Cardinals 33, Cowboys 30: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · AT&T StadiumFinal/OT

Final

	1	2	3	4	OT	T
ARI	0	3	7	20	3	33
DAL	7	7	3	13	0	30

Home · 4-5DallasCowboys30

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 3:42 PM ET

The Arizona Cardinals beat the Dallas Cowboys 33-30 on Sun, Nov 1 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX (Week 8, 2026 season). Records after the game: Cardinals 3-6, Cowboys 4-5. G.Minshew II (ARI) led all players with +14.7 EPA on 21 dropbacks.

Who won Cardinals vs Cowboys?

The Arizona Cardinals won 33-30. By quarter: ARI 0-3-7-20-3, DAL 7-7-3-13-0.

Who was the best player in Cardinals vs Cowboys?

By expected points added: G.Minshew II (ARI, +14.7 EPA on 21 dropbacks), T.Allgeier (ARI, +7.9 EPA on 11 carries) and T.McBride (ARI, +6.1 EPA on 8 targets).

What was the turning point of Cardinals vs Cowboys?

The biggest swing in win probability (74 points toward the Cardinals) came in Q4 at 0:06: (Shotgun) G.Minshew pass short middle to Mi.Wilson for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Cardinals 33, Cowboys 30: Week 8 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-01-ari-at-dal (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 8 issue →

Week 8EarnedGame file →

Cardinals39% success · +0.04 EPA/play

3330

Cowboys39% success · −0.11 EPA/play

ARI 91% deserveddeserved 9% DAL

Cardinals earned it: the snaps said Cardinals by 7.5, a deserved win probability of 91%.

Deserved marginARI by 7.5

Real marginARI by 3

Luck pts ARI−3.2

Luck pts DAL+4.1

The swingQ4 0:10 · ARI · +39 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short middle to 14-Mi.Wilson for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Flags that moved this game

1Illegal Touch KickARI → helped DAL · Wk 8 Q4 2:11 · 38-C.Ryland kicks onside 9 yards from ARI 35 to ARI 44. 19-R.Flournoy pushed ob at ARI 25 for 19 yards (50-J.Gibbens). PENALTY…+6.8 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceARI → helped DAL · Wk 8 Q3 0:08 · (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 19-R.Flournoy (29-D.Burke). PENALTY on ARI-29-D.Burke, Defensive Pass…+4.5 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1ARI · 4th & 3Mike LaFleur chose Punt at own 38, Wk 8 Q1 13:57, tied. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.42 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA171 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 9 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewRonald Torbert16 accepted flags in this game · 14 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: DAL by 7 · Snaps: ARI by 7.5Cardinals covered; the snaps agree

33@30

Week 8Changes the winner

If the 42-yard kick had missed

Cowboys after the play0%what really happened

Q5 2:58 38-C.Ryland 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

DAL ▲ARI ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT

The five biggest swings

+74%Q4 0:06 · for ARI(Shotgun) G.Minshew pass short middle to Mi.Wilson for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.
+46%Q4 0:06 · for DALC.Ryland kicks 65 yards from ARZ 35 to end zone, Touchback to the DAL 35.
+32%Q4 0:27 · for ARI(Shotgun) G.Minshew pass deep right to Mi.Wilson to DAL 13 for 27 yards (D.Bland).
+24%Q4 0:11 · for DAL(No Huddle) G.Minshew spiked the ball to stop the clock.
+16%OT 5:43 · for ARIMi.Wilson left end pushed ob at DAL 42 for 17 yards (S.James).

Every drive, on the field

DAL attacks →← ARI attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 7y · 1:12
Q1 13:48DOWNS6p · 18y · 2:54
Q1 10:54DOWNS9p · 29y · 4:42
Q1 6:12PUNT3p · 3y · 1:38
Q1 4:34INT3p · -1y · 1:28
Q1 3:06FUM2p · 5y · 0:33
Q1 2:33PUNT9p · 33y · 5:12
Q2 12:21TD12p · 85y · 7:05
Q2 5:16FG11p · 56y · 4:03
Q2 1:13PUNT3p · -4y · 0:29
Q2 0:44FUM5p · 27y · 0:33
Q2 0:11MISS2p · 4y · 0:11
Q3 15:00FG15p · 70y · 8:23
Q3 6:37PUNT6p · -6y · 3:38
Q3 2:59PUNT3p · 1y · 1:24
Q3 1:35TD2p · 70y · 0:38
Q3 0:57TD6p · 62y · 1:37
Q4 14:20TD7p · 80y · 3:33
Q4 10:47FG15p · 56y · 6:53
Q4 3:54TD6p · 58y · 1:43
Q4 2:11FG4p · -3y · 1:02
Q4 1:09TD8p · 80y · 1:03
Q4 0:06HALF2p · -1y · 0:06
Q5 10:00PUNT3p · 1y · 1:31
Q5 8:29PUNT3p · -5y · 1:27
Q5 7:02FG8p · 44y · 4:09

