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154 plays, one strand. Commanders won after 1 lead change; Eagles peaked at 77% to win, Commanders at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for WSH, down for PHI, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line1 lead change; Eagles peaked at 77% to win, Commanders at 100%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Commanders win, play by play. High = WSH in control, low = PHI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for WSH on offense, down for PHI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Commanders ↑
Eagles ↓The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: PHI on the left, WSH on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.5 expected points against Commanders.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 12:14 · WSH · Missed field goal−2.5 EP
19-D.Stevens 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
- 2Q1 5:34 · WSH · Fumble lost−4.1 EP
5-J.Daniels pass short middle to 85-C.Okonkwo to WAS 21 for 11 yards (24-A.Mukuba). FUMBLES (24-A.Mukuba), RECOVERED by PHI-53-Z.Baun at WAS
- 3Q1 0:33 · WSH · Field goal+2.8 EP
19-D.Stevens 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
- 4Q3 9:20 · WSH · Completion+2.7 EP
5-J.Daniels pass deep left to 85-C.Okonkwo to WAS 29 for 21 yards (24-A.Mukuba) [97-M.Ojomo]. Penalty on PHI-2-T.Woolen, Defensive Holding,
- 5Q3 2:59 · PHI · Fumble lost−4.7 EP
16-T.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (92-D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (92-D.Armstrong), RECOVERED by WAS-90-C.Omenihu at WAS 40.
- 6Q3 2:51 · WSH · Completion+3.3 EP
5-J.Daniels pass deep right to 13-T.Burks to PHI 7 for 53 yards (27-Q.Mitchell). Penalty on PHI-27-Q.Mitchell, Illegal Contact, declined.
- 7Q4 9:01 · PHI · Missed field goal−3.8 EP
4-J.Elliott 41 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-41-R.Underwood, Holder-10-B.Mann.
- 8Q4 2:18 · WSH · Run+2.9 EP
1-R.White left tackle to PHI 4 for 33 yards (24-A.Mukuba).
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 42-yard kick had missed
Q4 3:48 19-D.Stevens 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.
19@27
33@30
0@16
10@36
7@42
36@43
9@24
24@19
34@17