Dolphins 13, Raiders 27: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 1 · Sun, Sep 13 · Allegiant StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
MIA	0	6	7	0	13
LV	7	10	10	0	27

Home · 4-5Las VegasRaiders27

At a glanceUpdated Nov 11, 2026, 2:46 AM ET

The Las Vegas Raiders beat the Miami Dolphins 27-13 on Sun, Sep 13 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV (Week 1, 2026 season). Records after the game: Dolphins 1-7, Raiders 4-5. T.Tucker (LV) led all players with +3.8 EPA on 4 targets.

Who won Dolphins vs Raiders?

The Las Vegas Raiders won 27-13. By quarter: MIA 0-6-7-0, LV 7-10-10-0.

Who was the best player in Dolphins vs Raiders?

By expected points added: T.Tucker (LV, +3.8 EPA on 4 targets), A.Jeanty (LV, +2.8 EPA on 6 targets) and C.Douglas (MIA, +1.6 EPA on 7 targets).

What was the turning point of Dolphins vs Raiders?

The biggest swing in win probability (9 points toward the Dolphins) came in Q2 at 5:35: (Shotgun) M.Willis pass deep right to C.Douglas pushed ob at LV 22 for 25 yards (T.Stukes).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Dolphins 13, Raiders 27: Week 1 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-13-mia-at-lv (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 1 issue →

Week 1EarnedGame file →

Dolphins34% success · −0.30 EPA/play

1327

Raiders42% success · −0.04 EPA/play

MIA 3% deserveddeserved 97% LV

Raiders earned it: the snaps said Raiders by 10.6, a deserved win probability of 97%.

Deserved marginLV by 10.6

Real marginLV by 14

Luck pts MIA−2.9

Luck pts LV+4.1

The swingQ3 12:52 · MIA · +7 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis scrambles right end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Flags that moved this game

1TauntingMIA → helped LV · Wk 1 Q2 12:44 · (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep left to 1-T.Tucker (23-Z.Anderson). PENALTY on MIA-8-J.Brents, Taunting, 15 yards,…+6.0 WP
2Offensive HoldingMIA → helped LV · Wk 1 Q2 6:59 · (Shotgun) 28-D.Achane left end to LV 29 for -3 yards (98-M.Crosby). PENALTY on MIA-52-P.Paul, Offensive Holding, 10 yards,…+4.0 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1MIA · 4th & 3Jeff Hafley chose Punt at own 31, Wk 1 Q2 14:22, down 7. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.29 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA139 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 9 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewClete Blakeman14 accepted flags in this game · 15.8 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: LV by 3 · Snaps: LV by 10.6Raiders covered; the snaps agree

13@27

Week 1Changes the winner

If the Dolphins had stopped that fourth-and-1

Dolphins after the play30%what really happened

Q1 4:29 34-C.Heyward up the middle to MIA 34 for no gain (40-W.Gay; 23-Z.Anderson). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 34-C.Heyward up the middle to MIA 33 for 1 yard (10-J.Rodriguez; 3-C.Johnson).

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

LV ▲MIA ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+9%Q2 5:35 · for MIA(Shotgun) M.Willis pass deep right to C.Douglas pushed ob at LV 22 for 25 yards (T.Stukes).
+8%Q3 12:44 · for MIA(Shotgun) M.Willis scrambles right end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.
+6%Q2 1:07 · for LV(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to A.Jeanty for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
+6%Q1 1:33 · for LV(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to J.Bech for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
+6%Q2 4:54 · for LVC.Wallace reported in as eligible. D.Achane right guard to LV 23 for -1 yards (N.Dean, Q.Walker).

Every drive, on the field

LV attacks →← MIA attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT8p · 31y · 4:29
Q1 10:31TD16p · 93y · 8:58
Q1 1:33PUNT3p · 7y · 2:25
Q2 14:08FG9p · 38y · 3:46
Q2 10:22FG10p · 42y · 6:14
Q2 4:08TD7p · 54y · 3:01
Q2 1:07FG6p · 51y · 1:07
Q3 15:00INT2p · 3y · 0:31
Q3 14:29TD4p · 52y · 1:45
Q3 12:44TD5p · 50y · 2:46
Q3 9:58INT2p · 0y · 0:17
Q3 9:41FG13p · 54y · 7:07
Q3 2:34MISS4p · -5y · 2:27
Q3 0:07PUNT3p · 8y · 1:00
Q4 14:07PUNT3p · 0y · 1:46
Q4 12:21INT2p · -4y · 0:59
Q4 11:22PUNT3p · -8y · 0:59
Q4 10:23PUNT6p · 10y · 4:25
Q4 5:58DOWNS6p · 31y · 2:00
Q4 3:58PUNT3p · -5y · 0:29
Q4 3:29FUM4p · 31y · 1:38
Q4 1:51END3p · -6y · 1:51

