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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 1 · 2026Ravens 41 · 23 Colts

133 plays, one strand. Ravens won after 1 lead change; Ravens peaked at 100% to win, Colts at 70%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for IND, down for BAL, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Ravens peaked at 100% to win, Colts at 70%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Colts win, play by play. High = IND in control, low = BAL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for IND on offense, down for BAL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Colts ↑Ravens ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDINTTDTDFUMTDFUMTDTDTDIND ↑ HOMEBAL ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: BAL on the left, IND on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
BALIND
60Plays53
509Yards251
8Explosive plays5
5Offensive TDs3
1Turnovers2
100%Peak win prob.70%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
INDTD65yBALTD56yINDINT-2yBALTD46yINDPunt1yBAL–74yINDPunt11yBALTD76yINDFUM13yBALTD47yINDPunt0yBALFUM-15yINDTD15yBALPunt5yINDPunt9yBALFG37yBALPunt10yINDFG45yBALPunt37yINDPunt36yBALTD77yINDTD63yBALFG43yIND–-5yBAL–16y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.8 expected points for Ravens.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 10:27 · BAL · Completion

    8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 4-Z.Flowers to IND 2 for 49 yards (27-J.Walley).

    +3.8 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 7:38 · IND · Interception

    17-D.Jones pass short middle intended for 13-L.Treadwell INTERCEPTED by 0-R.Smith at IND 32. 0-R.Smith to IND 31 for 1 yard (2-J.Downs).

    −4.8 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 7:04 · BAL · Touchdown

    8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 4-Z.Flowers for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.0 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 6:47 · IND · Fumble lost

    17-D.Jones pass short left to 28-J.Taylor to IND 48 for 14 yards (44-M.Humphrey; 21-J.Hawkins). FUMBLES (44-M.Humphrey), RECOVERED by BAL-44

    −4.7 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 5:12 · BAL · Touchdown

    22-D.Henry left tackle for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.1 EP
  6. 6
    Q2 4:34 · BAL · Fumble lost

    8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 20 for -10 yards (sack split by 98-A.Key and 97-L.Latu). FUMBLES (98-A.Key) [98-A.Key], RECOVERED by IND-99-D.Buck

    −6.3 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 15:00 · BAL · Completion

    8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 17-C.Moore to IND 19 for 53 yards (0-C.Bynum).

    +4.7 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 3:27 · IND · Sack

    17-D.Jones sacked at BAL 40 for -9 yards (24-M.Starks).

    −3.4 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
41@23Week 1

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Colts after the play35%what really happened
ColtsRavensthe rest never happened

Q1 7:38 17-D.Jones pass short middle intended for 13-L.Treadwell INTERCEPTED by 0-R.Smith at IND 32. 0-R.Smith to IND 31 for 1 yard (2-J.Downs).

Week 1

The rest of the week

Every week →
Patriots at Seahawks, Game DNA10@1349ers at Rams, Game DNA27@7Falcons at Steelers, Game DNA13@20Bills at Texans, Game DNA36@31Bears at Panthers, Game DNA59@37Browns at Jaguars, Game DNA10@34Saints at Lions, Game DNA30@31Jets at Titans, Game DNA23@10Buccaneers at Bengals, Game DNA27@33Cardinals at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Packers at Vikings, Game DNA22@39Dolphins at Raiders, Game DNA13@27Commanders at Eagles, Game DNA22@24Cowboys at Giants, Game DNA20@28Broncos at Chiefs, Game DNA10@31