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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 8 · 2026Raiders 38 · 33 Jets

136 plays, one strand. Raiders won after 5 lead changes; Raiders peaked at 93% to win, Jets at 85%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYJ, down for LV, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line5 lead changes; Raiders peaked at 93% to win, Jets at 85%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Jets win, play by play. High = NYJ in control, low = LV in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NYJ on offense, down for LV; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Jets ↑Raiders ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDTDTDTDINTNYJ ↑ HOMELV ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: LV on the left, NYJ on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
LVNYJ
58Plays61
335Yards439
4Explosive plays9
4Offensive TDs3
0Turnovers1
93%Peak win prob.85%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
NYJFG60yLVTD75yNYJFG48yLVPunt-1yNYJTD70yNYJTD65yLV–24yNYJFG33yLVTD63yNYJTD58yLVTD54yNYJPunt17yLVTD84yNYJPunt5yLVPunt6yNYJFG68yLVFG30yNYJINT15y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points for Raiders.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 7:29 · LV · Touchdown

    8-K.Cousins pass short left to 89-B.Bowers for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-2-J.Brownlee, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

    +3.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 7:13 · NYJ · Completion

    7-G.Smith pass deep right to 15-A.Mitchell ran ob at LV 48 for 17 yards.

    +2.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 0:48 · LV · Sack

    8-K.Cousins sacked at LV 31 for -9 yards (9-W.McDonald).

    −2.5 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 14:01 · NYJ · Completion

    7-G.Smith pass deep right to 15-A.Mitchell to NYJ 49 for 20 yards (5-E.Stokes).

    +2.7 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 6:23 · NYJ · Touchdown

    7-G.Smith pass short right to 15-A.Mitchell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.4 EP
  6. 6
    Q2 3:58 · LV · Run

    Direct snap to 34-C.Heyward. 34-C.Heyward up the middle to NYJ 46 for no gain (1-A.Thomas; 56-D.Davis). The Replay Official reviewed the sho

    −2.9 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 15:00 · LV · Completion

    8-K.Cousins pass short left to 2-A.Jeanty to NYJ 13 for 45 yards (44-J.Sherwood; 29-M.Fitzpatrick).

    +3.7 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 6:11 · NYJ · Completion

    7-G.Smith pass deep left to 15-A.Mitchell to LV 13 for 47 yards (31-T.Stukes).

    +3.0 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
38@33Week 8

If the 53-yard kick had missed

Jets after the play10%what really happened
JetsRaidersthe rest never happened

Q4 0:31 14-M.Gay 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-A.Ward, Holder-6-A.Cole.

Week 8

The rest of the week

Every week →
Panthers at Packers, Game DNA19@27Cardinals at Cowboys, Game DNA33@30Falcons at Buccaneers, Game DNA0@16Ravens at Bills, Game DNA10@36Browns at Steelers, Game DNA6@27Colts at Jaguars, Game DNA7@42Vikings at Lions, Game DNA15@19Titans at Bengals, Game DNA36@43Chargers at Rams, Game DNA9@24Chiefs at Broncos, Game DNA24@28Patriots at Dolphins, Game DNA24@19Eagles at Commanders, Game DNA10@27Bears at Seahawks, Game DNA34@17