Dolphins11 drives3scoring drives (1 TD)27%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position3three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Raiders10 drives5scoring drives (3 TD)50%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position2three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
1:33Touchdown(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to J.Bech for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.0–7
Q2
10:22Field goalM.Gay 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.0–10
Q2
4:08Field goalR.Patterson 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion. ** Injury Update: MIA-T.Addington has returned to the game.3–10
Q2
1:07Touchdown(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to A.Jeanty for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.3–17
Q2
0:00Field goalR.Patterson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.6–17
Q3
12:44Touchdown(Shotgun) M.Willis scrambles right end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Addington, Holder-B.Pinion.13–17
Q3
9:58TouchdownK.Cousins pass short left to A.Jeanty for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.13–24
Q3
2:34Field goalM.Gay 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.13–27

Team stats

MIAvsLV

259Total yards290

185Passing yards160

74Rushing yards130

5.2Yards per play4.3

13First downs21

2-10 · 20%Third down5-13 · 38%

0-1Fourth down1-1

1-3Red zone TDs3-4

15/27Comp / att21/30

4.1Yards per carry3.5

2Turnovers2

5 (−35 yds)Sacks allowed0

8 for 61Penalties6 for 29

25:07Possession34:53

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.236-0.039

Dropback EPA-0.206+0.007

Rush EPA-0.321-0.083

Success rate34%42%

Explosive plays75

Plays5064

Who moved the needle

T.TuckerTargets: 4+3.8

A.JeantyTargets: 6+2.8

C.DouglasTargets: 7+1.6

D.AchaneTargets: 5+1.4

K.CousinsDropbacks: 31+0.2

M.MayerTargets: 7+0.1

Cost their side the most

M.WillisDropbacks: 37-7.6

K.CousinsCarries: 4-3.6

M.WashingtonTargets: 8-3.2

Box score

Miami Dolphins

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Malik WillisQB	15/27	220	8.1	0	1	5-35	25.1	66.9

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Malik WillisQB	6	39	6.5	1	14
De'Von AchaneRB	11	36	3.3	0	10
Jaylen WrightRB	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Caleb DouglasWR	5	7	94	18.8	30
Malik WashingtonWR	3	8	53	17.7	30
De'Von AchaneRB	4	5	30	7.5	14
Chris BellWR	1	2	25	25.0	25
Greg DulcichTE	2	2	18	9.0	12
Kevin Coleman Jr.WR	0	2	0	0.0	0
Will KacmarekTE	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Jacob RodriguezLB	14	5	0	0	0
Chris JohnsonCB	11	5	1	2	0
Jordyn BrooksLB	9	6	0	0	1
Zayne AndersonS	5	3	1	1	0
JuJu BrentsCB	4	3	1	0	0
Jason Marshall Jr.CB	4	2	1	0	0
Josh UcheLB	4	1	0	0	0
Michael TaaffeS	4	1	0	1	0
Jordan PhillipsDT	4	0	0	0	1
Zach SielerDT	3	2	2	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Riley Patterson	2/3	66.7	41	1/1	7

Las Vegas Raiders

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Kirk CousinsQB	21/30	160	5.3	3	2	0-0	28.3	88.2

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Ashton JeantyRB	23	102	4.4	15
Mike Washington Jr.RB	7	41	5.9	18
Connor HeywardFB	1	1	1.0	1
Kirk CousinsQB	5	-6	-1.2	3
Malik BensonWR	1	-8	-8.0	-8

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Ashton JeantyRB	6	6	45	7.5	2	13
Michael MayerTE	6	7	32	5.3	0	14
Tre TuckerWR	2	4	27	13.5	0	21
Jalen NailorWR	3	5	27	9.0	0	12
Jack BechWR	3	4	23	7.7	1	15
Malik BensonWR	1	2	6	6.0	0	6
Cody WhiteWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Nakobe DeanLB	6	5	1	2	0	1
Treydan StukesS	6	4	0	0	1	0
Kwity PayeDE	6	3	2	2	0	4
Quay WalkerLB	6	2	0	0	0	0
Jeremy ChinnS	5	4	0	0	0	0
Folorunso FatukasiDT	4	1	0.5	0	1	1
Tonka HemingwayDT	4	1	0	0	1	0
Taron JohnsonCB	3	1	0	1	0	0
Cody WhiteWR	3	1	0	0	0	0
Thomas Booker IVDT	3	1	0	1	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Matt GayPK	2/2	100.0	47	3/3	9

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Kyle McCordQB→ Malik Willis

Ollie Gordon IIRB→ De'Von Achane

Kenneth GrantLDT→ Zach Sieler

Josh UcheRDE→ Jordan Phillips

JuJu BrentsRCB→ Zayne Anderson

Fernando MendozaQB→ Kirk Cousins

Brock BowersTE→ Michael Mayer

Trey Zuhn IIIRG→ Jackson Powers-Johnson

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