Week 1 · 2026Cowboys 20 · 28 Giants
133 plays, one strand. Giants won without the lead ever changing hands; Cowboys peaked at 44% to win, Giants at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYG, down for DAL, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Cowboys peaked at 44% to win, Giants at 100%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Giants win, play by play. High = NYG in control, low = DAL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for NYG on offense, down for DAL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: DAL on the left, NYG on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.9 expected points for Giants.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 9:38 · NYG · Run+2.9 EP
6-J.Dart left end ran ob at DAL 37 for 22 yards (0-D.Overshown). PENALTY on DAL-0-D.Overshown, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at
- 2Q1 7:32 · NYG · Completion+2.0 EP
6-J.Dart pass short middle to 9-I.Likely to DAL 3 for 13 yards (24-M.Hooker).
- 3Q2 2:00 · NYG · Fumble lost−3.2 EP
29-T.Tracy left end to DAL 21 for 8 yards (92-Q.Williams). FUMBLES (92-Q.Williams), RECOVERED by DAL-28-S.Revel at DAL 19. 28-S.Revel to DAL
- 4Q2 0:25 · NYG · Touchdown+3.0 EP
6-J.Dart pass short right to 9-I.Likely for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 5Q3 1:59 · DAL · Completion+3.0 EP
4-D.Prescott pass short left to 88-C.Lamb to NYG 2 for 15 yards (21-P.Adebo).
- 6Q4 7:31 · NYG · Touchdown+2.8 EP
6-J.Dart pass short left to 26-D.Singletary for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 7Q4 5:42 · DAL · Completion+3.3 EP
4-D.Prescott pass short left to 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at NYG 32 for 17 yards (8-J.Holland). PENALTY on NYG-8-J.Holland, Unnecessary Roughn
- 8Q4 5:26 · DAL · Touchdown+2.5 EP
4-D.Prescott pass short left to 33-J.Williams for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NYG-20-G.Newsome has returned to the game. PENALTY
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the Cowboys had recovered that fumble
Q2 2:36 6-J.Dart sacked at DAL 36 for -8 yards (13-C.Downs). FUMBLES (13-C.Downs) [13-C.Downs], recovered by NYG-76-J.Runyan at DAL 34. 76-J.Runyan to DAL 29 for 5 yards (53-D.Winters).