Cowboys 13, Packers 23: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · Lambeau FieldFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
DAL	0	0	7	6	13
GB	7	10	3	3	23

Home · 6-3Green BayPackers23

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

The Green Bay Packers beat the Dallas Cowboys 23-13 on Sun, Oct 18 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI (Week 6, 2026 season). Records after the game: Cowboys 4-5, Packers 6-3. J.Love (GB) led all players with +6.1 EPA on 44 dropbacks.

Who won Cowboys vs Packers?

The Green Bay Packers won 23-13. By quarter: DAL 0-0-7-6, GB 7-10-3-3.

Who was the best player in Cowboys vs Packers?

By expected points added: J.Love (GB, +6.1 EPA on 44 dropbacks), G.Pickens (DAL, +4.0 EPA on 11 targets) and C.Watson (GB, +3.9 EPA on 8 targets).

What was the turning point of Cowboys vs Packers?

The biggest swing in win probability (9 points toward the Packers) came in Q2 at 14:23: (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short middle intended for C.Lamb INTERCEPTED by E.Williams at GB 3. E.Williams to GB 20 for 17 yards (J.Ferguson).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Cowboys 13, Packers 23: Week 6 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-18-dal-at-gb (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 6 issue →

Week 6EarnedGame file →

Cowboys42% success · −0.15 EPA/play

1323

Packers38% success · +0.03 EPA/play

DAL 2% deserveddeserved 98% GB

Packers earned it: the snaps said Packers by 11.0, a deserved win probability of 98%.

Deserved marginGB by 11.0

Real marginGB by 10

Luck pts DAL+1.2

Luck pts GB−1.9

The swingQ1 1:53 · GB · −10 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left intended for 0-M.Golden INTERCEPTED by 53-D.Winters at GB 42. 53-D.Winters for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the…

Flags that moved this game

1Offensive HoldingDAL → helped GB · Wk 6 Q2 2:24 · 32-T.Goodson right end to GB 14 for 9 yards (58-I.McDuffie; 29-X.McKinney). PENALTY on DAL-19-R.Flournoy, Offensive Holding, 10…+4.0 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceDAL → helped GB · Wk 6 Q2 1:01 · (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep right to 16-B.Melton (25-J.Porter). PENALTY on DAL-25-J.Porter, Defensive Pass…+3.8 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1DAL · 4th & 4Brian Schottenheimer chose Punt at opp 47, Wk 6 Q1 11:20, tied. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.65 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA165 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 7 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewCraig Wrolstad22 accepted flags in this game · 17.3 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: DAL by 1.5 · Snaps: GB by 11.0Packers covered; the snaps agree

13@23

Week 6

If the Cowboys had stopped that fourth-and-3

Cowboys after the play10%what really happened

Q3 6:52 10-J.Love pass short left to 85-T.Kraft to DAL 30 for 14 yards (13-C.Downs) [92-Q.Williams].

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

GB ▲DAL ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+9%Q2 14:23 · for GB(Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short middle intended for C.Lamb INTERCEPTED by E.Williams at GB 3. E.Williams to GB 20 for 17 yards (J.Ferguson).
+8%Q2 2:00 · for GB(Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short left intended for C.Lamb INTERCEPTED by B.Cisse at GB 18. B.Cisse ran ob at GB 23 for 5 yards (G.Pickens).
+8%Q1 6:35 · for GB(Shotgun) J.Love pass short right to P.Strong to DAL 13 for 14 yards (M.Hooker).
+8%Q1 1:53 · for DAL(Shotgun) J.Love pass short left intended for M.Golden INTERCEPTED by D.Winters at GB 42. D.Winters for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED.(Shotgun) J.Love pass short left intended for M.Golden INTERCEPTED by D.Winters at GB 42. D.Winters to GB 42 for no gain (M.Golden). GB-M.Lloyd was injured during the play.
+8%Q1 8:58 · for GB(Shotgun) J.Love pass deep middle to C.Watson to DAL 46 for 27 yards.

