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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 8 · 2026Cardinals 33 · 30 Cowboys

171 plays, one strand. Cardinals won without the lead ever changing hands; Cardinals peaked at 90% to win, Cowboys at 96%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DAL, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Cardinals peaked at 90% to win, Cowboys at 96%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Cowboys win, play by play. High = DAL in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for DAL on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Cowboys ↑Cardinals ↓
Q2Q3Q4OTQ1INTTDTDFUMTDTDTDTDTDDAL ↑ HOMEARI ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: ARI on the left, DAL on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
ARIDAL
75Plays71
467Yards262
7Explosive plays2
4Offensive TDs3
2Turnovers0
90%Peak win prob.96%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
ARIPunt2yDAL–18yARI–24yDALPunt3yARIINT-1yDALTD3yARIPunt28yDALTD85yARIFG56yDALPunt-4yARIFUM27yDALFG ✕4yDALFG80yARIPunt-6yDALPunt1yARITD70yDALTD39yARITD89yDALFG41yARITD53yDALFG-3yARITD80yDAL–0yARIPunt1yDALPunt-5yARIFG44y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.0 expected points against Cowboys.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 11:00 · DAL · Run

    33-J.Williams up the middle to DAL 30 for -2 yards (1-Ma.Wilson).

    −4.0 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 6:17 · ARI · Run

    4-J.Love up the middle to DAL 1 for no gain (13-C.Downs; 97-K.Clark).

    −4.6 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 3:18 · ARI · Interception

    7-J.Brissett pass short middle intended for 84-E.Higgins INTERCEPTED by 50-S.James [7-R.Gary] at ARI 38. 50-S.James pushed ob at ARI 5 for 3

    −6.1 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 1:10 · ARI · Touchdown

    22-T.Allgeier up the middle for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.3 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 14:26 · DAL · Touchdown

    4-D.Prescott scrambles right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.5 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 14:20 · ARI · Run

    22-T.Allgeier left end to DAL 28 for 52 yards (26-D.Bland).

    +3.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 10:52 · ARI · Touchdown

    15-G.Minshew pass short left to 22-T.Allgeier for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.7 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:10 · ARI · Touchdown

    15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 14-Mi.Wilson for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.9 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
33@30Week 8Changes the winner

If the 42-yard kick had missed

Cowboys after the play0%what really happened
CowboysCardinalsthe rest never happened

Q5 2:58 38-C.Ryland 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

Week 8

The rest of the week