ESPNQuestions on 2026 NFL trade deadline deals: Does Kirk Cousins lift the Vikings?
ESPNNFL Week 10 latest intel, buzz questions, fantasy tips, post-trade deadline news
ESPNCowboys rave about Quinnen Williams a year after trade deadline deal
ESPNBig plays by Broncos defense in late-game situations keying Denver's 7-2 start
ESPNThe Philadelphia Eagles' 2026 trade haul is likely to age well over time
ESPNWhere does Cam Ward stand coming out of the bye?
Pro Football RumorsCardinals Work Out QBs Cooper Rush, Trevor Siemian
ESPNWhy Giants' trade attempts 'just didn't happen'
Pro Football RumorsJets Work Out QBs Bailey Zappe, Austin Reed
InjuryChristian Barmore: Active → Cleared11 h ago
InjuryQuentin Lake: Active → Cleared11 h agoWeek 1 · 2026Saints 30 · 31 Lions
184 plays, one strand. Lions won without the lead ever changing hands; Saints peaked at 67% to win, Lions at 96%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for DET, down for NO, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Saints peaked at 67% to win, Lions at 96%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Lions win, play by play. High = DET in control, low = NO in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for DET on offense, down for NO; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Lions ↑
Saints ↓The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: NO on the left, DET on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 5.2 expected points against Lions.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q2 7:46 · DET · Fumble lost−5.2 EP
16-J.Goff pass short right to 0-J.Gibbs to NO 40 for 4 yards (91-V.Broughton). New Orleans challenged the runner was down by contact ruling,
- 2Q2 5:31 · NO · Interception−4.9 EP
6-T.Shough pass short left intended for 87-N.Fant INTERCEPTED by 36-C.Clark at DET 35. 36-C.Clark to DET 36 for 1 yard (87-N.Fant).
- 3Q3 15:00 · NO · Interception−5.7 EP
6-T.Shough pass short middle intended for 87-N.Fant INTERCEPTED by 55-D.Barnes at NO 44. 55-D.Barnes to NO 41 for 3 yards (82-T.Welch).
- 4Q3 9:54 · NO · Fumble lost−4.3 EP
6-T.Shough sacked at NO 23 for -8 yards (21-R.McCreary). FUMBLES (21-R.McCreary) [21-R.McCreary], RECOVERED by DET-98-D.Wonnum at NO 25.
- 5Q3 8:49 · NO · Completion+3.2 EP
6-T.Shough pass deep right to 12-C.Olave to DET 32 for 47 yards (4-D.Reed).
- 6Q4 10:03 · NO · Completion+3.0 EP
6-T.Shough pass deep right to 14-D.Vele to DET 16 for 31 yards (12-T.Harper).
- 7Q4 1:55 · NO · Completion+2.9 EP
6-T.Shough pass short right to 18-B.Lance to NO 38 for 15 yards (4-D.Reed).
- 8OT 3:13 · NO · Completion+3.3 EP
6-T.Shough pass deep right to 12-C.Olave to NO 47 for 20 yards (29-A.Maddox). ** Injury Update: DET-23-R.Ya-Sin has returned to the game.
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
30@31Week 1Changes the winnerIf the Saints kicker had made it from 62
Q4 0:02 10-D.Carlson 62 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright.
27@7
13@20
41@23
36@31
59@37
10@34
23@10
27@33
22@39
22@24
