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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Eagles 17 · 19 Jaguars

158 plays, one strand. Jaguars won after 3 lead changes; Eagles peaked at 75% to win, Jaguars at 88%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for JAX, down for PHI, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line3 lead changes; Eagles peaked at 75% to win, Jaguars at 88%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Jaguars win, play by play. High = JAX in control, low = PHI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for JAX on offense, down for PHI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Jaguars ↑Eagles ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDINTTDJAX ↑ HOMEPHI ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: PHI on the left, JAX on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
PHIJAX
59Plays68
232Yards408
1Explosive plays8
2Offensive TDs2
0Turnovers1
75%Peak win prob.88%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
JAXPunt7yPHI–21yJAXTD63yPHIPunt0yJAXPunt25yPHITD55yJAXPunt-1yPHITD62yJAX–68yPHIPunt7yJAXFG81yPHI–27yJAXINT3yPHIPunt20yJAXPunt15yPHIPunt8yJAX–88yPHIPunt1yJAXTD51yPHIPunt-6yJAXPunt8yPHIFG37yJAXFG0y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.0 expected points against Eagles.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 6:56 · PHI · Run

    28-W.Shipley right guard to JAX 37 for no gain (52-D.Hamilton). (Virtual Measurement). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to

    −3.0 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 5:36 · JAX · Touchdown

    16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 11-P.Washington for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.5 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 5:41 · PHI · Touchdown

    1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 80-D.Cooper for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +6.7 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 0:01 · JAX · Run

    33-B.Tuten left end to PHI 7 for -6 yards (53-Z.Baun). PHI-58-J.Hunt was injured during the play.

    −3.9 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 11:38 · JAX · Completion

    16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 19-J.Cameron pushed ob at PHI 45 for 32 yards (23-K.Moore).

    +3.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 2:06 · PHI · Completion

    1-J.Hurts pass short left to 9-M.Lemon to PHI 44 for 18 yards (2-J.Lewis). The penalty was assisted by replay.

    +2.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 6:40 · JAX · Incomplete

    16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short left to 3-J.Meyers [17-A.Ebiketie].

    −2.8 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 3:26 · JAX · Touchdown

    16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 11-P.Washington for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.2 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
17@19Week 5Changes the winner

If the 57-yard kick had missed

Eagles after the play0%what really happened
JaguarsEaglesthe rest never happened

Q4 0:01 39-C.Little 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-52-D.Hamilton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

Week 5

The rest of the week

Every week →
Buccaneers at Cowboys, Game DNA24@16Bengals at Dolphins, Game DNA31@24Browns at Jets, Game DNA12@17Texans at Titans, Game DNA26@3Colts at Steelers, Game DNA22@34Raiders at Patriots, Game DNA17@45Vikings at Saints, Game DNA23@13Giants at Commanders, Game DNA27@27Bears at Packers, Game DNA7@31Broncos at Chargers, Game DNA23@17Lions at Cardinals, Game DNA45@2149ers at Seahawks, Game DNA32@29Ravens at Falcons, Game DNA30@23Bills at Rams, Game DNA37@34