The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 1 · 2026Falcons 13 · 20 Steelers

145 plays, one strand. Steelers won after 2 lead changes; Falcons peaked at 64% to win, Steelers at 99%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for PIT, down for ATL, as long as the yards it gained.

Game page Download poster (SVG)All games

Bottom line2 lead changes; Falcons peaked at 64% to win, Steelers at 99%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Steelers win, play by play. High = PIT in control, low = ATL in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for PIT on offense, down for ATL; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Steelers ↑

Falcons ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: ATL on the left, PIT on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

ATLPIT

57Plays61

238Yards267

6Explosive plays4

1Offensive TDs1

2Turnovers1

64%Peak win prob.99%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

PITPunt4yATLPunt-1yPITFG43yATLPunt27yPITFUM12yATLTD25yPITFG19yATLINT0yPITTD31yATLPunt12yPITPunt2yATLFG ✕19yPIT–22yATLPunt12yPIT–12yATLFG ✕25yPITPunt4yATLPunt26yPIT–40yATLFG20yPITPunt7yATLINT20yATLFG42yPITFG ✕22yATLPunt11yPIT–49y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 5.1 expected points against Steelers.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 2:48 · PIT · Fumble lost
8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 30-J.Warren to PIT 27 for no gain (21-M.Hughes, 99-C.Thomas). FUMBLES (99-C.Thomas), RECOVERED by ATL-0-D.De
−5.1 EP
2
Q1 1:19 · ATL · Touchdown
13-C.Rush pass short right to 7-Bi.Robinson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.6 EP
3
Q2 12:17 · ATL · Interception
13-C.Rush pass deep middle intended for 4-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 3-J.Brisker at ATL 41. 3-J.Brisker pushed ob at ATL 31 for 10 yards (65-M.
−4.8 EP
4
Q2 8:29 · ATL · Run
7-Bi.Robinson up the middle to ATL 48 for -6 yards (35-J.Dean). FUMBLES (35-J.Dean), and recovers at ATL 47. 7-Bi.Robinson to ATL 47 for no
−2.8 EP
5
Q3 10:58 · ATL · Missed field goal
6-N.Folk 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
−4.0 EP
6
Q3 8:14 · ATL · Completion
13-C.Rush pass deep left to 5-D.London pushed ob at ATL 41 for 21 yards (22-A.Samuel). PENALTY on PIT-22-A.Samuel, Unnecessary Roughness, 15
+3.0 EP
7
Q3 4:46 · PIT · Incomplete
8-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep right to 4-D.Metcalf (26-C.Henderson).
−2.8 EP
8
Q4 14:16 · ATL · Interception
13-C.Rush pass short right intended for 7-Bi.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 90-T.Watt at ATL 35. 90-T.Watt for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
−8.3 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

13@20

Week 1

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Falcons after the play14%what really happened

Q4 14:16 13-C.Rush pass short right intended for 7-Bi.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 90-T.Watt at ATL 35. 90-T.Watt for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Week 1

The rest of the week

36@31

59@37

10@34

30@31