Chargers 6, Chiefs 22: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · Arrowhead StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
LAC	3	0	3	0	6
KC	9	10	0	3	22

Home · 6-2Kansas CityChiefs22

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Los Angeles Chargers 22-6 on Sun, Oct 18 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO (Week 6, 2026 season). Records after the game: Chargers 0-8, Chiefs 6-2. Q.Johnston (LAC) led all players with +4.6 EPA on 3 targets.

Who won Chargers vs Chiefs?

The Kansas City Chiefs won 22-6. By quarter: LAC 3-0-3-0, KC 9-10-0-3.

Who was the best player in Chargers vs Chiefs?

By expected points added: Q.Johnston (LAC, +4.6 EPA on 3 targets), X.Worthy (KC, +3.3 EPA on 7 targets) and T.Kelce (KC, +3.2 EPA on 5 targets).

What was the turning point of Chargers vs Chiefs?

The biggest swing in win probability (11 points toward the Chiefs) came in Q2 at 10:59: J.Herbert pass short right intended for K.Lambert-Smith INTERCEPTED by J.Cochrane [A.Gillotte] at KC 35. J.Cochrane pushed ob at LAC 17 for 48 yards (H.Rucci).Penalty on LAC-A.Harkey, Illegal Formation, declined.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Chargers 6, Chiefs 22: Week 6 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-18-lac-at-kc (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 6 issue →

Week 6EarnedGame file →

Chargers27% success · −0.28 EPA/play

622

Chiefs53% success · +0.02 EPA/play

LAC <1% deserveddeserved >99% KC

Chiefs earned it: the snaps said Chiefs by 15.1, a deserved win probability of more than 99%.

Deserved marginKC by 15.1

Real marginKC by 16

Luck pts LAC−2.1

Luck pts KC+3.8

The swingQ2 10:59 · LAC · −15 pts of win probability. 10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 84-K.Lambert-Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-J.Cochrane [97-A.Gillotte] at KC 35. 43-J.Cochrane pushed ob at LAC 17 for 48 yards (40-H.Rucci). Penalty on LAC-73-A.Harkey, Illegal…

Flags that moved this game

1Offensive HoldingKC → helped LAC · Wk 6 Q1 12:37 · (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to LAC 27 for 5 yards (0-D.Henley). PENALTY on KC-65-Tr.Smith, Offensive…+5.9 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceLAC → helped KC · Wk 6 Q1 0:50 · (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep left to 13-C.Allen (33-D.Leonard). PENALTY on LAC-33-D.Leonard, Defensive Pass…+4.3 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1LAC · 4th & 2Jim Harbaugh chose Punt at own 40, Wk 6 Q2 5:39, down 6. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−0.83 EP
2LAC · 4th & 4Jim Harbaugh chose Field goal at opp 5, Wk 6 Q1 1:38, down 9. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: good.−0.49 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA142 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 8 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewAlan Eck15 accepted flags in this game · 14.3 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: KC by 7.5 · Snaps: KC by 15.1Chiefs covered; the snaps agree

6@22

Week 6

If the Chargers had recovered that fumble

Chargers after the play22%what really happened

Q2 4:19 52-C.Humphrey to KC 28 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-15-P.Mahomes at KC 28. 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 49 for 16 yards (0-D.Henley).

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Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

KC ▲LAC ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+11%Q2 10:59 · for KCJ.Herbert pass short right intended for K.Lambert-Smith INTERCEPTED by J.Cochrane [A.Gillotte] at KC 35. J.Cochrane pushed ob at LAC 17 for 48 yards (H.Rucci).Penalty on LAC-A.Harkey, Illegal Formation, declined.
+8%Q2 8:37 · for LAC(Shotgun) P.Mahomes pass short right intended for A.Armstrong INTERCEPTED by C.Hart [T.Tart] at LAC -9. Touchback.
+5%Q3 12:26 · for LAC(Shotgun) J.Herbert pass deep left to Q.Johnston to KC 1 for 57 yards (M.Delane).
+4%Q4 9:50 · for KC(Shotgun) J.Herbert pass short right to K.Lambert-Smith to KC 36 for 1 yard (L.Sneed). FUMBLES (L.Sneed), RECOVERED by KC-D.Tranquill at KC 38.
+4%Q1 7:21 · for KC(Shotgun) K.Walker up the middle for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.

