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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 1 · 202649ers 27 · 7 Rams

134 plays, one strand. 49ers won after 2 lead changes; 49ers peaked at 100% to win, Rams at 74%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAR, down for SF, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line2 lead changes; 49ers peaked at 100% to win, Rams at 74%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Rams win, play by play. High = LAR in control, low = SF in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for LAR on offense, down for SF; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Rams ↑49ers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDINTINTTDTDTDFUMLAR ↑ HOMESF ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: SF on the left, LAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
SFLAR
64Plays56
379Yards291
6Explosive plays3
3Offensive TDs1
1Turnovers2
100%Peak win prob.74%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
LARPunt9ySFFG65yLARPunt15ySFPunt8yLARTD57ySFINT23yLARINT34ySFTD86yLARPunt23ySFPunt26ySFTD51yLAR–72ySFTD99yLARFUM17ySFFG5yLAR–19ySFFG ✕16yLAR–45y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.6 expected points against 49ers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 12:09 · SF · Interception

    13-B.Purdy pass short right intended for 85-G.Kittle INTERCEPTED by 37-Q.Lake at LA 31. 37-Q.Lake to LA 31 for no gain (85-G.Kittle).

    −4.6 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 8:58 · LAR · Interception

    9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 12-P.Nacua INTERCEPTED by 0-R.Green at SF 14. 0-R.Green to SF 14 for no gain (12-P.Nacua).

    −3.0 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 4:35 · SF · Touchdown

    13-B.Purdy pass deep middle to 11-D.Robinson for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.1 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 3:46 · LAR · Run

    9-M.Stafford right guard to SF 1 for no gain (92-O.Odighizuwa). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the goal line ruling, and the play

    −3.8 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 11:19 · LAR · Fumble lost

    9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 89-T.Higbee to LA 44 for 5 yards (54-F.Warner; 57-D.Greenlaw). FUMBLES (54-F.Warner), RECOVERED by SF-56-K

    −5.3 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 7:58 · LAR · Incomplete

    9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right to 18-T.Ferguson [92-O.Odighizuwa].

    −2.8 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 3:34 · SF · Missed field goal

    18-E.Pineiro 52 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-15-C.Waitman.

    −3.5 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:14 · LAR · Run

    20-R.Rivers left end to SF 13 for 2 yards (0-R.Green).

    −3.5 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
27@7Week 1

If the Rams had converted that fourth-and-1

Rams after the play18%what really happened
Rams49ersthe rest never happened

Q3 3:46 9-M.Stafford right guard to SF 1 for no gain (92-O.Odighizuwa). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

Week 1

The rest of the week

Every week →
Patriots at Seahawks, Game DNA10@13Falcons at Steelers, Game DNA13@20Ravens at Colts, Game DNA41@23Bills at Texans, Game DNA36@31Bears at Panthers, Game DNA59@37Browns at Jaguars, Game DNA10@34Saints at Lions, Game DNA30@31Jets at Titans, Game DNA23@10Buccaneers at Bengals, Game DNA27@33Cardinals at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Packers at Vikings, Game DNA22@39Dolphins at Raiders, Game DNA13@27Commanders at Eagles, Game DNA22@24Cowboys at Giants, Game DNA20@28Broncos at Chiefs, Game DNA10@31