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Week 17 · Mon, Jan 4 · Lambeau Field8:15 PM ET
At a glance

The Houston Texans (3-5) visit the Green Bay Packers (6-3) on Mon, Jan 4, 8:15 PM ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI (Week 17, 2026 season), on ESPN.

When and where is Texans vs Packers?

Mon, Jan 4, 8:15 PM ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI. TV: ESPN.

Who is injured for Texans vs Packers?

Texans: David Montgomery (RB, questionable, groin) and Reed Blankenship (S, questionable, concussion). Packers: Josh Jacobs (RB, out, finger), Micah Parsons (DE, out, knee - acl), Zaire Franklin (LB, doubtful, shin), Bo Melton (WR, questionable, head), Josh Whyle (TE, questionable, concussion) and MarShawn Lloyd (RB, questionable, knee) (plus 3 more).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Texans at Packers: Week 17 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2027-01-04-hou-at-gb (updated 2026-11-11).

Regular season through week 16 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

  1. 1Texans logoTexans run defense vs Packers run game

    The Texans' run defense ranks 17th in EPA per rush (-0.08 allowed, 198 rushes faced) and faces a Packers run game ranked 31st (-0.24, 194 rushes).

    31stGB offense14 spots apart17thHOU defense
When the Texans have the ballEdge GB · +9 ranks
HOU dropback offenseEPA per dropbackGB pass defense
7th+0.18309 dropbacks
-0.07 allowed372 dropbacks faced5th
HOU run gameEPA per rushGB run defense
25th-0.14180 rushes
GB +9
-0.08 allowed220 rushes faced16th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Packers have the ballEdge HOU · +14 ranks
GB dropback offenseEPA per dropbackHOU pass defense
6th+0.18361 dropbacks
GB +11
+0.05 allowed314 dropbacks faced17th
GB run gameEPA per rushHOU run defense
31st-0.24194 rushes
HOU +14
-0.08 allowed198 rushes faced17th
Third downEdge HOU · +10 ranks
HOU third-down offensethird-down conversion rateGB third-down defense
14th40.2%102 third downs
HOU +10
43.7% allowed119 third downs faced24th
GB third-down offensethird-down conversion rateHOU third-down defense
19th38.1%118 third downs
40.0% allowed105 third downs faced15th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge
HOU red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateGB red-zone defense
17th58%31 trips
61% allowed33 trips faced18th
GB red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateHOU red-zone defense
19th54%35 trips
61% allowed23 trips faced19th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge GB · +9 ranks
HOU big-play offenseexplosive-play rateGB defense against big plays
7th10.2%489 plays
7.4% allowed592 plays faced6th
GB big-play offenseexplosive-play rateHOU defense against big plays
9th9.9%555 plays
GB +9
9.6% allowed512 plays faced18th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksNo big edge
HOU pass protectionsack rateGB pass rush
10th5.2% sacked309 dropbacks
7.0% of dropbacks372 dropbacks faced11th
GB pass protectionsack rateHOU pass rush
9th4.7% sacked361 dropbacks
9.2% of dropbacks314 dropbacks faced2nd

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge GB · +9 ranks
HOU ball securityturnovers per gameGB takeaway defense
1st0.5 giveaways a game8 games
2.1 takeaways a game9 games1st
GB ball securityturnovers per gameHOU takeaway defense
13th1.1 giveaways a game9 games
GB +9
1.0 takeaways a game8 games22nd

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesHOU 0 · GB 1 regulars out or doubtful
Texans logoTexans2 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Packers logoPackers9 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelHOU +1 day of rest · HOU travels 1,100 mi
Texans logoAwayTexans
11days since last game
1,100miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Thu wk 16 at PHI · Philadelphia · 15,529 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edge+1HOU dayTravel gap 1,100 mi
Packers logoHomePackers
10days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Fri wk 16 at CHI · Chicago · 6,691 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: HOU 8 games, 489 offensive and 512 defensive plays · GB 9 games, 555 offensive and 592 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32

Tale of the tape

Texans logoHOUGBPackers logo
8th+0.060Offense EPA / play+0.03812th
7th+0.178Dropback EPA+0.1856th
25th-0.144Rush EPA-0.23631st
15th42.9%Offense success rate41.1%24th
14th-1.0%Pass rate over expected+3.7%3rd
16th+0.003Defense EPA allowed-0.0766th
17th+0.053Pass defense EPA-0.0735th
17th-0.076Run defense EPA-0.08016th
8th40.6%Defense success allowed43.6%15th
9th19.6To QBs14.925th
13th22.5To RBs26.57th
3rd39.6To WRs36.56th
27th10.4To TEs9.731st

Form

Last six results

Injury report

League report
Texans logoTexans2 listed
Packers logoPackers9 listed

Expected starters

ExpectedEvery game →

Depth chart rank 1, adjusted for the injury report. Kickoff Mon, Jan 4, 8:15 PM ET.

WeatherTBDForecast closer to kickoff
VenueLambeau FieldGreen Bay, WI
BroadcastESPN8:15 PM ET · Mon, Jan 4

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Texans logoAwayTexans
11days since last game
1,100miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Thu wk 16 at PHI · Philadelphia · 15,529 mi flown this season

Normal week
Rest edge+1HOU dayTravel gap 1,100 mi
Packers logoHomePackers
10days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Fri wk 16 at CHI · Chicago · 6,691 mi flown this season

Normal week

Teams with more rest than their opponent are 34-12 in 2026 (46 games). All travel splits →

Week 17 around the league

15 other games