Week 8 · 2026Chargers 9 · 24 Rams
132 plays, one strand. Rams won after 2 lead changes; Chargers peaked at 65% to win, Rams at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAR, down for LAC, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line2 lead changes; Chargers peaked at 65% to win, Rams at 100%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Rams win, play by play. High = LAR in control, low = LAC in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for LAR on offense, down for LAC; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: LAC on the left, LAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.1 expected points against Rams.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 12:12 · LAR · Interception−4.1 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 4-K.Mumpfield INTERCEPTED by 4-T.Still at LA 47. 4-T.Still pushed ob at LA 47 for no gain (4-K.Mum
- 2Q1 7:22 · LAC · Interception−7.1 EP
10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 88-C.Kolar INTERCEPTED by 37-Q.Lake at LA 36. 37-Q.Lake to LAC 19 for 45 yards (1-Q.Johnston). Pe
- 3Q1 3:55 · LAC · Completion+2.1 EP
10-J.Herbert pass short left to 15-L.McConkey to LA 35 for 30 yards (37-Q.Lake).
- 4Q2 0:44 · LAR · Completion+2.2 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 12-P.Nacua to LAC 1 for 13 yards (23-T.Jefferson; 37-I.Waxter).
- 5Q3 4:37 · LAC · Interception−6.7 EP
10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 88-C.Kolar INTERCEPTED by 22-T.McDuffie at LAC 48. 22-T.McDuffie to LAC 22 for 26 yards (1-Q.John
- 6Q3 3:48 · LAR · Touchdown+2.2 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short left to 12-P.Nacua for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 7Q3 1:52 · LAC · Sack−2.5 EP
10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 26 for -11 yards (47-W.Bailey). FUMBLES (47-W.Bailey) [47-W.Bailey], touched at LAC 20, ball out of bounds at LAC
- 8Q4 6:42 · LAC · Completion−2.8 EP
10-J.Herbert pass short right to 86-O.Gadsden to LA 17 for 7 yards (30-J.Wallace). The ball spot was assisted by replay.
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If that interception had fallen incomplete
Q1 7:22 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 88-C.Kolar INTERCEPTED by 37-Q.Lake at LA 36. 37-Q.Lake to LAC 19 for 45 yards (1-Q.Johnston). Penalty on LAC-15-L.McConkey, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.