Bengals 31, Dolphins 24: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11 · Hard Rock StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
CIN	7	14	7	3	31
MIA	7	0	3	14	24

Home · 1-7MiamiDolphins24

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

The Cincinnati Bengals beat the Miami Dolphins 31-24 on Sun, Oct 11 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL (Week 5, 2026 season). Records after the game: Bengals 6-2, Dolphins 1-7. J.Burrow (CIN) led all players with +9.4 EPA on 33 dropbacks.

Who won Bengals vs Dolphins?

The Cincinnati Bengals won 31-24. By quarter: CIN 7-14-7-3, MIA 7-0-3-14.

Who was the best player in Bengals vs Dolphins?

By expected points added: J.Burrow (CIN, +9.4 EPA on 33 dropbacks), O.Gordon (MIA, +3.0 EPA on 18 carries) and T.Hudson (CIN, +2.5 EPA on 3 targets).

What was the turning point of Bengals vs Dolphins?

The biggest swing in win probability (6 points toward the Dolphins) came in Q4 at 7:13: Kevin Coleman Jr. 3 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Malik Willis Pass to Greg Dulcich for Two-Point Conversion)

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Bengals 31, Dolphins 24: Week 5 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-11-cin-at-mia (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 5 issue →

Week 5EarnedGame file →

Bengals56% success · +0.15 EPA/play

3124

Dolphins47% success · −0.03 EPA/play

CIN 92% deserveddeserved 8% MIA

Bengals earned it: the snaps said Bengals by 7.6, a deserved win probability of 92%.

Deserved marginCIN by 7.6

Real marginCIN by 7

Luck pts CIN−1.1

Luck pts MIA+1.6

The swingQ1 15:00 · CIN · +15 pts of win probability. 47-R.Patterson kicks 56 yards from MIA 35 to CIN 9. 81-D.Meyers to MIA 10 for 81 yards (32-J.Simpson).

Flags that moved this game

1Unnecessary RoughnessCIN → helped MIA · Wk 5 Q1 9:48 · 47-R.Patterson 30 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion. PENALTY on…+7.6 WP
2Defensive OffsideMIA → helped CIN · Wk 5 Q2 8:33 · (Shotgun) PENALTY on MIA-9-J.Uche, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 24 - No Play.+2.6 WP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA138 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 10 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewBrad Rogers10 accepted flags in this game · 12 a game this season (one of the quietest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: CIN by 7 · Snaps: CIN by 7.6A push against the line; the snaps say Bengals should have

31@24

Week 5

If the 26-yard kick had missed

Dolphins after the play1%what really happened

Q4 2:13 2-E.McPherson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

MIA ▲CIN ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+6%Q4 7:13 · for MIAKevin Coleman Jr. 3 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Malik Willis Pass to Greg Dulcich for Two-Point Conversion)
+5%Q2 7:03 · for MIA(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass short left to C.Brown to MIA 7 for 3 yards (C.Johnson). FUMBLES (C.Johnson), RECOVERED by MIA-C.Robinson at MIA 7. C.Robinson to MIA 18 for 11 yards (J.Chase). FUMBLES (J.Chase), recovered by MIA-J.Uche at MIA 23.
+4%Q1 12:35 · for MIA(Shotgun) O.Gordon right tackle to CIN 18 for 22 yards (B.Carter).
+4%Q1 9:48 · for MIAR.Patterson 30 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.PENALTY on CIN-D.Lawrence, Unnecessary Roughness, 6 yards, enforced at CIN 12 - No Play.
+4%Q4 7:13 · for CINR.Patterson kicks 62 yards from MIA 35 to CIN 3. D.Meyers ran ob at CIN 4 for 1 yard.

Every drive, on the field

MIA attacks →← CIN attacks

Q1 15:00TD3p · 10y · 0:57
Q1 14:03TD11p · 60y · 6:01
Q1 8:02PUNT6p · 23y · 2:34
Q1 5:28PUNT3p · 1y · 1:01
Q1 4:27TD13p · 58y · 7:36
Q2 11:51INT3p · 22y · 1:31
Q2 10:20FUM6p · 44y · 3:35
Q2 6:45INT3p · 6y · 1:30
Q2 5:15TD9p · 53y · 4:20
Q2 0:55HALF7p · 47y · 0:55
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · 0y · 1:57
Q3 13:03PUNT5p · 15y · 2:26
Q3 10:37FG11p · 59y · 5:24
Q3 5:13TD7p · 77y · 4:34
Q3 0:39TD14p · 80y · 8:26
Q4 7:13PUNT9p · 42y · 4:34
Q4 2:39FUM2p · -5y · 0:11
Q4 2:28FG4p · 2y · 0:19
Q4 2:09TD8p · 61y · 1:24
Q4 0:45END2p · -2y · 0:45

