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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 1 · 2026Cowboys 20 · 28 Giants

133 plays, one strand. Giants won without the lead ever changing hands; Cowboys peaked at 44% to win, Giants at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYG, down for DAL, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Cowboys peaked at 44% to win, Giants at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Giants win, play by play. High = NYG in control, low = DAL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for NYG on offense, down for DAL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Giants ↑Cowboys ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDFUMINTTDTDTDTDTDNYG ↑ HOMEDAL ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: DAL on the left, NYG on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
DALNYG
52Plays65
244Yards399
0Explosive plays3
3Offensive TDs4
1Turnovers1
44%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
DALPunt9yNYGTD63yDALPunt32yNYGPunt26yDALTD48yNYGFUM64yDALINT20yNYGTD60yDAL–13yNYGTD74yDALTD63yNYGTD70yDALTD59yNYG–42y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.9 expected points for Giants.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 9:38 · NYG · Run

    6-J.Dart left end ran ob at DAL 37 for 22 yards (0-D.Overshown). PENALTY on DAL-0-D.Overshown, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at

    +2.9 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 7:32 · NYG · Completion

    6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to DAL 3 for 13 yards (24-M.Hooker).

    +2.0 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 2:00 · NYG · Fumble lost

    29-T.Tracy left end to DAL 21 for 8 yards (92-Q.Williams). FUMBLES (92-Q.Williams), RECOVERED by DAL-28-S.Revel at DAL 19. 28-S.Revel to DAL

    −3.2 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 0:25 · NYG · Touchdown

    6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.0 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 1:59 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to NYG 2 for 15 yards (21-P.Adebo).

    +3.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 7:31 · NYG · Touchdown

    6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.8 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 5:42 · DAL · Completion

    4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at NYG 32 for 17 yards (8-J.Holland). PENALTY on NYG-8-J.Holland, Unnecessary Roughn

    +3.3 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 5:26 · DAL · Touchdown

    4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NYG-20-G.Newsome has returned to the game. PENALTY

    +2.5 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
20@28Week 1Changes the winner

If the Cowboys had recovered that fumble

Cowboys after the play32%what really happened
GiantsCowboysthe rest never happened

Q2 2:36 6-J.Dart sacked at DAL 36 for -8 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs) [13-C.Downs], recovered by NYG-76-J.Runyan at DAL 34. 76-J.Runyan to DAL 29 for 5 yards (53-D.Winters).

Week 1

The rest of the week