Cardinals13 drives6scoring drives (4 TD)46%drives ending in pointsOWN 32avg starting field position2three-and-outs3turnovers incl. downs

Cowboys12 drives6scoring drives (3 TD)50%drives ending in pointsOWN 38avg starting field position4three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
2:33TouchdownJames Mitchell 0 Yd Fumble Recovery (Brandon Aubrey Kick)0–7
Q2
5:16TouchdownB.Jones reported in as eligible. D.Prescott pass short middle to R.Flournoy for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Penalty on ARZ-Ma.Wilson, Defensive Holding, declined. B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.0–14
Q2
1:13Field goalC.Ryland 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.3–14
Q3
6:37Field goalB.Aubrey 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.3–17
Q3
0:57TouchdownT.Allgeier up the middle for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.10–17
Q4
14:20Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Prescott scrambles right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.10–24
Q4
10:47Touchdown(Shotgun) G.Minshew pass short left to T.Allgeier for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.17–24
Q4
3:54Field goalB.Aubrey 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.17–27
Q4
2:11Touchdown(Shotgun) G.Minshew pass short right to T.McBride for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.24–27
Q4
1:09Field goalB.Aubrey 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger.24–30
Q4
0:06Touchdown(Shotgun) G.Minshew pass short middle to Mi.Wilson for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.Ryland extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.30–30
OT
2:53Field goal C.Ryland 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-C.Kreiter, Holder-B.Gillikin.33–30

Team stats

ARIvsDAL

467Total yards261

265Passing yards168

202Rushing yards93

6.0Yards per play3.6

24First downs19

8-18 · 44%Third down6-16 · 38%

1-2Fourth down1-2

3-5Red zone TDs3-5

27/46Comp / att19/29

7.5Yards per carry2.4

2Turnovers0

5 (−42 yds)Sacks allowed4 (−27 yds)

9 for 77Penalties7 for 45

33:25Possession33:42

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.054-0.052

Dropback EPA-0.000+0.141

Rush EPA+0.164-0.263

Success rate39%39%

Explosive plays82

Plays7571

Who moved the needle

G.Minshew IIDropbacks: 21+14.7

T.AllgeierCarries: 11+7.9

T.McBrideTargets: 8+6.1

Mi.WilsonTargets: 15+5.8

D.PrescottDropbacks: 37+5.2

C.LambTargets: 11+4.2

Cost their side the most

J.BrissettDropbacks: 29-14.7

J.WilliamsCarries: 24-9.7

E.HigginsTargets: 4-6.7

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Gardner Minshew IIQB	17/23	188	8.2	3	0	1-6	71.0	137.3
Jacoby BrissettQB	10/23	119	5.2	0	1	4-36	14.7	41.8

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Tyler AllgeierRB	11	147	13.4	1	63
Jeremiyah LoveRB	9	23	2.6	0	6
Michael WilsonWR	1	17	17.0	0	17
Bam KnightRB	3	8	2.7	0	4
Jacoby BrissettQB	3	7	2.3	0	3

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Michael WilsonWR	8	15	111	13.9	1	27
Trey McBrideTE	7	8	72	10.3	1	15
Tyler AllgeierRB	5	5	44	8.8	1	17
Kendrick BourneWR	1	2	29	29.0	0	29
Simi FehokoWR	1	1	17	17.0	0	17
Devin DuvernayWR	2	2	14	7.0	0	7
Bam KnightRB	1	2	10	10.0	0	10
Elijah HigginsTE	2	4	10	5.0	0	6
Reggie VirgilWR	0	2	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Jack GibbensLB	11	3	0	0	0	0
Mack Wilson Sr.LB	8	3	0	2	0	1
Andrew WingardS	7	6	0	0	0	0
Budda BakerS	7	1	0	0	0	0
Josh SweatLB	6	2	1	1	0	1
Dante StillsDT	6	1	0	0	1	0
Darius RobinsonDE	5	3	0	1	0	0
Andrew BillingsDT	5	2	1	1	0	1
Kei'Trel ClarkCB	5	2	0	1	0	0
Denzel BurkeCB	4	4	0	0	2	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Chad RylandPK	2/2	100.0	42	3/4	9

Dallas Cowboys

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Dak PrescottQB	19/29	195	6.7	1	0	4-27	60.9	96.2

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Javonte WilliamsRB	24	56	2.3	0	6
Dak PrescottQB	7	20	2.9	1	7
Tyler GoodsonRB	7	14	2.0	0	6
Ryan FlournoyWR	1	3	3.0	0	3

