Pigskin NightlyWeek 10
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InjuryChig Okonkwo: Questionable → Activejust nowInjuryCharlie Jones: Questionable → Active16 min agoInjuryCarl Granderson: Active → Cleared16 min agoLas Vegas RaidersFernando Mendoza named Raiders' starting quarterbackCleveland BrownsBrowns announce unofficial depth chart for Week 10 vs. the TexansPro Football RumorsVikings Had Interest In Justin Herbert, Daniel Jones, Geno SmithLos Angeles RamsFirst Look: Rams take on Cardinals in Arizona in Week 10 riding three-game win streakESPNCommanders stand pat at trade deadlineSeattle SeahawksHow To Watch, Listen And Follow Seahawks at Raiders In Week 10 On Sunday, November 15ESPNGiants' Nabers calls Fox analyst Olsen's body language critique a 'lie'ESPNFalcons trade center Ryan Neuzil to Ravens for guard Andrew Vorhees, pickVikings DeskVikings lose by 17 and the snaps say it should have been worse1 h agoLas Vegas RaidersRaiders acquire 2027 third-round draft pick in exchange for QB Kirk CousinsLas Vegas RaidersJohn Spytek and Klint Kubiak to hold press conference following NFL trade deadlineESPNNFL trade deadline grades: Deals for Kirk Cousins, Josh Downs, Daiyan HenleyPhiladelphia EaglesEagles waive RB Jaydon BlueCleveland BrownsBrowns sign TE Zaire Mitchell-Paden and P Wes Pahl to the practice squadInjuryJ.J. McCarthy: Active → Questionable1 h agoInjuryCam Skattebo: Active → Out1 h agoSan Francisco 49ers49ers Place DL Gracen Halton on Injured ReserveGiants DeskJameis Winston's minus-0.05 EPA per play meets a Commanders defense ranked 20th2 h agoInjuryJ.J. McCarthy: Questionable → Active2 h ago
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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 6 · 2026Panthers 25 · 14 Eagles

163 plays, one strand. Panthers won without the lead ever changing hands; Panthers peaked at 100% to win, Eagles at 55%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for PHI, down for CAR, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Panthers peaked at 100% to win, Eagles at 55%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Eagles win, play by play. High = PHI in control, low = CAR in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for PHI on offense, down for CAR; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Eagles ↑Panthers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDTDTDTDTDPHI ↑ HOMECAR ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: CAR on the left, PHI on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
CARPHI
73Plays61
401Yards222
5Explosive plays0
3Offensive TDs2
0Turnovers0
100%Peak win prob.55%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
PHIPunt0yCARFG32yPHIPunt-3yCARPunt23yPHIPunt29yCARPunt23yPHIPunt19yCARPunt37yPHIPunt4yCARTD28yPHITD61yCAR–35yCARFG31yPHIPunt2yCARPunt9yPHIPunt14yCARTD94yPHITD69yCARPunt2yPHIPunt4yCARTD33yPHI–23yCAR–54y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.7 expected points for Panthers.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q2 8:33 · CAR · Completion

    9-B.Young pass short middle to 4-T.McMillan to PHI 24 for 16 yards (53-Z.Baun; 11-J.Campbell). PENALTY on PHI-90-J.Davis, Roughing the Passe

    +2.7 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 5:14 · PHI · Completion

    16-T.McKee pass short middle to 6-D.Smith to CAR 40 for 16 yards (20-Z.Wheatley).

    +2.2 EP
  3. 3
    Q3 4:27 · CAR · Completion

    9-B.Young pass short middle to 18-J.Coker to CAR 42 for 32 yards (24-A.Mukuba).

    +3.3 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 1:03 · CAR · Run

    73-S.Forsythe reported in as eligible. 30-C.Hubbard left tackle to PHI 12 for 19 yards (54-J.Trotter).

    +2.9 EP
  5. 5
    Q4 10:48 · PHI · Touchdown

    16-T.McKee pass deep right to 6-D.Smith for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.7 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 6:39 · CAR · Touchdown

    9-B.Young pass deep middle to 82-T.Tremble for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CAR-82-T.Tremble, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

    +2.5 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 4:32 · PHI · Incomplete

    16-T.McKee pass incomplete deep right to 6-D.Smith (20-Z.Wheatley).

    −2.2 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 4:07 · CAR · Completion

    9-B.Young pass short left to 83-D.Moore to PHI 13 for 27 yards (94-B.Young).

    +2.2 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

If the Eagles had stopped that fourth-and-1

Eagles after the play13%what really happened
EaglesPanthersthe rest never happened

Q3 1:03 73-S.Forsythe reported in as eligible. 30-C.Hubbard left tackle to PHI 12 for 19 yards (54-J.Trotter).

Week 6

The rest of the week