Week 8 · 2026Cardinals 33 · 30 Cowboys
171 plays, one strand. Cardinals won without the lead ever changing hands; Cardinals peaked at 90% to win, Cowboys at 96%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DAL, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Cardinals peaked at 90% to win, Cowboys at 96%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Cowboys win, play by play. High = DAL in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for DAL on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: ARI on the left, DAL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.0 expected points against Cowboys.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 11:00 · DAL · Run−4.0 EP
33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 30 for -2 yards (1-Ma.Wilson).
- 2Q1 6:17 · ARI · Run−4.6 EP
4-J.Love up the middle to DAL 1 for no gain (13-C.Downs; 97-K.Clark).
- 3Q1 3:18 · ARI · Interception−6.1 EP
7-J.Brissett pass short middle intended for 84-E.Higgins INTERCEPTED by 50-S.James [7-R.Gary] at ARI 38. 50-S.James pushed ob at ARI 5 for 3
- 4Q3 1:10 · ARI · Touchdown+5.3 EP
22-T.Allgeier up the middle for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 5Q4 14:26 · DAL · Touchdown+2.5 EP
4-D.Prescott scrambles right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 6Q4 14:20 · ARI · Run+3.5 EP
22-T.Allgeier left end to DAL 28 for 52 yards (26-D.Bland).
- 7Q4 10:52 · ARI · Touchdown+2.7 EP
15-G.Minshew pass short left to 22-T.Allgeier for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 8Q4 0:10 · ARI · Touchdown+3.9 EP
15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 14-Mi.Wilson for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 42-yard kick had missed
Q5 2:58 38-C.Ryland 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.