Bengals9 drives5scoring drives (4 TD)56%drives ending in pointsOWN 43avg starting field position0three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Dolphins9 drives4scoring drives (3 TD)44%drives ending in pointsOWN 25avg starting field position2three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
14:03Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass short left to M.Gesicki for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.7–0
Q1
8:02TouchdownC.Wallace reported in as eligible. O.Gordon right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.7–7
Q2
11:51Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass short middle to S.Perine for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [C.Robinson]. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.14–7
Q2
0:55Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Bayer reported in as eligible. J.Burrow pass short right to T.Hudson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.21–7
Q3
5:13Field goalR.Patterson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.21–10
Q3
0:39Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass deep middle to J.Chase for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.28–10
Q4
7:13TouchdownKevin Coleman Jr. 3 Yd pass from Malik Willis (Malik Willis Pass to Greg Dulcich for Two-Point Conversion)28–18
Q4
2:09Field goalE.McPherson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-W.Wagner, Holder-R.Rehkow.31–18
Q4
0:45TouchdownMalik Willis 1 Yd Run (Riley Patterson PAT failed)31–24

Team stats

CINvsMIA

307Total yards331

190Passing yards114

117Rushing yards217

4.9Yards per play5.2

22First downs23

9-13 · 69%Third down7-13 · 54%

0-0Fourth down1-1

3-5Red zone TDs3-4

23/32Comp / att15/27

3.8Yards per carry6.4

1Turnovers3

0Sacks allowed3 (−23 yds)

4 for 39Penalties7 for 30

31:40Possession28:20

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.142-0.033

Dropback EPA+0.286-0.150

Rush EPA-0.028+0.100

Success rate56%47%

Explosive plays412

Plays6164

Who moved the needle

J.BurrowDropbacks: 33+9.4

O.GordonCarries: 18+3.0

T.HudsonTargets: 3+2.5

J.ChaseTargets: 10+2.3

S.PerineCarries: 14+2.1

E.AllTargets: 3+2.1

Cost their side the most

M.WillisDropbacks: 34-5.1

C.BrownTargets: 4-4.6

C.BrownCarries: 13-3.2

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Joe BurrowQB	23/32	190	5.9	4	0	0-0	88.8	126.3

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Samaje PerineRB	14	68	4.9	11
Chase BrownRB	13	39	3.0	7
Joe BurrowQB	4	10	2.5	11

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Ja'Marr ChaseWR	6	10	77	12.8	1	45
Erick All Jr.TE	3	3	25	8.3	0	14
Tee HigginsWR	2	4	22	11.0	0	14
Chase BrownRB	3	4	21	7.0	0	12
Tanner HudsonTE	3	3	14	4.7	1	7
Dohnte MeyersWR	2	2	12	6.0	0	8
Samaje PerineRB	2	2	10	5.0	1	6
Drew SampleTE	1	1	5	5.0	0	5
Mike GesickiTE	1	2	4	4.0	1	4

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Barrett CarterLB	11	5	1	1	0	1
Demetrius Knight Jr.LB	8	5	0	2	0	0
Jordan BattleS	7	5	0	0	2	0
Bryan CookS	5	3	0	0	0	0
Dexter Lawrence IIDT	4	3	0	1	0	0
Dax HillCB	4	3	0	0	0	0
Jonathan AllenDT	4	2	1	0	1	0
B.J. HillDT	4	0	0	0	0	0
T.J. Slaton Jr.DT	3	3	0	0	0	1
Oren BurksLB	2	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Evan McPhersonPK	1/1	100.0	26	4/4	7

Miami Dolphins

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Malik WillisQB	15/27	137	5.1	1	2	3-23	67.8	51.0

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Ollie Gordon IIRB	18	88	4.9	1	22
Malik WillisQB	8	74	9.3	1	39
Chris BellWR	1	26	26.0	0	26
Malik WashingtonWR	1	18	18.0	0	18
Jaylen WrightRB	6	11	1.8	0	7

