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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 1 · 2026Bears 59 · 37 Panthers

154 plays, one strand. Bears won after 1 lead change; Bears peaked at 100% to win, Panthers at 78%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for CAR, down for CHI, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line1 lead change; Bears peaked at 100% to win, Panthers at 78%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Panthers win, play by play. High = CAR in control, low = CHI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for CAR on offense, down for CHI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Panthers ↑Bears ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1FUMTDTDTDTDTDTDTDINTTDTDTDFUMTDTDTDCAR ↑ HOMECHI ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CHI on the left, CAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CHICAR
70Plays62
552Yards478
9Explosive plays6
8Offensive TDs5
1Turnovers2
100%Peak win prob.78%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
CHIFUM20yCARTD50yCHITD82yCARPunt-3yCHITD67yCARPunt11yCHITD41yCARTD73yCHI–9yCARTD24yCHIPunt5yCHIFG6yCARFG53yCHITD85yCARINT11yCHI–0yCARPunt5yCHIPunt1yCARTD58yCHITD65yCAR–26yCHITD61yCARFUM32yCHITD66yCARTD86yCHITD44yCAR–52y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points against Bears.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 14:06 · CHI · Fumble lost

    18-C.Williams pass short right to 10-L.Burden to CHI 30 for 7 yards (55-D.Lloyd, 58-B.Okereke). FUMBLES (58-B.Okereke), touched at CHI 33, R

    −3.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 3:01 · CHI · Completion

    18-C.Williams pass deep right to 15-R.Odunze pushed ob at CAR 6 for 47 yards (24-W.Lee). CAR-97-B.Brown was injured during the play.

    +3.8 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 12:49 · CAR · Touchdown

    9-B.Young pass deep left to 18-J.Coker for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.6 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 7:07 · CHI · Punt

    19-T.Taylor punts 48 yards to CAR 22, Center-45-B.Gardner. 15-Ji.Horn MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CHI-81-K.Davis at CAR 28.

    +4.9 EP
  5. 5
    Q2 0:32 · CHI · Touchdown

    18-C.Williams scrambles left end for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 0:50 · CHI · Touchdown

    25-K.Monangai up the middle for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: CAR-97-B.Brown has returned to the game.

    +5.2 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 15:00 · CAR · Fumble lost

    9-B.Young pass deep middle to 4-T.McMillan to CHI 41 for 21 yards (1-J.Johnson; 31-D.Thieneman). FUMBLES (1-J.Johnson), RECOVERED by CHI-12-

    −3.8 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 3:47 · CHI · Touchdown

    4-D.Swift right guard for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +4.5 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
59@37Week 1

If the Panthers had converted that fourth-and-3

Panthers after the play17%what really happened
PanthersBearsthe rest never happened

Q3 0:55 9-B.Young pass incomplete deep left to 4-T.McMillan.

Week 1

The rest of the week

Every week →
Patriots at Seahawks, Game DNA10@1349ers at Rams, Game DNA27@7Falcons at Steelers, Game DNA13@20Ravens at Colts, Game DNA41@23Bills at Texans, Game DNA36@31Browns at Jaguars, Game DNA10@34Saints at Lions, Game DNA30@31Jets at Titans, Game DNA23@10Buccaneers at Bengals, Game DNA27@33Cardinals at Chargers, Game DNA26@14Packers at Vikings, Game DNA22@39Dolphins at Raiders, Game DNA13@27Commanders at Eagles, Game DNA22@24Cowboys at Giants, Game DNA20@28Broncos at Chiefs, Game DNA10@31