The Green Bay Packers beat the New York Jets 20-17 on Sun, Sep 20 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ (Week 2, 2026 season). Records after the game: Packers 6-3, Jets 2-7. A.Mitchell (NYJ) led all players with +5.6 EPA on 12 targets.
Who won Packers vs Jets?
The Green Bay Packers won 20-17. By quarter: GB 0-7-0-10-3, NYJ 0-7-7-3-0.
Who was the best player in Packers vs Jets?
By expected points added: A.Mitchell (NYJ, +5.6 EPA on 12 targets), B.Hall (NYJ, +5.1 EPA on 5 targets) and G.Smith (NYJ, +4.1 EPA on 48 dropbacks).
What was the turning point of Packers vs Jets?
The biggest swing in win probability (26 points toward the Packers) came in overtime at 6:17: (Shotgun) J.Love pass short right to C.Brooks pushed ob at NYJ 37 for 15 yards (J.Brownlee).PENALTY on NYJ-J.Brownlee, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NYJ 37.
Jets played like a 5.7-point better team. A team that plays like that wins 85% of the time. Jets lost.
Deserved marginNYJ by 5.7
Real marginGB by 3
Luck pts GB+1.4
Luck pts NYJ−2.0
The swingQ4 4:49 · NYJ · −26 pts of win probability. 14-A.McNamara punts 51 yards to GB 18, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 23-S.Moore pushed ob at NYJ 19 for 63 yards (82-A.Smith).
Flags that moved this game
1Unnecessary RoughnessNYJ → helped GB · Wk 2 OT 6:17 · (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 30-C.Brooks pushed ob at NYJ 37 for 15 yards (2-J.Brownlee). PENALTY on…+23.9 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceNYJ → helped GB · Wk 2 Q4 9:25 · (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep right to 0-M.Golden. PENALTY on NYJ-1-A.Thomas, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards,…+9.3 WP
Fourth downs our model disagreed with
1GB · 4th & 3Matt LaFleur chose Punt at own 34, Wk 2 Q3 0:59, down 7. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.34 EP
Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge
Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.
NYJ ▲GB ▼
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
The five biggest swings
+26%OT 6:17 · for GB(Shotgun) J.Love pass short right to C.Brooks pushed ob at NYJ 37 for 15 yards (J.Brownlee).PENALTY on NYJ-J.Brownlee, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NYJ 37.
+21%Q4 4:49 · for GBA.McNamara punts 51 yards to GB 18, Center-T.Hennessy. S.Moore pushed ob at NYJ 19 for 63 yards (A.Smith).
+20%Q4 2:00 · for GB(Shotgun) B.Hall left guard to 50 for 1 yard (K.Brooks; L.Van Ness).
+18%Q4 1:20 · for GB(Shotgun) B.Allen right guard to 50 for no gain (L.Van Ness).
+13%OT 7:29 · for GBK.Johnson left end pushed ob at GB 45 for 11 yards (A.Cisco).
Every drive, on the field
NYJ attacks →← GB attacks
NYJGB102030405040302010
Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 3y · 1:40
Q1 13:20PUNT9p · 42y · 5:37
Q1 7:43PUNT3p · -5y · 2:05
Q1 5:38PUNT6p · 18y · 3:03
Q1 2:35PUNT3p · 4y · 0:55
Q1 1:40PUNT3p · -7y · 1:38
Q1 0:02TD9p · 64y · 5:27
Q2 9:35TD7p · 70y · 3:31
Q2 6:04PUNT3p · -3y · 2:04
Q2 4:00HALF12p · 37y · 4:00
Q3 15:00PUNT4p · 18y · 2:35
Q3 12:25PUNT7p · 31y · 4:55
Q3 7:30TD10p · 70y · 5:00
Q3 2:30PUNT3p · 7y · 1:43
Q3 0:47PUNT6p · 24y · 3:12
Q4 12:35FUM1p · 2y · 0:08
Q4 12:27FG4p · 4y · 1:23
Q4 11:04TD7p · 73y · 3:06
Q4 7:58PUNT4p · 18y · 3:26
Q4 4:32FG4p · 3y · 1:33
Q4 2:59DOWNS5p · 20y · 1:44
Q4 1:15DOWNS4p · -5y · 1:15
Q5 10:00PUNT3p · -8y · 2:31
Q5 7:29FG5p · 58y · 2:06
Packers12 drives4scoring drives (2 TD)33%drives ending in pointsOWN 31avg starting field position5three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs
Jets11 drives3scoring drives (2 TD)27%drives ending in pointsOWN 29avg starting field position2three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs
Scoring summary
Q2 9:35Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Love pass short right to M.Lloyd for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Smack extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.7–0
Q2 6:04Touchdown(No Huddle, Shotgun) B.Allen right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.7–7
Q3 2:30Touchdown(Shotgun) G.Smith pass short right to G.Wilson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN [L.Van Ness].PENALTY on NYJ-G.Smith, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.7–14
Q4 11:04Field goalJ.Sanders 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-A.McNamara.7–17
Q4 7:58Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Love pass short middle to C.Watson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Smack extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.14–17
Q4 2:59Field goalT.Smack 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.17–17
OT 5:23Field goal T.Smack 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.20–17
Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.
Expected, did not startMarShawn LloydRB→ Chris BrooksSavion WilliamsWR→ Skyy MooreTravis GloverRG→ Jacob MonkIsaiah McDuffieLILB→ Edgerrin CooperTy'Ron HopperRILB→ Zaire FranklinOmar Cooper Jr.WR→ Isaiah WilliamsDarrell Jackson Jr.LDT→ T'Vondre SweatTrevin WallaceSLB→ Harrison PhillipsMinkah FitzpatrickFS→ Andre Cisco