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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 1 · 2026Browns 10 · 34 Jaguars

122 plays, one strand. Jaguars won without the lead ever changing hands; Browns peaked at 53% to win, Jaguars at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for JAX, down for CLE, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Browns peaked at 53% to win, Jaguars at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Jaguars win, play by play. High = JAX in control, low = CLE in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for JAX on offense, down for CLE; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Jaguars ↑Browns ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1INTTDTDFUMTDTDTDJAX ↑ HOMECLE ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CLE on the left, JAX on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CLEJAX
49Plays53
272Yards363
3Explosive plays7
1Offensive TDs4
2Turnovers0
53%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
CLEINT32yJAXTD59yCLEPunt4yJAXTD79yCLEPunt-8yJAXFG43yCLEFUM6yJAXTD44yCLEPunt15yJAXPunt9yCLE–46yJAXTD60yCLEFG20yJAXFG57yCLE–68yJAXPunt12yCLETD89y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 6.4 expected points against Browns.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 12:17 · CLE · Interception

    4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 3-J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by 23-F.Oluokun [52-D.Hamilton] at JAX 19. 23-F.Oluokun to JAX 41 for 22 yards

    −6.4 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 8:18 · JAX · Touchdown

    16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 11-P.Washington for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [96-M.Collins].

    +3.9 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 8:38 · CLE · Fumble lost

    4-D.Watson pass short left to 1-K.Concepcion to CLE 45 for 5 yards (51-V.Miller) [44-T.Walker]. FUMBLES (51-V.Miller), touched at CLE 46, RE

    −4.3 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 12:18 · JAX · Touchdown

    16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 3-J.Meyers for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.8 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 15:00 · CLE · Completion

    4-D.Watson pass deep right to 1-K.Concepcion to JAX 43 for 25 yards (2-J.Lewis).

    +2.4 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 10:50 · CLE · Run

    4-D.Watson scrambles left end to JAX 21 for 8 yards (27-C.Ransaw, 47-D.Gardeck). FUMBLES (47-D.Gardeck), RECOVERED by JAX-91-A.Armstead at J

    +2.6 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 8:22 · CLE · Sack

    4-D.Watson sacked at JAX 22 for -6 yards (50-B.Combs).

    −3.7 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 2:00 · CLE · Touchdown

    4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 12-D.Boston for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.7 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
10@34Week 1Changes the winner

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Browns after the play36%what really happened
JaguarsBrownsthe rest never happened

Q1 12:17 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 3-J.Jeudy INTERCEPTED by 23-F.Oluokun [52-D.Hamilton] at JAX 19. 23-F.Oluokun to JAX 41 for 22 yards (74-E.Jenkins).

Week 1

The rest of the week

Every week →
Patriots at Seahawks, Game DNA10@1349ers at Rams, Game DNA27@7Falcons at Steelers, Game DNA13@20Ravens at Colts, Game DNA41@23Bills at Texans, Game DNA36@31Bears at Panthers, Game DNA59@37Saints at Lions, Game DNA30@31Jets at Titans, Game DNA23@10Buccaneers at Bengals, Game DNA27@33Cardinals at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Packers at Vikings, Game DNA22@39Dolphins at Raiders, Game DNA13@27Commanders at Eagles, Game DNA22@24Cowboys at Giants, Game DNA20@28Broncos at Chiefs, Game DNA10@31