Bills at Packers: Week 14 preview, odds and injuries

Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13 · Lambeau Field8:20 PM ET

at8:20 PMET · NBC

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

The Buffalo Bills (7-1) visit the Green Bay Packers (6-3) on Sun, Dec 13, 8:20 PM ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI (Week 14, 2026 season), on NBC.

When and where is Bills vs Packers?

Sun, Dec 13, 8:20 PM ET at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI. TV: NBC.

Who is injured for Bills vs Packers?

Bills: Tyrell Shavers (WR, out, knee - acl), Alec Anderson (OT, questionable, ankle), Dion Dawkins (OT, questionable, ribs) and Greg Gaines (DT, questionable, calf). Packers: Josh Jacobs (RB, out, finger), Micah Parsons (DE, out, knee - acl), Zaire Franklin (LB, doubtful, shin), Bo Melton (WR, questionable, head), Josh Whyle (TE, questionable, concussion) and MarShawn Lloyd (RB, questionable, knee) (plus 3 more).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Bills at Packers: Week 14 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-12-13-buf-at-gb (updated 2026-11-10).

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Regular season through week 13 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Bills run defense vs Packers run game
The Bills' run defense ranks 8th in EPA per rush (-0.11 allowed, 176 rushes faced) and faces a Packers run game ranked 31st (-0.24, 194 rushes).
31stGB offense23 spots apart8thBUF defense
2Bills third-down offense vs Packers third-down defense
The Bills' third-down offense ranks 5th in third-down conversion rate (45.7%, 92 third downs) against a Packers third-down defense ranked 24th (43.7% allowed, 119 third downs faced).
5thBUF offense19 spots apart24thGB defense
3Packers takeaway defense vs Bills ball security
The Packers' takeaway defense ranks 1st in turnovers per game (2.1 takeaways a game, 9 games) and faces a Bills ball security ranked 23rd (1.5 giveaways a game, 8 games).
23rdBUF offense22 spots apart1stGB defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters

When the Bills have the ballEdge BUF · +9 ranks

BUF dropback offenseEPA per dropbackGB pass defense

4th+0.25277 dropbacks

-0.07 allowed372 dropbacks faced5th

BUF run gameEPA per rushGB run defense

7th+0.00227 rushes

BUF +9

-0.08 allowed220 rushes faced16th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Packers have the ballEdge BUF · +23 ranks

GB dropback offenseEPA per dropbackBUF pass defense

6th+0.18361 dropbacks

GB +10

+0.05 allowed328 dropbacks faced16th

GB run gameEPA per rushBUF run defense

31st-0.24194 rushes

BUF +23

-0.11 allowed176 rushes faced8th

Third downEdge BUF · +19 ranks

BUF third-down offensethird-down conversion rateGB third-down defense

5th45.7%92 third downs

BUF +19

43.7% allowed119 third downs faced24th

GB third-down offensethird-down conversion rateBUF third-down defense

19th38.1%118 third downs

39.0% allowed100 third downs faced14th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge BUF · +9 ranks

BUF red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateGB red-zone defense

9th65%34 trips

BUF +9

61% allowed33 trips faced18th

GB red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateBUF red-zone defense

19th54%35 trips

63% allowed30 trips faced21st

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsNo big edge

BUF big-play offenseexplosive-play rateGB defense against big plays

1st13.5%504 plays

7.4% allowed592 plays faced6th

GB big-play offenseexplosive-play rateBUF defense against big plays

9th9.9%555 plays

9.5% allowed504 plays faced16th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge GB · +12 ranks

BUF pass protectionsack rateGB pass rush

18th6.1% sacked277 dropbacks

7.0% of dropbacks372 dropbacks faced11th

GB pass protectionsack rateBUF pass rush

9th4.7% sacked361 dropbacks

GB +12

5.2% of dropbacks328 dropbacks faced21st

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge GB · +22 ranks

BUF ball securityturnovers per gameGB takeaway defense

23rd1.5 giveaways a game8 games

GB +22

2.1 takeaways a game9 games1st

GB ball securityturnovers per gameBUF takeaway defense

13th1.1 giveaways a game9 games

BUF +8

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesBUF 0 · GB 1 regulars out or doubtful

Bills4 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QDion DawkinsOT99% offense · 7 wk
QGreg GainesDT32% defense · 6 wk
OUTTyrell ShaversWRno snaps
QAlec AndersonOTno snaps

Packers9 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QTravis GloverOT100% offense · 4 wk
DZaire FranklinLB99% defense · 6 wk
QSean RhyanG87% offense · 7 wk
OUTJosh JacobsRB46% offense · 3 wk
QTy'Ron HopperLB43% defense · 8 wk
QMarShawn LloydRB36% offense · 8 wk
QBo MeltonWR25% offense · 9 wk
QJosh WhyleTE13% offense · 8 wk

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · BUF travels 479 mi

AwayBills

7days since last game

479miles to get here

1time zones

Last: Sun wk 13 at NE · Foxborough · 12,423 mi flown this season

Normal week

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 479 mi

HomePackers

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 13 at NO · New Orleans · 6,691 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: BUF 8 games, 504 offensive and 504 defensive plays · GB 9 games, 555 offensive and 592 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32