Panthers 25, Eagles 14: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18 · Lincoln Financial FieldFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
CAR	3	7	3	12	25
PHI	0	7	0	7	14

Home · 2-7PhiladelphiaEagles14

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

The Carolina Panthers beat the Philadelphia Eagles 25-14 on Sun, Oct 18 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA (Week 6, 2026 season). Records after the game: Panthers 3-5, Eagles 2-7. T.McMillan (CAR) led all players with +5.7 EPA on 9 targets.

Who won Panthers vs Eagles?

The Carolina Panthers won 25-14. By quarter: CAR 3-7-3-12, PHI 0-7-0-7.

Who was the best player in Panthers vs Eagles?

By expected points added: T.McMillan (CAR, +5.7 EPA on 9 targets), C.Hubbard (CAR, +5.1 EPA on 28 carries) and T.Tremble (CAR, +4.8 EPA on 4 targets).

What was the turning point of Panthers vs Eagles?

The biggest swing in win probability (10 points toward the Panthers) came in Q2 at 8:33: (Shotgun) B.Young pass short middle to T.McMillan to PHI 24 for 16 yards (Z.Baun; J.Campbell).PENALTY on PHI-J.Davis, Roughing the Passer, 12 yards, enforced at PHI 24.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Panthers 25, Eagles 14: Week 6 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-10-18-car-at-phi (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 6 issue →

Week 6EarnedGame file →

Panthers44% success · +0.09 EPA/play

2514

Eagles38% success · −0.19 EPA/play

CAR 99% deserveddeserved 1% PHI

Panthers earned it: the snaps said Panthers by 13.1, a deserved win probability of 99%.

Deserved marginCAR by 13.1

Real marginCAR by 11

Luck pts CAR−2.0

Luck pts PHI+1.4

The swingQ2 1:56 · CAR · +11 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep left to 4-T.McMillan to CAR 36 for 21 yards (27-Q.Mitchell).

Flags that moved this game

1Offensive HoldingCAR → helped PHI · Wk 6 Q1 9:53 · 10-B.Mann punts 55 yards to CAR 26, Center-41-R.Underwood. 23-T.Etienne ran ob at CAR 39 for 13 yards (34-C.Steele). PENALTY on…+8.4 WP
2Defensive Pass InterferenceCAR → helped PHI · Wk 6 Q2 3:38 · (Shotgun) 16-T.McKee pass incomplete deep right to 88-D.Goedert [3-P.Umanmielen]. PENALTY on CAR-24-W.Lee, Defensive Pass…+5.2 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1CAR · 4th & 1Dave Canales chose Punt at own 42, Wk 6 Q1 1:48, up 3. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−1.46 EP
2PHI · 4th & 10Nick Sirianni chose Punt at opp 42, Wk 6 Q1 4:00, down 3. Model: Field goal (lean). Result: punted.−0.55 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA163 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 5 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewJohn Hussey24 accepted flags in this game · 13.9 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: CAR by 3 · Snaps: CAR by 13.1Panthers covered; the snaps agree

25@14

Week 6

If the Eagles had stopped that fourth-and-1

Eagles after the play13%what really happened

Q3 1:03 73-S.Forsythe reported in as eligible. 30-C.Hubbard left tackle to PHI 12 for 19 yards (54-J.Trotter).

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

PHI ▲CAR ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+10%Q2 8:33 · for CAR(Shotgun) B.Young pass short middle to T.McMillan to PHI 24 for 16 yards (Z.Baun; J.Campbell).PENALTY on PHI-J.Davis, Roughing the Passer, 12 yards, enforced at PHI 24.
+9%Q4 10:42 · for PHI(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass deep right to D.Smith for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.
+9%Q4 9:32 · for CAR(Shotgun) T.McKee Aborted. J.Majors FUMBLES at PHI 43, recovered by PHI-T.McKee at PHI 36. ** Injury Update: PHI-D.Wicks has returned to the game.
+9%Q3 4:27 · for CAR(Shotgun) B.Young pass short middle to J.Coker to CAR 42 for 32 yards (A.Mukuba).
+8%Q3 1:03 · for CARS.Forsythe reported in as eligible. C.Hubbard left tackle to PHI 12 for 19 yards (J.Trotter).