Every drive, on the field

GB attacks →← DAL attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT6p · 19y · 3:47
Q1 11:13TD14p · 90y · 6:30
Q1 4:43PUNT3p · -2y · 2:07
Q1 2:36INT2p · -2y · 0:46
Q1 1:50INT6p · 25y · 2:35
Q2 14:15FG15p · 73y · 8:17
Q2 5:58INT7p · 44y · 4:08
Q2 1:50TD9p · 77y · 1:27
Q2 0:23HALF1p · 6y · 0:23
Q3 15:00PUNT3p · -7y · 1:09
Q3 13:51TD9p · 46y · 4:32
Q3 9:19FG11p · 42y · 4:17
Q3 5:02PUNT4p · 9y · 1:33
Q3 3:29PUNT3p · -2y · 2:18
Q3 1:11DOWNS7p · 19y · 2:41
Q4 13:30FG9p · 38y · 3:24
Q4 10:06DOWNS14p · 57y · 5:06
Q4 5:00PUNT5p · 14y · 1:59
Q4 3:01TD13p · 78y · 2:17
Q4 0:44END2p · -2y · 0:44

Cowboys9 drives2scoring drives (2 TD)22%drives ending in pointsOWN 36avg starting field position1three-and-outs4turnovers incl. downs

Packers9 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)56%drives ending in pointsOWN 25avg starting field position2three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
4:43Touchdown(Shotgun) J.Love pass short middle to M.Golden for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Smack extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.0–7
Q2
5:58Field goalT.Smack 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.0–10
Q2
0:23TouchdownJ.Love up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. T.Smack extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.0–17
Q3
9:19TouchdownB.Jones reported in as eligible. J.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.7–17
Q3
5:02Field goalT.Smack 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.7–20
Q4
10:06Field goalT.Smack 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-M.Orzech, Holder-D.Whelan.7–23
Q4
0:44Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short right to R.Flournoy for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. D.Prescott pass to C.Lamb is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.Penalty on DAL-T.Steele, Offensive Holding, declined.13–23

Team stats

DALvsGB

303Total yards318

255Passing yards261

48Rushing yards57

4.3Yards per play4.5

24First downs20

5-13 · 38%Third down11-18 · 61%

2-4Fourth down1-1

2-4Red zone TDs2-4

34/54Comp / att23/41

3.2Yards per carry2.2

2Turnovers1

1 (−3 yds)Sacks allowed3 (−15 yds)

11 for 108Penalties11 for 96

29:09Possession30:51

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.133+0.034

Dropback EPA-0.163+0.138

Rush EPA-0.011-0.157

Success rate42%38%

Explosive plays16

Plays7168

Who moved the needle

J.LoveDropbacks: 44+6.1

G.PickensTargets: 11+4.0

C.WatsonTargets: 8+3.9

P.StrongTargets: 6+3.9

R.FlournoyTargets: 9+3.6

J.LoveCarries: 4+3.6

Cost their side the most

C.LambTargets: 19-14.3

D.PrescottDropbacks: 57-9.3

M.LloydCarries: 8-4.4

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Dak PrescottQB	34/54	258	4.8	1	2	1-3	63.5	65.2

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Javonte WilliamsRB	11	41	3.7	1	8
Dak PrescottQB	2	7	3.5	0	7
Tyler GoodsonRB	2	0	0.0	0	2

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
George PickensWR	6	11	73	12.2	0	21
CeeDee LambWR	9	18	70	7.8	0	17
Ryan FlournoyWR	7	9	40	5.7	1	11
Brevyn Spann-FordTE	4	5	35	8.8	0	13
Jake FergusonTE	2	3	13	6.5	0	7
Tyler GoodsonRB	1	3	9	9.0	0	9
Javonte WilliamsRB	2	2	9	4.5	0	9
Hunter LuepkeFB	3	3	9	3.0	0	5

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Caleb DownsS	12	6	0	0	0	1
Markquese BellS	5	4	0	0	0	0
Shemar JamesLB	5	4	0	0	0	0
Jaishawn BarhamLB	4	4	0	0	0	1
Shavon Revel Jr.CB	4	3	0	0	0	0
DaRon BlandCB	4	2	0	1	2	0
Otito OgbonniaDT	4	1	0	0	0	0
Joey Porter Jr.CB	3	3	0	1	2	0
Quinnen WilliamsDT	3	2	1	2	1	2
Malik HookerS	3	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Brandon AubreyPK	0/0	0.0	0	1/1	1

Green Bay Packers

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Jordan LoveQB	23/41	276	6.7	1	1	3-15	63.4	74.8

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Pierre Strong Jr.RB	11	28	2.5	0	6
Jordan LoveQB	4	12	3.0	1	13
MarShawn LloydRB	8	10	1.3	0	4
Savion WilliamsWR	2	9	4.5	0	5
Kaleb JohnsonRB	1	-2	-2.0	0	-2

