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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 8 · 2026Patriots 24 · 19 Dolphins

137 plays, one strand. Patriots won after 2 lead changes; Patriots peaked at 99% to win, Dolphins at 87%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for MIA, down for NE, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line2 lead changes; Patriots peaked at 99% to win, Dolphins at 87%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Dolphins win, play by play. High = MIA in control, low = NE in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for MIA on offense, down for NE; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Dolphins ↑Patriots ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1FUMTDTDTDINTTDTDMIA ↑ HOMENE ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: NE on the left, MIA on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
NEMIA
56Plays61
316Yards269
5Explosive plays3
3Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers1
99%Peak win prob.87%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
MIAPunt9yNEFG35yMIAPunt-2yNEFUM10yMIAFG6yNEPunt12yMIAFG50yNEFG ✕42yMIATD60yNE–-2yNEPunt-1yMIAPunt1yNETD62yMIAPunt5yNETD78yMIAINT11yNETD53yMIAFG ✕45yNEPunt17yMIATD84yNE–10y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.1 expected points against Patriots.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 5:59 · NE · Fumble lost

    10-D.Maye pass short left to 86-E.Chism to NE 18 for 4 yards (10-J.Rodriguez; 19-K.Louis). FUMBLES (10-J.Rodriguez), RECOVERED by MIA-8-J.Br

    −4.1 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 5:04 · NE · Completion

    10-D.Maye pass short middle to 86-E.Chism to MIA 29 for 12 yards (11-D.Trader).

    +2.9 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 2:24 · NE · Missed field goal

    8-A.Borregales 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.

    −3.8 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 0:11 · MIA · Touchdown

    2-M.Willis pass short left to 6-M.Washington for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: MIA-6-M.Washington has returned to the game.

    +2.6 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 9:30 · NE · Touchdown

    10-D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to 18-K.Williams (16-M.Taaffe). New England challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REV

    +3.7 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 12:50 · NE · Touchdown

    10-D.Maye pass deep right to 3-D.Douglas for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.4 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 6:45 · MIA · Missed field goal

    31-Z.Gonzalez 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.

    −3.8 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:10 · MIA · Touchdown

    2-M.Willis pass deep left to 21-K.Coleman for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
24@19Week 8Changes the winner

If the Dolphins had stopped that fourth-and-3

Dolphins after the play47%what really happened
DolphinsPatriotsthe rest never happened

Q2 5:04 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 86-E.Chism to MIA 29 for 12 yards (11-D.Trader).

Week 8

The rest of the week

Every week →
Panthers at Packers, Game DNA19@27Cardinals at Cowboys, Game DNA33@30Falcons at Buccaneers, Game DNA0@16Ravens at Bills, Game DNA10@36Browns at Steelers, Game DNA6@27Colts at Jaguars, Game DNA7@42Raiders at Jets, Game DNA38@33Vikings at Lions, Game DNA15@19Titans at Bengals, Game DNA36@43Chargers at Rams, Game DNA9@24Chiefs at Broncos, Game DNA24@28Eagles at Commanders, Game DNA10@27Bears at Seahawks, Game DNA34@17