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Chiefs went 4-for-4 in the red zone and held the Jets to four field goals

Kansas City turned every red-zone trip into points, and New York never scored a touchdown in a 35-12 win at Arrowhead Stadium.

The TapeChiefsW 35–12vsJETS
By Chiefs Desk, Pigskin NightlyNov 8, 5:51 PM ET3 min read

The deciding stretch

The Chiefs went 4-for-4 in the red zone against the New York Jets, and every one of those trips ended in a touchdown. The Jets went 0-for-1 inside the 20. That gap decided a 35-12 game at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 9.

Kansas City scored 14 points in the second quarter and 14 more in the third. The Jets scored 12 points total, all of them on field goals. They had four scoring drives and no touchdown drives, including a 14-play, 64-yard march that ended in three points. The Chiefs' longest drive went 10 plays and 82 yards and finished in a touchdown.

The Chiefs led 28-12 after three quarters. They added one more touchdown in the fourth and kept the Jets off the board.

The swing

The game did not start cleanly for Kansas City. The Chiefs trailed 6-0 after one quarter, and the first big win probability swing went against them. At 5:40 of the first quarter, a Jets challenge reversed a ruling on a Justin Fields run to the KC 34, and the Chiefs lost 9 percentage points of win probability on the play.

The second quarter brought the turnovers. At 6:29, a fumble by the Jets was recovered by the Chiefs at the New York 26, worth 9 points of win probability to Kansas City. At 1:41, Patrick Mahomes was sacked at the KC 27 and fumbled, and the Jets recovered at the KC 30. That cost the Chiefs 9 points of win probability. The Chiefs finished with two turnovers to one for the Jets in the team stats.

The largest swing in Kansas City's favor after halftime came at 10:20 of the third quarter, when Travis Kelce scored from one yard out. That touchdown added 8 points of win probability. After that, the Jets never got closer than the 16-point gap they faced at the end.

Who moved the needle

Mahomes led all players in passing EPA at 7.2 across 35 plays. EPA, or expected points added, measures how much each play changes a team's scoring outlook compared with the average play from that spot. Mahomes completed 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions, a passer rating of 117.9. He was also sacked twice for 14 yards.

Kenneth Walker III did the most per touch. He ran 18 times for 102 yards, 5.7 yards a carry, and caught four passes for 41 yards. His receiving EPA was 6.7 on only four plays, second on the team behind Mahomes. Kelce's receiving EPA was 4.2 on six plays, and he caught four balls for 72 yards, including a 38-yarder.

Emmett Johnson added 34 yards and a touchdown on six carries. Jaydn Ott gained 19 yards on three.

On defense, George Karlaftis and Chris Jones each recorded two sacks. Karlaftis added three tackles for loss and three quarterback hits. The Jets were sacked five times for 42 yards and converted just 2 of 12 third downs. Kansas City converted 6 of 11. Drue Tranquill led the team with 13 tackles, and Nick Bolton had 12.

The Chiefs averaged 0.166 EPA per play with a 56 percent success rate. The Jets averaged minus 0.302 per play with a 39 percent success rate. Fields' two rushing plays combined for minus 6.6 EPA, the worst total on either side.

Where it leaves them

Kansas City is 6-2 with a plus-59 point differential, 202 points scored against 143 allowed. The Chiefs are 4-0 at home and 2-2 on the road. They hold the fifth seed in the conference and sit second in the division, behind the Broncos at 7-2. The Raiders are 4-4 and the Chargers are 0-7.

The Chiefs gave the ball away twice and still won by 23, because they finished every drive that reached the red zone. That is the number to track when the schedule moves away from Arrowhead.

The next test is a road game. Kansas City visits the Atlanta Falcons in Week 10 on Sunday, Nov. 15, at 1:00 PM ET on CBS.

How this was reported. Every number in this piece comes from the play-by-play, drive, injury and snap data Pigskin Nightly collects for every game. EPA (expected points added) is from the open nflverse model. We do not use anonymous sources or invent quotes. Read how we write; spotted an error? Tell us and we will correct it in the open.