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Malik WashingtonWR	6	8	43	7.2	0	13
Greg DulcichTE	4	5	37	9.3	0	13
Kevin Coleman Jr.WR	3	7	30	10.0	1	23
Jalen TolbertWR	1	2	22	22.0	0	22
Will KacmarekTE	1	2	5	5.0	0	5
Chris BellWR	0	2	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Jacob RodriguezLB	11	4	0	0	0
Jordyn BrooksLB	8	1	0	0	0
Willie Gay Jr.LB	8	1	0	0	0
Dante Trader Jr.S	7	1	0	1	0
Chris JohnsonCB	6	3	0	0	0
JuJu BrentsCB	6	2	0	1	0
Jackson WoodardLB	5	2	1	0	0
Jason Marshall Jr.CB	4	2	0	0	0
Michael TaaffeS	4	2	0	0	0
Jordan PhillipsDT	4	0	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Riley Patterson	1/1	100.0	29	1/2	4

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 4 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Bengals red-zone defense vs Dolphins red-zone offense
The Bengals' red-zone defense ranks 2nd in red-zone touchdown rate (29% allowed, 14 trips faced) and faces a Dolphins red-zone offense ranked 31st (38%, 8 trips).
31stMIA offense29 spots apart2ndCIN defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters
2Bengals pass rush vs Dolphins pass protection
The Bengals' pass rush ranks 3rd in sack rate (8.7% of dropbacks, 161 dropbacks faced) and faces a Dolphins pass protection ranked 27th (8.7% sacked, 127 dropbacks).
27thMIA offense24 spots apart3rdCIN defense
3Bengals third-down offense vs Dolphins third-down defense
The Bengals' third-down offense ranks 7th in third-down conversion rate (47.2%, 53 third downs) against a Dolphins third-down defense ranked 29th (51.2% allowed, 43 third downs faced).
7thCIN offense22 spots apart29thMIA defense

When the Bengals have the ballEdge CIN · +16 ranks

CIN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackMIA pass defense

14th+0.12171 dropbacks

CIN +16

+0.31 allowed124 dropbacks faced30th

CIN run gameEPA per rushMIA run defense

18th-0.0976 rushes

MIA +12

-0.15 allowed105 rushes faced6th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Dolphins have the ballEdge CIN · +17 ranks

MIA dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCIN pass defense

27th-0.11127 dropbacks

CIN +17

+0.00 allowed161 dropbacks faced10th

MIA run gameEPA per rushCIN run defense

27th-0.1883 rushes

CIN +13

-0.10 allowed75 rushes faced14th

Third downEdge CIN · +22 ranks

CIN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateMIA third-down defense

7th47.2%53 third downs

CIN +22

51.2% allowed43 third downs faced29th

MIA third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCIN third-down defense

14th40.0%50 third downs

MIA +8

44.0% allowed50 third downs faced22nd

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge CIN · +29 ranks

CIN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateMIA red-zone defense

22nd50%12 trips

65% allowed17 trips faced21st

MIA red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCIN red-zone defense

31st38%8 trips

CIN +29

29% allowed14 trips faced2nd

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge MIA · +14 ranks

CIN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateMIA defense against big plays

18th8.9%247 plays

10.5% allowed229 plays faced23rd

MIA big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCIN defense against big plays

13th9.5%210 plays

MIA +14

11.0% allowed236 plays faced27th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge CIN · +24 ranks

CIN pass protectionsack rateMIA pass rush

14th5.3% sacked171 dropbacks

CIN +14

3.2% of dropbacks124 dropbacks faced28th

MIA pass protectionsack rateCIN pass rush

27th8.7% sacked127 dropbacks

CIN +24

8.7% of dropbacks161 dropbacks faced3rd

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge CIN · +9 ranks

CIN ball securityturnovers per gameMIA takeaway defense

13th1.0 giveaways a game4 games

CIN +9

0.8 takeaways a game4 games22nd

MIA ball securityturnovers per gameCIN takeaway defense

18th1.3 giveaways a game4 games

1.3 takeaways a game4 games11th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: CIN 4 games, 247 offensive and 236 defensive plays · MIA 4 games, 210 offensive and 229 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Mike GesickiTE→ Erick All Jr.

Oren BurksSLB→ B.J. Hill

Tacario DavisLCB→ DJ Ivey

Kyle McCordQB→ Malik Willis

Caleb DouglasWR→ Kevin Coleman Jr.

Jonah SavaiinaeaRG→ Jarrett Kingston

Kenneth GrantLDT→ Zach Sieler

AwayBengals3 changes