Every drive, on the field

KC attacks →← LAC attacks

Q1 15:00FG7p · 41y · 3:40
Q1 11:20PUNT3p · -1y · 0:52
Q1 10:28TD6p · 67y · 3:07
Q1 7:21FG11p · 60y · 5:48
Q1 1:33PUNT4p · 27y · 2:25
Q2 14:08INT6p · 38y · 3:25
Q2 10:43INT5p · 15y · 2:13
Q2 8:30PUNT6p · 20y · 3:01
Q2 5:29TD8p · 80y · 3:40
Q2 1:49PUNT3p · 8y · 1:24
Q2 0:25FG3p · 38y · 0:23
Q2 0:02HALF0p · 0y · 0:02
Q3 15:00FG9p · 60y · 4:16
Q3 10:44DOWNS7p · 62y · 4:15
Q3 6:29PUNT3p · 1y · 2:05
Q3 4:24PUNT3p · -2y · 2:07
Q3 2:17PUNT3p · 8y · 1:56
Q3 0:21DOWNS5p · 24y · 1:35
Q4 13:46MISS5p · 27y · 2:00
Q4 11:46FUM5p · 19y · 2:03
Q4 9:43FG11p · 50y · 5:51
Q4 3:52DOWNS11p · 62y · 2:56
Q4 0:56END2p · -3y · 0:56

Chargers11 drives2scoring drives (0 TD)18%drives ending in pointsOWN 27avg starting field position4three-and-outs4turnovers incl. downs

Chiefs10 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)50%drives ending in pointsOWN 35avg starting field position1three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
11:20Field goalH.Butker 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.0–3
Q1
7:21Touchdown(Shotgun) K.Walker up the middle for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.0–9
Q1
1:33Field goalC.Dicker 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.3–9
Q2
1:49Touchdown(Shotgun) K.Walker left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.3–16
Q2
0:02Field goalH.Butker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.3–19
Q3
10:44Field goal C.Dicker 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Harris, Holder-J.Scott.6–19
Q4
3:52Field goalH.Butker 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Winchester, Holder-M.Araiza.6–22

Team stats

LACvsKC

259Total yards422

186Passing yards272

73Rushing yards150

4.1Yards per play7.4

15First downs22

5-16 · 31%Third down3-10 · 30%

0-3Fourth down0-1

0-3Red zone TDs1-4

22/37Comp / att23/30

3.3Yards per carry5.6

2Turnovers2

4 (−18 yds)Sacks allowed0

7 for 59Penalties8 for 89

29:34Possession30:26

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.311+0.081

Dropback EPA-0.349+0.069

Rush EPA-0.222+0.098

Success rate27%53%

Explosive plays19

Plays6355

Who moved the needle

Q.JohnstonTargets: 3+4.6

X.WorthyTargets: 7+3.3

T.KelceTargets: 5+3.2

K.WalkerCarries: 19+2.8

T.WeaseTargets: 3+2.8

N.GrayTargets: 3+2.7

Cost their side the most

K.Lambert-SmithTargets: 9-16.0

J.HerbertDropbacks: 44-15.3

O.GadsdenTargets: 5-3.3

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Justin HerbertQB	22/37	204	5.5	0	1	4-18	42.8	63.3

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Justin HerbertQB	5	26	5.2	7
Kimani VidalRB	7	21	3.0	9
Omarion HamptonRB	7	18	2.6	4
Derius DavisWR	1	4	4.0	4
Keaton MitchellRB	2	4	2.0	3

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Quentin JohnstonWR	1	3	57	57.0	57
KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR	5	9	32	6.4	16
Theo Wease Jr.WR	2	3	21	10.5	14
Omarion HamptonRB	4	4	21	5.3	15
Charlie KolarTE	3	6	20	6.7	11
Kimani VidalRB	3	4	19	6.3	13
Ladd McConkeyWR	1	1	17	17.0	17
Oronde GadsdenTE	3	5	17	5.7	11
Keaton MitchellRB	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Tarheeb StillCB	8	5	1	0	0
Elijah MoldenCB	7	3	0	0	0
Tony JeffersonS	5	3	0	0	0
Cam HartCB	4	4	0	1	0
Khalil MackLB	4	3	0	0	1
Troy DyeLB	4	3	0	0	0
Daiyan HenleyLB	4	2	0	0	0
Tuli TuipulotuLB	4	1	0	0	1
Caleb MurphyLB	3	2	0	0	0
Del'Shawn PhillipsLB	3	1	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Cameron DickerPK	2/2	100.0	30	0/0	6

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Patrick MahomesQB	23/30	272	9.1	0	1	0-0	71.5	89.9

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Kenneth Walker IIIRB	19	128	6.7	2	33
Patrick MahomesQB	5	16	3.2	0	10
Emmett JohnsonRB	3	6	2.0	0	4

