Commanders at Vikings: Week 16 preview, odds and injuries

Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27 · U.S. Bank Stadium12 AM ET

at12 AMET · TBD

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 11:52 PM ET

The Washington Commanders (2-5-1) visit the Minnesota Vikings (6-2) on Sun, Dec 27, time TBD at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN (Week 16, 2026 season).

When and where is Commanders vs Vikings?

Sun, Dec 27, time TBD at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN.

Who is injured for Commanders vs Vikings?

Commanders: Lucas Patrick (G, doubtful, concussion), Colson Yankoff (TE, questionable, knee) and Treylon Burks (WR, questionable, foot). Vikings: Kyler Murray (QB, doubtful, hamstring), Jauan Jennings (WR, questionable, calf), Theo Jackson (S, questionable) and Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (DE, questionable, ankle).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Commanders at Vikings: Week 16 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-12-27-wsh-at-min (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 15 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Vikings third-down defense vs Commanders third-down offense
The Vikings' third-down defense ranks 2nd in third-down conversion rate (32.4% allowed, 108 third downs faced) and faces a Commanders third-down offense ranked 32nd (31.1%, 106 third downs).
32ndWSH offense30 spots apart2ndMIN defense
2Vikings pass defense vs Commanders dropback offense
The Vikings' pass defense ranks 1st in EPA per dropback (-0.18 allowed, 271 dropbacks faced) and faces a Commanders dropback offense ranked 19th (+0.03, 314 dropbacks).
19thWSH offense18 spots apart1stMIN defense
3Vikings pass rush vs Commanders pass protection
The Vikings' pass rush ranks 1st in sack rate (10.7% of dropbacks, 271 dropbacks faced) and faces a Commanders pass protection ranked 20th (6.4% sacked, 314 dropbacks).
20thWSH offense19 spots apart1stMIN defense

When the Commanders have the ballEdge MIN · +18 ranks

WSH dropback offenseEPA per dropbackMIN pass defense

19th+0.03314 dropbacks

MIN +18

-0.18 allowed271 dropbacks faced1st

WSH run gameEPA per rushMIN run defense

23rd-0.13178 rushes

MIN +12

-0.11 allowed210 rushes faced11th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Vikings have the ballEdge WSH · +8 ranks

MIN dropback offenseEPA per dropbackWSH pass defense

27th-0.11266 dropbacks

WSH +8

+0.07 allowed333 dropbacks faced19th

MIN run gameEPA per rushWSH run defense

30th-0.23181 rushes

-0.06 allowed183 rushes faced23rd

Third downEdge MIN · +30 ranks

WSH third-down offensethird-down conversion rateMIN third-down defense

32nd31.1%106 third downs

MIN +30

32.4% allowed108 third downs faced2nd

MIN third-down offensethird-down conversion rateWSH third-down defense

28th35.2%105 third downs

WSH +10

41.3% allowed109 third downs faced18th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge MIN · +17 ranks

WSH red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateMIN red-zone defense

18th55%22 trips

MIN +17

26% allowed19 trips faced1st

MIN red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateWSH red-zone defense

25th50%18 trips

75% allowed28 trips faced29th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge WSH · +11 ranks

WSH big-play offenseexplosive-play rateMIN defense against big plays

18th9.1%492 plays

8.7% allowed481 plays faced11th

MIN big-play offenseexplosive-play rateWSH defense against big plays

19th8.7%447 plays

WSH +11

7.8% allowed516 plays faced8th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge MIN · +19 ranks

WSH pass protectionsack rateMIN pass rush

20th6.4% sacked314 dropbacks

MIN +19

10.7% of dropbacks271 dropbacks faced1st

MIN pass protectionsack rateWSH pass rush

26th8.6% sacked266 dropbacks

5.1% of dropbacks333 dropbacks faced24th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversNo big edge

WSH ball securityturnovers per gameMIN takeaway defense

2nd0.6 giveaways a game8 games

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

MIN ball securityturnovers per gameWSH takeaway defense

10th1.0 giveaways a game8 games

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesWSH 1 · MIN 1 regulars out or doubtful

Commanders3 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DLucas PatrickG90% offense · 7 wk
QTreylon BurksWR53% offense · 6 wk
QColson YankoffTE14% offense · 8 wk

Vikings4 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

DKyler MurrayQB86% offense · 6 wk
QJauan JenningsWR67% offense · 6 wk
QTheo JacksonS59% defense · 7 wk
QTyrion Ingram-DawkinsDE59% defense · 8 wk

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · WSH travels 939 mi

AwayCommanders

7days since last game

939miles to get here

1time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 vs ATL · 14,813 mi flown this season

Body clock 12:00 a.m.

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 939 mi

HomeVikings

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 vs DET · 6,529 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: WSH 8 games, 492 offensive and 516 defensive plays · MIN 8 games, 447 offensive and 481 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32