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
CeeDee LambWR	7	11	58	8.3	0	27
George PickensWR	2	4	48	24.0	0	37
Ryan FlournoyWR	3	4	38	12.7	1	17
Brevyn Spann-FordTE	4	5	31	7.8	0	17
Tyler GoodsonRB	2	2	19	9.5	0	11
Javonte WilliamsRB	1	2	1	1.0	0	1

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Shemar JamesLB	9	5	0	0	1	0
P.J. LockeS	8	4	0	0	0	0
DeMarvion OvershownLB	8	3	0	0	0	0
Quinnen WilliamsDT	7	4	2	2	0	2
Malik HookerS	7	3	0	0	1	0
Elijah GarciaDE	6	1	0	0	0	2
Cobie DurantCB	4	4	0	0	0	0
Caleb DownsS	4	2	0	0	0	0
DaRon BlandCB	3	3	0	0	2	0
Donovan EzeiruakuLB	3	1	1	1	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Brandon AubreyPK	3/4	75.0	41	3/3	12

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 7 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Cowboys dropback offense vs Cardinals pass defense
The Cowboys' dropback offense ranks 8th in EPA per dropback (+0.15, 296 dropbacks) against a Cardinals pass defense ranked 30th (+0.26 allowed, 226 dropbacks faced).
8thDAL offense22 spots apart30thARI defense
2Cowboys red-zone offense vs Cardinals red-zone defense
The Cowboys' red-zone offense ranks 2nd in red-zone touchdown rate (71%, 28 trips) against a Cardinals red-zone defense ranked 26th (71% allowed, 24 trips faced).
2ndDAL offense24 spots apart26thARI defense
3Cardinals pass protection vs Cowboys pass rush
The Cardinals' pass protection ranks 10th in sack rate (5.0% sacked, 303 dropbacks) against a Cowboys pass rush ranked 27th (4.1% of dropbacks, 243 dropbacks faced).
10thARI offense17 spots apart27thDAL defense

When the Cardinals have the ballEdge ARI · +8 ranks

ARI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackDAL pass defense

23rd-0.01303 dropbacks

ARI +8

+0.27 allowed243 dropbacks faced31st

ARI run gameEPA per rushDAL run defense

18th-0.08171 rushes

ARI +8

-0.03 allowed190 rushes faced26th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Cowboys have the ballEdge DAL · +22 ranks

DAL dropback offenseEPA per dropbackARI pass defense

8th+0.15296 dropbacks

DAL +22

+0.26 allowed226 dropbacks faced30th

DAL run gameEPA per rushARI run defense

4th+0.04148 rushes

-0.12 allowed180 rushes faced10th

Third downEdge DAL · +12 ranks

ARI third-down offensethird-down conversion rateDAL third-down defense

24th38.1%105 third downs

54.1% allowed85 third downs faced31st

DAL third-down offensethird-down conversion rateARI third-down defense

3rd50.6%85 third downs

DAL +12

41.0% allowed78 third downs faced15th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge DAL · +24 ranks

ARI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateDAL red-zone defense

31st44%27 trips

71% allowed28 trips faced27th

DAL red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateARI red-zone defense

2nd71%28 trips

DAL +24

71% allowed24 trips faced26th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsNo big edge

ARI big-play offenseexplosive-play rateDAL defense against big plays

32nd5.1%474 plays

10.9% allowed433 plays faced27th

DAL big-play offenseexplosive-play rateARI defense against big plays

27th7.4%444 plays

11.1% allowed406 plays faced31st

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge ARI · +17 ranks

ARI pass protectionsack rateDAL pass rush

10th5.0% sacked303 dropbacks

ARI +17

4.1% of dropbacks243 dropbacks faced27th

DAL pass protectionsack rateARI pass rush

1st2.4% sacked296 dropbacks

DAL +13

6.6% of dropbacks226 dropbacks faced14th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge ARI · +19 ranks

ARI ball securityturnovers per gameDAL takeaway defense

11th0.9 giveaways a game7 games

ARI +19

0.6 takeaways a game7 games30th

DAL ball securityturnovers per gameARI takeaway defense

11th0.9 giveaways a game7 games

1.0 takeaways a game7 games16th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: ARI 7 games, 474 offensive and 406 defensive plays · DAL 7 games, 444 offensive and 433 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Carson BeckQB→ Jacoby Brissett

Devin DuvernayWR→ Michael Wilson

Jon Gaines IIRG→ Hayden Conner

Roy LopezLDT→ L.J. Collier

Walter Nolen IIIRDT→ Baron Browning

Hunter LuepkeFB→ Tyler Goodson

Otito OgbonniaNT→ Shemar James

Dee WintersRILB→ Malachi Lawrence

Joey Porter Jr.LCB→ Cobie Durant

Markquese BellSS→ P.J. Locke

AwayCardinals2 next man up · 4 questionable · 5 changes