The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 8 · 2026Falcons 0 · 16 Buccaneers

130 plays, one strand. Buccaneers won without the lead ever changing hands; Falcons peaked at 53% to win, Buccaneers at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for TB, down for ATL, as long as the yards it gained.

Game page Download poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Falcons peaked at 53% to win, Buccaneers at 100%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Buccaneers win, play by play. High = TB in control, low = ATL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for TB on offense, down for ATL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Buccaneers ↑

Falcons ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: ATL on the left, TB on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

ATLTB

52Plays59

224Yards323

2Explosive plays9

0Offensive TDs1

4Turnovers1

53%Peak win prob.100%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

ATLFG ✕35yTBFG29yATLINT0yTBFUM17yATLINT5yTBFG3yATLPunt8yTBPunt14yATLINT30yTBFG65yATL–19yTBPunt18yATL–0yTBPunt5yATLPunt9yTBPunt1yATLPunt6yTBTD90yATLINT28yTBPunt35yATLPunt0yTBPunt-1yATL–84yTB–47y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points against Falcons.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 10:00 · ATL · Missed field goal
6-N.Folk 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
−3.5 EP
2
Q1 7:35 · ATL · Interception
9-M.Penix pass short right intended for 5-D.London INTERCEPTED by 34-A.Anzalone at ATL 41. 34-A.Anzalone to ATL 33 for 8 yards (5-D.London).
−6.4 EP
3
Q1 6:42 · TB · Fumble lost
6-B.Mayfield to ATL 17 for -2 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at ATL 18. 6-B.Mayfield to ATL 16 for 2 yards. Lateral to 7-B.Irving to ATL 1 for
−5.2 EP
4
Q1 5:44 · ATL · Interception
9-M.Penix pass short middle intended for 4-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 34-A.Anzalone at ATL 31. 34-A.Anzalone to ATL 19 for 12 yards (17-Z.Branc
−4.0 EP
5
Q3 1:44 · ATL · Run
9-M.Penix scrambles left end ran ob at TB 39 for 7 yards (25-J.Parrish).
+3.2 EP
6
Q4 13:35 · ATL · Interception
9-M.Penix pass short right intended for 89-C.Woerner INTERCEPTED by 27-Z.McCollum at TB 14. 27-Z.McCollum ran ob at TB 14 for no gain.
−4.4 EP
7
Q4 4:35 · ATL · Completion
9-M.Penix pass deep left to 4-J.Dotson to TB 22 for 76 yards (31-A.Winfield).
+4.6 EP
8
Q4 3:15 · ATL · Incomplete
9-M.Penix pass incomplete short middle to 14-O.Zaccheaus.
−3.2 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

0@16

Week 8Changes the winner

If the 46-yard kick had missed

Falcons after the play34%what really happened

Q1 7:47 4-C.McLaughlin 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-9-R.Dixon.

Week 8

The rest of the week

34@17