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Xavier WorthyWR	7	7	73	10.4	19
Noah GrayTE	3	3	53	17.7	31
Travis KelceTE	4	5	53	13.3	24
Cyrus AllenWR	2	2	27	13.5	23
Jalen RoyalsWR	2	4	24	12.0	18
Emmett JohnsonRB	2	3	18	9.0	14
Andrew ArmstrongWR	1	2	13	13.0	13
Kenneth Walker IIIRB	2	3	11	5.5	6

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Nick BoltonLB	11	3	0	0	0	0
Drue TranquillLB	7	4	0	0	0	0
George KarlaftisDE	6	3	1	2	2	3
L'Jarius SneedCB	5	4	0	0	1	0
Chamarri ConnerS	4	4	1	1	0	1
Chris Roland-WallaceCB	4	3	0	1	0	0
Nohl WilliamsCB	4	3	0	1	2	0
Jeffrey BassaLB	4	2	0	0	0	0
Felix Anudike-UzomahDE	4	2	0	0	0	1
Peter WoodsDT	4	1	0.5	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Harrison ButkerPK	3/4	75.0	50	1/2	10

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 5 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Chiefs pass defense vs Chargers dropback offense
The Chiefs' pass defense ranks 11th in EPA per dropback (-0.01 allowed, 158 dropbacks faced) and faces a Chargers dropback offense ranked 32nd (-0.21, 176 dropbacks).
32ndLAC offense21 spots apart11thKC defense
2Chiefs takeaway defense vs Chargers ball security
The Chiefs' takeaway defense ranks 8th in turnovers per game (1.5 takeaways a game, 4 games) and faces a Chargers ball security ranked 32nd (2.4 giveaways a game, 5 games).
32ndLAC offense24 spots apart8thKC defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters
3Chiefs run defense vs Chargers run game
The Chiefs' run defense ranks 12th in EPA per rush (-0.12 allowed, 94 rushes faced) and faces a Chargers run game ranked 27th (-0.20, 131 rushes).
27thLAC offense15 spots apart12thKC defense

When the Chargers have the ballEdge KC · +21 ranks

LAC dropback offenseEPA per dropbackKC pass defense

32nd-0.21176 dropbacks

KC +21

-0.01 allowed158 dropbacks faced11th

LAC run gameEPA per rushKC run defense

27th-0.20131 rushes

KC +15

-0.12 allowed94 rushes faced12th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Chiefs have the ballEdge KC · +13 ranks

KC dropback offenseEPA per dropbackLAC pass defense

7th+0.21143 dropbacks

-0.02 allowed157 dropbacks faced9th

KC run gameEPA per rushLAC run defense

1st+0.13106 rushes

KC +13

-0.10 allowed144 rushes faced14th

Third downEdge KC · +9 ranks

LAC third-down offensethird-down conversion rateKC third-down defense

21st37.9%66 third downs

KC +9

38.9% allowed54 third downs faced12th

KC third-down offensethird-down conversion rateLAC third-down defense

9th44.9%49 third downs

32.3% allowed62 third downs faced4th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge

LAC red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateKC red-zone defense

9th67%12 trips

50% allowed10 trips faced5th

KC red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateLAC red-zone defense

13th63%19 trips

55% allowed20 trips faced13th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge KC · +11 ranks

LAC big-play offenseexplosive-play rateKC defense against big plays

19th9.1%307 plays

8.7% allowed252 plays faced13th

KC big-play offenseexplosive-play rateLAC defense against big plays

4th12.0%249 plays

KC +11

9.0% allowed301 plays faced15th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksNo big edge

LAC pass protectionsack rateKC pass rush

31st9.7% sacked176 dropbacks

2.5% of dropbacks158 dropbacks faced32nd

KC pass protectionsack rateLAC pass rush

6th4.2% sacked143 dropbacks

7.0% of dropbacks157 dropbacks faced11th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge KC · +24 ranks

LAC ball securityturnovers per gameKC takeaway defense

32nd2.4 giveaways a game5 games

KC +24

1.5 takeaways a game4 games8th

KC ball securityturnovers per gameLAC takeaway defense

4th0.5 giveaways a game4 games

1.6 takeaways a game5 games5th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: LAC 5 games, 307 offensive and 301 defensive plays · KC 4 games, 249 offensive and 252 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Scott MatlockFB→ Kimani Vidal

Ladd McConkeyWR→ KeAndre Lambert-Smith

Tre' HarrisWR→ Theo Wease Jr.

Joe AltLT→ Alex Harkey

Kayode AwosikaLG→ Logan Taylor

Jamaree CaldwellNT→ Dalvin Tomlinson

Justin EboigbeRDE→ Daiyan Henley

Marlowe WaxLILB→ Akheem Mesidor

Donte JacksonRCB→ Genesis Smith

Ben VanSumerenFB→ Emmett Johnson

Rashee RiceWR→ Jalen Royals