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139 plays, one strand. Raiders won without the lead ever changing hands; Dolphins peaked at 48% to win, Raiders at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LV, down for MIA, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Dolphins peaked at 48% to win, Raiders at 100%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Raiders win, play by play. High = LV in control, low = MIA in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for LV on offense, down for MIA; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Raiders ↑
Dolphins ↓The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: MIA on the left, LV on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.6 expected points for Raiders.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 1:38 · LV · Touchdown+2.6 EP
8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 18-J.Bech for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 2Q2 12:44 · LV · Incomplete+2.6 EP
8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 1-T.Tucker (23-Z.Anderson). PENALTY on MIA-8-J.Brents, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced at LV 30.
- 3Q2 1:12 · LV · Touchdown+3.3 EP
8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 2-A.Jeanty for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 4Q3 14:34 · LV · Interception−4.7 EP
8-K.Cousins pass deep left intended for 18-J.Bech INTERCEPTED by 16-M.Taaffe at MIA 46. 16-M.Taaffe to MIA 48 for 2 yards (18-J.Bech).
- 5Q3 0:11 · MIA · Missed field goal−4.1 EP
47-R.Patterson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-T.Addington, Holder-48-B.Pinion.
- 6Q4 11:32 · LV · Interception−4.7 EP
8-K.Cousins pass deep middle intended for 9-J.Nailor INTERCEPTED by 11-D.Trader at MIA 42. 11-D.Trader to LV 44 for 14 yards (23-D.Laube; 58
- 7Q4 5:21 · MIA · Completion+2.7 EP
2-M.Willis pass deep middle to 6-M.Washington to LV 44 for 30 yards (31-T.Stukes). LV-26-D.Porter was injured during the play.
- 8Q4 4:04 · MIA · Incomplete−2.5 EP
2-M.Willis pass incomplete short right to 21-K.Coleman.
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
13@27Week 1Changes the winnerIf the Dolphins had stopped that fourth-and-1
Q1 4:29 34-C.Heyward up the middle to MIA 34 for no gain (40-W.Gay; 23-Z.Anderson). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 34-C.Heyward up the middle to MIA 33 for 1 yard (10-J.Rodriguez; 3-C.Johnson).
10@13
27@7
13@20
41@23
36@31
59@37
10@34
27@33
22@24
