Jaguars earned it: the snaps said Jaguars by 14.1, a deserved win probability of 100%.
The swingQ4 0:01 · JAX · +50 pts of win probability. 39-C.Little 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-52-D.Hamilton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Philadelphia Eagles 19-17 on Sun, Oct 11 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London (Week 5, 2026 season). Records after the game: Eagles 2-7, Jaguars 6-2. T.Lawrence (JAX) led all players with +11.2 EPA on 44 dropbacks.
The Jacksonville Jaguars won 19-17. By quarter: PHI 0-14-0-3, JAX 7-0-3-9.
By expected points added: T.Lawrence (JAX, +11.2 EPA on 44 dropbacks), P.Washington (JAX, +10.0 EPA on 9 targets) and D.Cooper (PHI, +6.4 EPA on 3 targets).
The biggest swing in win probability (76 points toward the Jaguars) came in Q4 at 0:00: C.Little 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-D.Hamilton, Holder-L.Cooke.
Pigskin Nightly, “Eagles 17, Jaguars 19: Week 5 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-11-phi-at-jax (updated 2026-11-10).
Jaguars earned it: the snaps said Jaguars by 14.1, a deserved win probability of 100%.
The swingQ4 0:01 · JAX · +50 pts of win probability. 39-C.Little 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-52-D.Hamilton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge
If the 57-yard kick had missed
Q4 0:01 39-C.Little 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-52-D.Hamilton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
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| Passing | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen HurtsQB | 21/40 | 220 | 5.5 | 1 | 0 | 1-10 | 45.4 | 77.1 |
| Rushing | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dameon PierceRB | 11 | 14 | 1.3 | 0 | 6 |
| Will ShipleyRB | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 3 |
| Jalen HurtsQB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Receiving | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius CooperWR | 2 | 3 | 71 | 35.5 | 1 | 62 |
| Dontayvion WicksWR | 5 | 8 | 63 | 12.6 | 0 | 19 |
| Makai LemonWR | 5 | 7 | 43 | 8.6 | 0 | 18 |
| Dallas GoedertTE | 6 | 9 | 38 | 6.3 | 0 | 17 |
| Will ShipleyRB | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 |
| Zach ErtzTE | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Johnny MundtTE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dameon PierceRB | 2 | 5 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Defense | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack BaunLB | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Cooper DeJeanCB | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Riq WoolenCB | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Michael Carter IICB | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenny Moore IICB | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinyon MitchellCB | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jalen CarterDT | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jihaad CampbellLB | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalyx HuntLB | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew MukubaS | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kicking | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake ElliottPK | 1/1 | 100.0 | 48 | 2/2 | 5 |
| Passing | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | SACKS | QBR | RTG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 24/39 | 331 | 8.5 | 2 | 1 | 2-25 | 33.2 | 95.1 |
| Rushing | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 22 | 72 | 3.3 | 0 | 13 |
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 16 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 5 |
| Receiving | REC | TGTS | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 6 | 9 | 124 | 20.7 | 2 | 51 |
| Brenton StrangeTE | 7 | 8 | 68 | 9.7 | 0 | 27 |
| Josh CameronWR | 3 | 6 | 43 | 14.3 | 0 | 32 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 2 | 3 | 37 | 18.5 | 0 | 19 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 18 |
| Nate BoerkircherTE | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 12 |
| Travis HunterWR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Defense | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foyesade OluokunLB | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Travis HunterWR | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Hines-AllenDE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Jourdan LewisCB | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antonio JohnsonS | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Rayuan Lane IIIS | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarrian JonesCB | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ventrell MillerLB | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny StriggowDE | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen McLeodLB | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kicking | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam LittlePK | 2/2 | 100.0 | 57 | 1/2 | 7 |
The Jaguars' run game ranks 5th in EPA per rush (+0.07, 106 rushes) against a Eagles run defense ranked 29th (+0.04 allowed, 110 rushes faced).
5thJAX offense24 spots apart29thPHI defenseThe Jaguars' dropback offense ranks 3rd in EPA per dropback (+0.27, 114 dropbacks) against a Eagles pass defense ranked 22nd (+0.10 allowed, 152 dropbacks faced).
3rdJAX offense19 spots apart22ndPHI defenseThe Jaguars' ball security ranks 4th in turnovers per game (0.5 giveaways a game, 4 games) against a Eagles takeaway defense ranked 27th (0.5 takeaways a game, 4 games).
4thJAX offense23 spots apart27thPHI defenseSmall sample, read with careWhy sample size mattersDropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.
Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.
A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.
Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.
Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.
Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.
Sample: PHI 4 games, 228 offensive and 262 defensive plays · JAX 4 games, 220 offensive and 236 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.
Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.
K Jake Elliott ✓P Braden Mann ✓LS Rocco Underwood ✓
K Cam Little ✓P Logan Cooke ✓LS Ross Matiscik ✓
Last: Sun wk 4 vs LAR (L 20-24) · 10,006 mi flown this season
Last: Sun wk 4 at CIN (W 22-17) · Cincinnati · 22,585 mi flown this season
After trips over 1,500 miles: 15-18 (33 games). Early body-clock kickoffs: 8-10 (18 games). All travel splits →