Every drive, on the field

PHI attacks →← CAR attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 0y · 1:32
Q1 13:28FG6p · 32y · 2:38
Q1 10:50PUNT3p · -3y · 1:08
Q1 9:42PUNT5p · 23y · 2:45
Q1 6:57PUNT8p · 47y · 3:04
Q1 3:53PUNT4p · 28y · 2:14
Q1 1:39PUNT6p · 9y · 3:54
Q2 12:45PUNT5p · 32y · 2:18
Q2 10:27PUNT3p · 4y · 0:55
Q2 9:32TD5p · 35y · 1:24
Q2 8:08TD10p · 78y · 5:26
Q2 2:42HALF6p · 25y · 2:42
Q3 15:00FG12p · 36y · 3:28
Q3 11:32PUNT3p · 2y · 1:07
Q3 10:25PUNT3p · 4y · 2:09
Q3 8:16PUNT5p · 14y · 1:59
Q3 6:17TD14p · 92y · 7:43
Q4 13:34TD10p · 69y · 2:52
Q4 10:42PUNT3p · 2y · 1:10
Q4 9:32PUNT3p · -8y · 1:08
Q4 8:24TD4p · 48y · 1:51
Q4 6:33DOWNS7p · 38y · 2:07
Q4 4:26END9p · 47y · 4:26

Panthers10 drives5scoring drives (3 TD)50%drives ending in pointsOWN 30avg starting field position2three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Eagles11 drives2scoring drives (2 TD)18%drives ending in pointsOWN 21avg starting field position5three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
10:50Field goalR.Fitzgerald 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Jansen, Holder-S.Martin.3–0
Q2
8:08Touchdown(Shotgun) B.Young pass short left to T.Tremble for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. R.Fitzgerald extra point is GOOD, Center-J.Jansen, Holder-S.Martin.10–0
Q2
2:42Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Pierce up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.10–7
Q3
11:32Field goalR.Fitzgerald 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Jansen, Holder-S.Martin.13–7
Q4
13:34TouchdownC.Hubbard left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. B.Young pass to J.Metchie is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.19–7
Q4
10:42Touchdown(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.McKee pass deep right to D.Smith for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.19–14
Q4
6:33TouchdownTommy Tremble 19 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Ryan Fitzgerald PAT failed)25–14

Team stats

CARvsPHI

399Total yards222

273Passing yards187

126Rushing yards35

5.4Yards per play3.6

25First downs17

7-17 · 41%Third down6-15 · 40%

1-1Fourth down0-1

3-4Red zone TDs2-2

20/39Comp / att26/45

3.8Yards per carry2.7

0Turnovers0

2 (−8 yds)Sacks allowed3 (−28 yds)

13 for 149Penalties11 for 84

34:48Possession25:12

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.119-0.171

Dropback EPA+0.096-0.180

Rush EPA+0.151-0.139

Success rate44%38%

Explosive plays70

Plays7361

Who moved the needle

T.McMillanTargets: 9+5.7

C.HubbardCarries: 28+5.1

T.TrembleTargets: 4+4.8

D.GoedertTargets: 8+4.4

B.YoungDropbacks: 43+4.1

D.WicksTargets: 4+1.8

Cost their side the most

T.McKeeDropbacks: 48-8.6

M.LemonTargets: 6-2.9

D.PierceTargets: 5-2.7

Box score

Carolina Panthers

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Bryce YoungQB	20/39	281	7.2	2	0	2-8	41.2	91.9

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Chuba HubbardRB	28	120	4.3	1	19
Bryce YoungQB	3	6	2.0	0	8
Mitchell EvansTE	1	1	1.0	0	1
Trevor EtienneRB	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jalen CokerWR	6	13	97	16.2	0	32
Tetairoa McMillanWR	6	9	86	14.3	0	21
Tommy TrembleTE	4	4	46	11.5	2	19
David MooreWR	1	1	27	27.0	0	27
John Metchie IIIWR	2	3	24	12.0	0	15
Chuba HubbardRB	1	2	1	1.0	0	1
Darren WallerTE	0	2	0	0.0	0	0
Mitchell EvansTE	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Bobby OkerekeLB	8	7	1	3	2	1
Nick ScottS	6	6	0	0	1	0
Will Lee IIICB	6	6	0	0	3	0
Devin LloydLB	4	3	1	1	0	2
Tre'von MoehrigS	4	3	0.5	1	0	2
Zakee WheatleyS	4	3	0	0	2	0
Akayleb EvansCB	3	3	0	0	0	0
Isaiah SimmonsS	2	1	0	0	0	0
Derrick BrownDT	2	1	0	0	1	2
Brycen TremayneWR	2	1	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Ryan FitzgeraldPK	2/2	100.0	52	1/2	7

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Tanner McKeeQB	26/45	215	4.8	1	0	3-28	32.0	77.5

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Dameon PierceRB	12	35	2.9	1	9
Tanner McKeeQB	1	0	0.0	0	0

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
DeVonta SmithWR	7	14	75	10.7	1	19
Dallas GoedertTE	6	8	61	10.2	0	18
Dontayvion WicksWR	2	4	24	12.0	0	17
Makai LemonWR	3	6	19	6.3	0	13
Dameon PierceRB	4	5	15	3.8	0	11
Darius CooperWR	1	2	9	9.0	0	9
Johnny MundtTE	1	1	4	4.0	0	4
Elijah MooreWR	1	2	4	4.0	0	4
Carson Steele	1	2	4	4.0	0	4

