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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 1 · 2026Commanders 22 · 24 Eagles

144 plays, one strand. Eagles won after 1 lead change; Commanders peaked at 56% to win, Eagles at 96%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for PHI, down for WSH, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Commanders peaked at 56% to win, Eagles at 96%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Eagles win, play by play. High = PHI in control, low = WSH in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for PHI on offense, down for WSH; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Eagles ↑Commanders ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDTDTDPHI ↑ HOMEWSH ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: WSH on the left, PHI on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
WSHPHI
68Plays51
295Yards320
3Explosive plays6
3Offensive TDs3
0Turnovers0
56%Peak win prob.96%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
WSHFG27yPHIPunt13yWSHPunt0yPHIPunt-1yWSHPunt9yPHITD86yWSHPunt1yPHIPunt4yWSHPunt13yPHITD62yWSHTD72yPHIPunt18yWSH–4yPHIPunt8yWSHPunt6yPHIPunt4yWSHFG ✕20yPHIPunt-6yWSHPunt9yPHIFG53yWSHTD72yPHITD79yWSHTD62y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.2 expected points for Eagles.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 1:57 · PHI · Completion

    1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 13-D.Wicks to WAS 6 for 64 yards (39-J.Reaves).

    +4.2 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 14:17 · PHI · Touchdown

    1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 88-D.Goedert for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.9 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 8:10 · PHI · Run

    26-S.Barkley right guard to WAS 12 for 42 yards (39-J.Reaves; 25-N.Cross).

    +3.3 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 6:51 · WSH · Missed field goal

    19-D.Stevens 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

    −3.8 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 12:12 · WSH · Completion

    5-J.Daniels pass deep left to 14-A.Williams pushed ob at PHI 14 for 33 yards (11-J.Campbell).

    +4.1 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 10:04 · WSH · Touchdown

    5-J.Daniels pass short middle to 3-S.Diggs for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on WAS-3-S.Diggs, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced be

    +3.2 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 6:12 · PHI · Touchdown

    1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +5.0 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:04 · WSH · Completion

    5-J.Daniels pass short right to 17-T.McLaurin to PHI 4 for 6 yards (29-M.Epps).

    +3.0 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
22@24Week 1

If the 35-yard kick had missed

Commanders after the play16%what really happened
EaglesCommandersthe rest never happened

Q3 0:48 4-J.Elliott 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-R.Underwood, Holder-10-B.Mann.

Week 1

The rest of the week

Every week →
Patriots at Seahawks, Game DNA10@1349ers at Rams, Game DNA27@7Falcons at Steelers, Game DNA13@20Ravens at Colts, Game DNA41@23Bills at Texans, Game DNA36@31Bears at Panthers, Game DNA59@37Browns at Jaguars, Game DNA10@34Saints at Lions, Game DNA30@31Jets at Titans, Game DNA23@10Buccaneers at Bengals, Game DNA27@33Cardinals at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Packers at Vikings, Game DNA22@39Dolphins at Raiders, Game DNA13@27Cowboys at Giants, Game DNA20@28Broncos at Chiefs, Game DNA10@31