Week 1 · 2026Cardinals 26 · 14 Chargers
145 plays, one strand. Cardinals won without the lead ever changing hands; Cardinals peaked at 100% to win, Chargers at 69%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAC, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Cardinals peaked at 100% to win, Chargers at 69%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Chargers win, play by play. High = LAC in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for LAC on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: ARI on the left, LAC on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.3 expected points for Cardinals.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 13:30 · ARI · Run+2.3 EP
7-J.Brissett scrambles left end ran ob at LAC 30 for 11 yards (45-T.Tuipulotu).
- 2Q2 14:55 · ARI · Missed field goal−4.0 EP
38-C.Ryland 54 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
- 3Q2 13:37 · LAC · Fumble lost−5.2 EP
8-O.Hampton left end to ARI 31 for -1 yards (28-A.Wingard). FUMBLES (28-A.Wingard), RECOVERED by ARI-2-W.Johnson at ARI 34.
- 4Q2 2:00 · LAC · Sack−3.2 EP
10-J.Herbert sacked at ARI 13 for -10 yards (55-D.Stills).
- 5Q3 11:27 · ARI · Completion+2.8 EP
7-J.Brissett pass deep left to 18-M.Harrison to ARI 45 for 33 yards (20-C.Hart) [53-D.Phillips].
- 6Q3 6:07 · LAC · Touchdown+2.6 EP
10-J.Herbert pass short right to 15-L.McConkey for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 7Q4 12:28 · LAC · Punt−4.4 EP
16-J.Scott punt is BLOCKED by 80-S.Fehoko, Center-47-J.Harris, recovered by LAC-30-A.Ingold at LAC 3.
- 8Q4 9:50 · LAC · Interception−2.4 EP
10-J.Herbert pass deep right intended for 12-D.Davis INTERCEPTED by 28-A.Wingard at ARI 5. 28-A.Wingard to ARI 5 for no gain (12-D.Davis). P
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 44-yard kick had missed
Q2 0:04 38-C.Ryland 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.