR–25yGBTD50yCARFG37yGBINT51yCARPunt14yGBPunt8yCARTD85yGBPunt5yCAR–5yGBPunt13yCARFUM5y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.0 expected points for Packers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 5:12 · GB · Touchdown

    10-J.Love pass short middle to 85-T.Kraft for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.0 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 12:32 · GB · Fumble lost

    10-J.Love pass short left to 9-C.Watson to CAR 42 for 8 yards (21-N.Scott). FUMBLES (21-N.Scott), touched at CAR 40, RECOVERED by CAR-58-B.O

    −3.5 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 9:19 · GB · Completion

    10-J.Love pass deep middle to 9-C.Watson to CAR 26 for 53 yards (24-W.Lee). GB-9-C.Watson was injured during the play. CAR-24-W.Lee was inju

    +3.2 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 5:23 · CAR · Interception

    9-B.Young pass short left intended for 18-J.Coker INTERCEPTED by 59-T.Hopper at CAR 44. 59-T.Hopper to CAR 43 for 1 yard (18-J.Coker).

    −4.4 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 1:51 · GB · Touchdown

    10-J.Love pass deep left to 0-M.Golden for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.5 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 12:22 · CAR · Run

    30-C.Hubbard right end to GB 49 for 1 yard (55-C.McClellan).

    −3.0 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 14:37 · GB · Interception

    10-J.Love pass deep right intended for 0-M.Golden INTERCEPTED by 20-Z.Wheatley at CAR 2. 20-Z.Wheatley to CAR 19 for 17 yards (22-P.Strong).

    −3.5 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 5:45 · CAR · Touchdown

    9-B.Young pass short middle to 18-J.Coker for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.0 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the Panthers had recovered that fumble

Panthers after the play11%what really happened
PackersPanthersthe rest never happened

Q4 4:50 73-J.Williams to GB 22 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by GB-10-J.Love at GB 21. 10-J.Love pass incomplete short right. PENALTY on GB-10-J.Love, Intentional Grounding, 15 yards, enforced at GB 27.

Week 8

The rest of the week