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Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27 · Acrisure Stadium12 AM ET
At a glance

The Carolina Panthers (3-5) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) on Sun, Dec 27, time TBD at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA (Week 16, 2026 season).

When and where is Panthers vs Steelers?

Sun, Dec 27, time TBD at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.

Who is injured for Panthers vs Steelers?

Panthers: Ihmir Smith-Marsette (WR, out, undisclosed), Bobby Okereke (LB, questionable, foot), Damien Lewis (G, questionable, knee), Jaelan Phillips (LB, questionable, hamstring) and Will Lee III (CB, questionable, hamstring). Steelers: Ben Skowronek (WR, questionable, calf), Brandin Echols (CB, questionable, hamstring) and Doneiko Slaughter (CB, questionable, hamstring).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Panthers at Steelers: Week 16 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-12-27-car-at-pit (updated 2026-11-10).

Regular season through week 15 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

  1. 1Steelers logoSteelers run game vs Panthers run defense

    The Steelers' run game ranks 1st in EPA per rush (+0.12, 179 rushes) against a Panthers run defense ranked 25th (-0.03 allowed, 210 rushes faced).

    1stPIT offense24 spots apart25thCAR defense
  2. 2Steelers logoSteelers pass rush vs Panthers pass protection

    The Steelers' pass rush ranks 4th in sack rate (8.2% of dropbacks, 318 dropbacks faced) and faces a Panthers pass protection ranked 23rd (7.5% sacked, 348 dropbacks).

    23rdCAR offense19 spots apart4thPIT defense
  3. 3Steelers logoSteelers third-down offense vs Panthers third-down defense

    The Steelers' third-down offense ranks 15th in third-down conversion rate (39.2%, 102 third downs) against a Panthers third-down defense ranked 29th (47.7% allowed, 107 third downs faced).

    15thPIT offense14 spots apart29thCAR defense
When the Panthers have the ballEdge PIT · +8 ranks
CAR dropback offenseEPA per dropbackPIT pass defense
13th+0.08348 dropbacks
-0.03 allowed318 dropbacks faced8th
CAR run gameEPA per rushPIT run defense
12th-0.04176 rushes
PIT +8
-0.16 allowed168 rushes faced4th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Steelers have the ballEdge PIT · +24 ranks
PIT dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCAR pass defense
26th-0.11315 dropbacks
+0.07 allowed308 dropbacks faced20th
PIT run gameEPA per rushCAR run defense
1st+0.12179 rushes
PIT +24
-0.03 allowed210 rushes faced25th
Third downEdge PIT · +14 ranks
CAR third-down offensethird-down conversion ratePIT third-down defense
21st37.7%106 third downs
PIT +13
35.2% allowed105 third downs faced8th
PIT third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCAR third-down defense
15th39.2%102 third downs
PIT +14
47.7% allowed107 third downs faced29th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge
CAR red-zone offensered-zone touchdown ratePIT red-zone defense
6th66%29 trips
38% allowed16 trips faced2nd
PIT red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCAR red-zone defense
28th48%25 trips
75% allowed24 trips faced29th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge CAR · +11 ranks
CAR big-play offenseexplosive-play ratePIT defense against big plays
14th9.5%524 plays
9.1% allowed486 plays faced13th
PIT big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCAR defense against big plays
16th9.5%494 plays
CAR +11
7.3% allowed518 plays faced5th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge PIT · +19 ranks
CAR pass protectionsack ratePIT pass rush
23rd7.5% sacked348 dropbacks
PIT +19
8.2% of dropbacks318 dropbacks faced4th
PIT pass protectionsack rateCAR pass rush
21st7.3% sacked315 dropbacks
PIT +11
3.9% of dropbacks308 dropbacks faced32nd

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge PIT · +14 ranks
CAR ball securityturnovers per gamePIT takeaway defense
19th1.3 giveaways a game8 games
PIT +14
1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th
PIT ball securityturnovers per gameCAR takeaway defense
10th1.0 giveaways a game8 games
1.1 takeaways a game8 games17th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesCAR 0 · PIT 0 regulars out or doubtful
Panthers logoPanthers5 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Steelers logoSteelers3 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · CAR travels 364 mi
Panthers logoAwayPanthers
7days since last game
364miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 vs CIN · 3,713 mi flown this season

Body clock 12:00 a.m.
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 364 mi
Steelers logoHomeSteelers
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 vs BAL · 10,686 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: CAR 8 games, 524 offensive and 518 defensive plays · PIT 8 games, 494 offensive and 486 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32

Tale of the tape

Panthers logoCARPITSteelers logo
9th+0.042Offense EPA / play-0.02719th
13th+0.084Dropback EPA-0.11026th
12th-0.041Rush EPA+0.1191st
16th42.7%Offense success rate42.1%19th
4th+3.1%Pass rate over expected+1.2%5th
21st+0.030Defense EPA allowed-0.0747th
20th+0.073Pass defense EPA-0.0288th
25th-0.032Run defense EPA-0.1614th
23rd44.4%Defense success allowed41.8%11th
22nd17.4To QBs12.730th
2nd28.5To RBs20.323rd
16th32.4To WRs28.924th
16th13.5To TEs13.218th

Form

Last six results

Injury report

League report
Panthers logoPanthers5 listed
Steelers logoSteelers3 listed

Expected starters

ExpectedEvery game →

Depth chart rank 1, adjusted for the injury report. Kickoff Sun, Dec 27, 12 AM ET.

WeatherTBDForecast closer to kickoff
VenueAcrisure StadiumPittsburgh, PA

Travel & rest

Travel & rest board
Panthers logoAwayPanthers
7days since last game
364miles to get here
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 vs CIN · 3,713 mi flown this season

Body clock 12:00 a.m.
Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 364 mi
Steelers logoHomeSteelers
7days since last game
0miles · home
0time zones

Last: Sun wk 15 vs BAL · 10,686 mi flown this season

Normal week

Early body-clock kickoffs: 8-10 (18 games). All travel splits →

Week 16 around the league

15 other games