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Matthew GoldenWR	6	13	104	17.3	1	37
Christian WatsonWR	3	8	64	21.3	0	28
Pierre Strong Jr.RB	5	6	39	7.8	0	14
Tucker KraftTE	5	8	37	7.4	0	14
Savion WilliamsWR	4	4	32	8.0	0	15
MarShawn LloydRB	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Keisean NixonCB	8	8	0	0	0	0
Evan WilliamsS	6	5	0	0	1	1
Javon BullardS	6	4	0	0	3	0
Isaiah McDuffieLB	5	5	0	0	0	0
Ty'Ron HopperLB	5	3	0	0	1	0
Brandon CisseCB	4	4	0	0	2	0
Carrington ValentineCB	4	3	0	0	1	0
Lukas Van NessDE	3	2	1	1	0	1
Zaire FranklinLB	3	2	0	0	0	1
Xavier McKinneyS	3	2	0	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Trey SmackPK	3/3	100.0	44	2/2	11

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 5 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Cowboys third-down offense vs Packers third-down defense
The Cowboys' third-down offense ranks 4th in third-down conversion rate (50.8%, 59 third downs) against a Packers third-down defense ranked 28th (47.8% allowed, 69 third downs faced).
4thDAL offense24 spots apart28thGB defense
2Packers defense against big plays vs Cowboys big-play offense
The Packers' defense against big plays ranks 3rd in explosive-play rate (6.8% allowed, 324 plays faced) and faces a Cowboys big-play offense ranked 26th (7.5%, 307 plays).
26thDAL offense23 spots apart3rdGB defense
3Packers dropback offense vs Cowboys pass defense
The Packers' dropback offense ranks 13th in EPA per dropback (+0.11, 197 dropbacks) against a Cowboys pass defense ranked 32nd (+0.40 allowed, 161 dropbacks faced).
13thGB offense19 spots apart32ndDAL defense

When the Cowboys have the ballEdge DAL · +14 ranks

DAL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackGB pass defense

8th+0.19211 dropbacks

-0.05 allowed188 dropbacks faced3rd

DAL run gameEPA per rushGB run defense

11th-0.0296 rushes

DAL +14

-0.02 allowed136 rushes faced25th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Packers have the ballEdge GB · +19 ranks

GB dropback offenseEPA per dropbackDAL pass defense

13th+0.11197 dropbacks

GB +19

+0.40 allowed161 dropbacks faced32nd

GB run gameEPA per rushDAL run defense

31st-0.3093 rushes

DAL +9

-0.04 allowed142 rushes faced22nd

Third downEdge DAL · +24 ranks

DAL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateGB third-down defense

4th50.8%59 third downs

DAL +24

47.8% allowed69 third downs faced28th

GB third-down offensethird-down conversion rateDAL third-down defense

32nd28.1%57 third downs

54.5% allowed55 third downs faced31st

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge DAL · +22 ranks

DAL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateGB red-zone defense

3rd79%19 trips

DAL +22

72% allowed18 trips faced25th

GB red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateDAL red-zone defense

20th53%17 trips

71% allowed21 trips faced24th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge GB · +23 ranks

DAL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateGB defense against big plays

26th7.5%307 plays

GB +23

6.8% allowed324 plays faced3rd

GB big-play offenseexplosive-play rateDAL defense against big plays

16th9.3%290 plays

GB +15

12.2% allowed303 plays faced31st

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge GB · +20 ranks

DAL pass protectionsack rateGB pass rush

2nd2.8% sacked211 dropbacks

7.4% of dropbacks188 dropbacks faced9th

GB pass protectionsack rateDAL pass rush

9th5.1% sacked197 dropbacks

GB +20

3.1% of dropbacks161 dropbacks faced29th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge GB · +12 ranks

DAL ball securityturnovers per gameGB takeaway defense

10th0.8 giveaways a game5 games

GB +8

1.8 takeaways a game5 games2nd

GB ball securityturnovers per gameDAL takeaway defense

18th1.2 giveaways a game5 games

GB +12

0.4 takeaways a game5 games30th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: DAL 5 games, 307 offensive and 303 defensive plays · GB 5 games, 290 offensive and 324 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Brevyn Spann-FordTE→ Jake Ferguson

DeMarvion OvershownLILB→ Jaishawn Barham

Dee WintersRILB→ Shemar James

MarShawn LloydRB→ Pierre Strong Jr.

Aaron BanksLG→ Laken Tomlinson

Ty'Ron HopperRILB→ Zaire Franklin

AwayCowboys2 next man up · 4 questionable · 3 changes