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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 5 · 2026Bengals 31 · 24 Dolphins

138 plays, one strand. Bengals won without the lead ever changing hands; Bengals peaked at 100% to win, Dolphins at 59%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for MIA, down for CIN, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Bengals peaked at 100% to win, Dolphins at 59%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Dolphins win, play by play. High = MIA in control, low = CIN in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for MIA on offense, down for CIN; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Dolphins ↑Bengals ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDINTFUMINTTDTDTDFUMTDMIA ↑ HOMECIN ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CIN on the left, MIA on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CINMIA
61Plays64
309Yards333
1Explosive plays9
4Offensive TDs3
1Turnovers3
100%Peak win prob.59%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
CINTD10yMIATD51yCINPunt23yMIAPunt1yCINTD58yMIAINT22yCINFUM39yMIAINT6yCINTD53yMIA–51yMIAPunt0yCINPunt15yMIAFG59yCINTD77yMIATD87yCINPunt32yMIAFUM-5yCINFG2yMIATD61y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.0 expected points for Bengals.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 11:56 · CIN · Touchdown

    9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 34-S.Perine for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [44-C.Robinson].

    +3.0 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 10:32 · MIA · Interception

    2-M.Willis pass short left intended for 21-K.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Battle (53-B.Mafe) at CIN 42. 27-J.Battle to CIN 49 for 7 yards (55

    −4.6 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 7:03 · CIN · Fumble lost

    9-J.Burrow pass short left to 30-C.Brown to MIA 7 for 3 yards (3-C.Johnson). FUMBLES (3-C.Johnson), RECOVERED by MIA-44-C.Robinson at MIA 7.

    −5.5 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 5:24 · MIA · Interception

    2-M.Willis pass short right intended for 21-K.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Battle at MIA 38. 27-J.Battle to MIA 38 for no gain (21-K.Coleman)

    −2.7 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 0:47 · CIN · Touchdown

    9-J.Burrow pass deep middle to 1-J.Chase for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.6 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 14:28 · MIA · Run

    2-M.Willis scrambles left tackle to CIN 44 for 39 yards (6-B.Cook).

    +4.2 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 2:34 · MIA · Fumble lost

    2-M.Willis sacked at MIA 5 for -4 yards (93-J.Allen). FUMBLES (93-J.Allen), touched at MIA 4, RECOVERED by CIN-93-J.Allen at MIA 10.

    −4.7 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:05 · MIA · Completion

    2-M.Willis pass deep middle to 21-K.Coleman to CIN 1 for 23 yards (23-D.Hill).

    +2.8 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
31@24Week 5

If the 26-yard kick had missed

Dolphins after the play1%what really happened
DolphinsBengalsthe rest never happened

Q4 2:13 2-E.McPherson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-W.Wagner, Holder-8-R.Rehkow.

Week 5

The rest of the week

Every week →
Buccaneers at Cowboys, Game DNA24@16Eagles at Jaguars, Game DNA17@19Browns at Jets, Game DNA12@17Texans at Titans, Game DNA26@3Colts at Steelers, Game DNA22@34Raiders at Patriots, Game DNA17@45Vikings at Saints, Game DNA23@13Giants at Commanders, Game DNA27@27Bears at Packers, Game DNA7@31Broncos at Chargers, Game DNA23@17Lions at Cardinals, Game DNA45@2149ers at Seahawks, Game DNA32@29Ravens at Falcons, Game DNA30@23Bills at Rams, Game DNA37@34