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Arnold EbiketieLB	9	1	0	0	0	0
Andrew MukubaS	8	4	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.LB	6	4	0.5	0	0	1
Zack BaunLB	6	2	0	0	1	1
Cooper DeJeanCB	5	5	0	1	1	0
Byron YoungDT	5	3	0	0	0	0
Quinyon MitchellCB	5	2	0	0	3	0
Jihaad CampbellLB	5	1	0	0	0	0
Kenny Moore IICB	4	3	0	0	0	0
Jordan DavisDT	4	0	0.5	0	1	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Jake ElliottPK	0/0	0.0	0	2/2	2

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 5 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Panthers defense against big plays vs Eagles big-play offense
The Panthers' defense against big plays ranks 11th in explosive-play rate (8.6% allowed, 267 plays faced) and faces a Eagles big-play offense ranked 31st (6.3%, 287 plays).
31stPHI offense20 spots apart11thCAR defense
2Panthers dropback offense vs Eagles pass defense
The Panthers' dropback offense ranks 6th in EPA per dropback (+0.23, 177 dropbacks) against a Eagles pass defense ranked 24th (+0.13 allowed, 196 dropbacks faced).
6thCAR offense18 spots apart24thPHI defense
3Panthers pass protection vs Eagles pass rush
The Panthers' pass protection ranks 14th in sack rate (5.6% sacked, 177 dropbacks) against a Eagles pass rush ranked 30th (3.1% of dropbacks, 196 dropbacks faced).
14thCAR offense16 spots apart30thPHI defense

When the Panthers have the ballEdge CAR · +18 ranks

CAR dropback offenseEPA per dropbackPHI pass defense

6th+0.23177 dropbacks

CAR +18

+0.13 allowed196 dropbacks faced24th

CAR run gameEPA per rushPHI run defense

21st-0.1288 rushes

-0.02 allowed134 rushes faced26th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Eagles have the ballEdge CAR · +8 ranks

PHI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackCAR pass defense

24th-0.08180 dropbacks

+0.07 allowed169 dropbacks faced20th

PHI run gameEPA per rushCAR run defense

28th-0.20107 rushes

CAR +8

-0.04 allowed98 rushes faced20th

Third downNo big edge

CAR third-down offensethird-down conversion ratePHI third-down defense

20th38.0%50 third downs

39.7% allowed73 third downs faced15th

PHI third-down offensethird-down conversion rateCAR third-down defense

25th36.8%68 third downs

42.6% allowed54 third downs faced20th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge PHI · +8 ranks

CAR red-zone offensered-zone touchdown ratePHI red-zone defense

7th69%16 trips

56% allowed18 trips faced14th

PHI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateCAR red-zone defense

18th57%14 trips

PHI +8

73% allowed11 trips faced26th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge CAR · +20 ranks

CAR big-play offenseexplosive-play ratePHI defense against big plays

7th10.9%265 plays

8.5% allowed330 plays faced9th

PHI big-play offenseexplosive-play rateCAR defense against big plays

31st6.3%287 plays

CAR +20

8.6% allowed267 plays faced11th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge CAR · +16 ranks

CAR pass protectionsack ratePHI pass rush

14th5.6% sacked177 dropbacks

CAR +16

3.1% of dropbacks196 dropbacks faced30th

PHI pass protectionsack rateCAR pass rush

25th7.2% sacked180 dropbacks

4.7% of dropbacks169 dropbacks faced25th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge CAR · +20 ranks

CAR ball securityturnovers per gamePHI takeaway defense

9th0.8 giveaways a game4 games

CAR +20

0.6 takeaways a game5 games29th

PHI ball securityturnovers per gameCAR takeaway defense

12th1.0 giveaways a game5 games

1.5 takeaways a game4 games8th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: CAR 4 games, 265 offensive and 267 defensive plays · PHI 5 games, 287 offensive and 330 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Monroe FreelingRT→ Taylor Moton

Lee HunterNT→ Princely Umanmielen

Malcolm DeWalt IVLCB→ Akayleb Evans

Chau Smith-WadeNB→ Zakee Wheatley

Joe MiltonQB→ Tanner McKee

Saquon BarkleyRB→ Dameon Pierce

Hollywood BrownWR→ DeVonta Smith

Landon DickersonLG→ Willie Lampkin

Drew KendallC→ Jake Majors

Nolan Smith Jr.WLB→ Arnold Ebiketie

Jeremiah Trotter Jr.RILB→ Jihaad Campbell