The New York Jets beat the Tennessee Titans 23-10 on Sun, Sep 13 at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN (Week 1, 2026 season). Records after the game: Jets 2-7, Titans 1-7. G.Smith (NYJ) led all players with +9.1 EPA on 26 dropbacks.
Who won Jets vs Titans?
The New York Jets won 23-10. By quarter: NYJ 7-3-10-3, TEN 3-0-0-7.
Who was the best player in Jets vs Titans?
By expected points added: G.Smith (NYJ, +9.1 EPA on 26 dropbacks), G.Wilson (NYJ, +5.5 EPA on 7 targets) and A.Mitchell (NYJ, +3.1 EPA on 3 targets).
What was the turning point of Jets vs Titans?
The biggest swing in win probability (11 points toward the Jets) came in Q3 at 11:14: (Shotgun) G.Smith pass deep right to A.Mitchell to TEN 11 for 40 yards (A.Hooker).
Jets earned it: the snaps said Jets by 11.1, a deserved win probability of 98%.
Deserved marginNYJ by 11.1
Real marginNYJ by 13
Luck pts NYJ+1.5
Luck pts TEN−1.7
The swingQ2 5:03 · TEN · −14 pts of win probability. 19-J.Sanders kicks 55 yards from NYJ 35 to TEN 10. 17-C.Dike to TEN 30 for 20 yards (41-M.McCrary-Ball). FUMBLES (41-M.McCrary-Ball), RECOVERED by NYJ-37-Q.Stiggers at TEN 38. ** Injury Update: TEN-17-C.Dike has…
Flags that moved this game
1Offensive HoldingTEN → helped NYJ · Wk 1 Q1 7:39 · (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right [52-K.Enagbare]. PENALTY on TEN-55-J.Latham, Offensive Holding, 10…+3.5 WP
2False StartNYJ → helped TEN · Wk 1 Q2 0:16 · (No Huddle) PENALTY on NYJ-5-G.Wilson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at TEN 47 - No Play. 10-second runoff.+3.4 WP
Fourth downs our model disagreed with
1TEN · 4th & 4Robert Saleh chose Punt at opp 45, Wk 1 Q3 13:09, down 7. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.73 EP
2TEN · 4th & 3Robert Saleh chose Punt at own 39, Wk 1 Q3 8:51, down 14. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.45 EP
Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge
Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.
TEN ▲NYJ ▼
Q1Q2Q3Q4
The five biggest swings
+11%Q3 11:14 · for NYJ(Shotgun) G.Smith pass deep right to A.Mitchell to TEN 11 for 40 yards (A.Hooker).
+9%Q1 12:10 · for NYJ(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short left to O.Cooper to TEN 4 for 30 yards (A.Taylor; J.Johnson).
+9%Q2 10:14 · for NYJ(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short middle to G.Wilson to TEN 31 for 9 yards (K.Winston; A.Taylor).
+8%Q2 5:03 · for NYJJ.Sanders kicks 55 yards from NYJ 35 to TEN 10. C.Dike to TEN 30 for 20 yards (M.McCrary-Ball). FUMBLES (M.McCrary-Ball), RECOVERED by NYJ-Q.Stiggers at TEN 38. ** Injury Update: TEN-C.Dike has returned to the game.
+7%Q3 15:00 · for TENJ.Sanders kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback to the TEN 35.
Every drive, on the field
TEN attacks →← NYJ attacks
TENNYJ102030405040302010
Q1 15:00TD8p · 60y · 4:15
Q1 10:45FG12p · 41y · 5:42
Q1 5:03PUNT3p · -2y · 1:45
Q1 3:18PUNT3p · 2y · 1:27
Q1 1:51FG19p · 74y · 11:48
Q2 5:03FUM0p · 0y · 0:08
Q2 4:55MISS4p · 2y · 2:14
Q2 2:41PUNT3p · 7y · 1:31
Q2 1:10HALF5p · 28y · 1:10
Q3 15:00PUNT5p · 20y · 1:59
Q3 13:01TD5p · 80y · 3:20
Q3 9:41PUNT3p · 7y · 1:03
Q3 8:38FG7p · 46y · 4:05
Q3 4:33PUNT7p · 30y · 3:28
Q3 1:05PUNT3p · 9y · 2:01
Q4 14:04PUNT3p · -3y · 2:03
Q4 12:01PUNT3p · 4y · 2:25
Q4 9:36PUNT5p · 16y · 1:35
Q4 8:01FG5p · 19y · 3:01
Q4 5:00TD9p · 65y · 2:18
Q4 2:42END5p · 8y · 2:42
Jets9 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)56%drives ending in pointsOWN 33avg starting field position3three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs
Titans10 drives2scoring drives (1 TD)20%drives ending in pointsOWN 26avg starting field position4three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs
Scoring summary
Q1 10:45TouchdownK.Sadiq left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.7–0
Q1 5:03Field goalJ.Slye 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.7–3
Q2 5:03Field goal J.Sanders 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.10–3
Q3 9:41TouchdownB.Hall left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on TEN, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined. J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.17–3
Q3 4:33Field goalJ.Sanders 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.20–3
Q4 5:00Field goalJ.Sanders 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.23–3
Q4 2:42Touchdown(Shotgun) C.Ward pass short right to E.Ayomanor for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Cox, Holder-T.Townsend.23–10
Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.
Expected, did not startOmar Cooper Jr.WR→ Isaiah WilliamsDarrell Jackson Jr.LDT→ David OnyemataJowon BriggsRDT→ Harrison PhillipsTrevin WallaceSLB→ Will McDonald IVMinkah FitzpatrickFS→ Andre CiscoElic AyomanorWR→ Calvin RidleyAtonio MafiRG→ Fernando CarmonaSolomon ThomasRDT→ Jeffery SimmonsCedric GrayWLB→ James Williams Sr.Joshua WilliamsLCB→ Alontae TaylorTony AdamsSS→ Amani Hooker