Week 1 · 2026Jets 23 · 10 Titans
135 plays, one strand. Jets won without the lead ever changing hands; Jets peaked at 100% to win, Titans at 55%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for TEN, down for NYJ, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Jets peaked at 100% to win, Titans at 55%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Titans win, play by play. High = TEN in control, low = NYJ in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for TEN on offense, down for NYJ; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: NYJ on the left, TEN on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.6 expected points for Jets.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 12:10 · NYJ · Completion+3.6 EP
7-G.Smith pass short left to 11-O.Cooper to TEN 4 for 30 yards (24-A.Taylor; 11-J.Johnson).
- 2Q1 4:11 · NYJ · Run−2.0 EP
7-G.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 19, and recovers at NYJ 18.
- 3Q2 10:14 · NYJ · Completion+2.8 EP
7-G.Smith pass short middle to 5-G.Wilson to TEN 31 for 9 yards (23-K.Winston; 24-A.Taylor).
- 4Q2 2:44 · NYJ · Missed field goal−3.0 EP
19-J.Sanders 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
- 5Q3 12:19 · NYJ · Completion+2.1 EP
7-G.Smith pass deep right to 5-G.Wilson pushed ob at TEN 41 for 31 yards (24-A.Taylor).
- 6Q3 11:14 · NYJ · Completion+2.7 EP
7-G.Smith pass deep right to 15-A.Mitchell to TEN 11 for 40 yards (37-A.Hooker).
- 7Q4 5:05 · NYJ · Field goal+1.9 EP
19-J.Sanders 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-14-A.McNamara.
- 8Q4 2:45 · TEN · Touchdown+3.4 EP
1-C.Ward pass short right to 5-E.Ayomanor for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the Titans had stopped that fourth-and-2
Q2 10:14 7-G.Smith pass short middle to 5-G.Wilson to TEN 31 for 9 yards (23-K.Winston; 24-A.Taylor).