Jaguars at Cowboys: Week 16 preview, odds and injuries

Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27 · AT&T Stadium8:20 PM ET

at8:20 PMET · NBC

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

The Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2) visit the Dallas Cowboys (4-5) on Sun, Dec 27, 8:20 PM ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX (Week 16, 2026 season), on NBC.

When and where is Jaguars vs Cowboys?

Sun, Dec 27, 8:20 PM ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. TV: NBC.

Who is injured for Jaguars vs Cowboys?

Jaguars: nobody listed out, doubtful or questionable. Cowboys: Jake Ferguson (TE, out, knee), P.J. Locke (S, out, concussion), Tyler Goodson (RB, out, knee - acl + mcl), DeMarvion Overshown (LB, questionable, hamstring), Donovan Ezeiruaku (LB, questionable, ankle) and George Pickens (WR, questionable, hamstring) (plus 4 more).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Jaguars at Cowboys: Week 16 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-12-27-jax-at-dal (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 15 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Jaguars dropback offense vs Cowboys pass defense
The Jaguars' dropback offense ranks 2nd in EPA per dropback (+0.27, 249 dropbacks) against a Cowboys pass defense ranked 28th (+0.17 allowed, 331 dropbacks faced).
2ndJAX offense26 spots apart28thDAL defense
2Jaguars third-down offense vs Cowboys third-down defense
The Jaguars' third-down offense ranks 4th in third-down conversion rate (46.9%, 96 third downs) against a Cowboys third-down defense ranked 31st (50.0% allowed, 116 third downs faced).
4thJAX offense27 spots apart31stDAL defense
3Jaguars run game vs Cowboys run defense
The Jaguars' run game ranks 6th in EPA per rush (+0.01, 214 rushes) against a Cowboys run defense ranked 27th (-0.02 allowed, 236 rushes faced).
6thJAX offense21 spots apart27thDAL defense

When the Jaguars have the ballEdge JAX · +26 ranks

JAX dropback offenseEPA per dropbackDAL pass defense

2nd+0.27249 dropbacks

JAX +26

+0.17 allowed331 dropbacks faced28th

JAX run gameEPA per rushDAL run defense

6th+0.01214 rushes

JAX +21

-0.02 allowed236 rushes faced27th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Cowboys have the ballNo big edge

DAL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackJAX pass defense

9th+0.16371 dropbacks

-0.10 allowed291 dropbacks faced3rd

DAL run gameEPA per rushJAX run defense

9th-0.00214 rushes

-0.17 allowed175 rushes faced3rd

Third downEdge JAX · +27 ranks

JAX third-down offensethird-down conversion rateDAL third-down defense

4th46.9%96 third downs

JAX +27

50.0% allowed116 third downs faced31st

DAL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateJAX third-down defense

3rd47.0%117 third downs

35.5% allowed93 third downs faced9th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge JAX · +14 ranks

JAX red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateDAL red-zone defense

11th63%24 trips

JAX +14

69% allowed35 trips faced25th

DAL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateJAX red-zone defense

3rd68%37 trips

41% allowed22 trips faced4th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge JAX · +20 ranks

JAX big-play offenseexplosive-play rateDAL defense against big plays

8th10.2%463 plays

JAX +15

10.1% allowed567 plays faced23rd

DAL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateJAX defense against big plays

23rd8.2%585 plays

JAX +20

7.1% allowed466 plays faced3rd

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge DAL · +15 ranks

JAX pass protectionsack rateDAL pass rush

11th5.2% sacked249 dropbacks

JAX +12

5.1% of dropbacks331 dropbacks faced23rd

DAL pass protectionsack rateJAX pass rush

5th3.8% sacked371 dropbacks

DAL +15

5.5% of dropbacks291 dropbacks faced20th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge JAX · +21 ranks

JAX ball securityturnovers per gameDAL takeaway defense

5th0.8 giveaways a game8 games

JAX +21

0.9 takeaways a game9 games26th

DAL ball securityturnovers per gameJAX takeaway defense

8th0.9 giveaways a game9 games

1.8 takeaways a game8 games3rd

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesJAX 0 · DAL 0 regulars out or doubtful

Jaguars1 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

OUTCam'Ron Silmon-CraigSno snaps

Cowboys10 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QGeorge PickensWR78% offense · 8 wk
QDeMarvion OvershownLB71% defense · 3 wk
QDonovan EzeiruakuLB65% defense · 9 wk
OUTJake FergusonTE56% offense · 9 wk
QJoey Porter Jr.CB54% defense · 4 wk
OUTP.J. LockeS49% defense · 4 wk
QJonathan MingoWR23% offense · 9 wk
OUTTyler GoodsonRB18% offense · 7 wk

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · JAX travels 925 mi

AwayJaguars

7days since last game

925miles to get here

1time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 at HOU · Houston · 22,585 mi flown this season

Normal week

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 925 mi

HomeCowboys

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 at LAR · Inglewood · 19,776 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: JAX 8 games, 463 offensive and 466 defensive plays · DAL 9 games, 585 offensive and 567 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32