Browns 23, Buccaneers 19: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20 · Raymond James StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
CLE	3	3	10	7	23
TB	6	3	7	3	19

Home · 3-6Tampa BayBuccaneers19

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 4:57 PM ET

The Cleveland Browns beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-19 on Sun, Sep 20 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL (Week 2, 2026 season). Records after the game: Browns 5-4, Buccaneers 3-6. D.Watson (CLE) led all players with +10.7 EPA on 35 dropbacks.

Who won Browns vs Buccaneers?

The Cleveland Browns won 23-19. By quarter: CLE 3-3-10-7, TB 6-3-7-3.

Who was the best player in Browns vs Buccaneers?

By expected points added: D.Watson (CLE, +10.7 EPA on 35 dropbacks), D.Boston (CLE, +7.0 EPA on 7 targets) and C.Godwin (TB, +3.9 EPA on 3 targets).

What was the turning point of Browns vs Buccaneers?

The biggest swing in win probability (43 points toward the Browns) came in Q4 at 0:45: (Shotgun) B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to T.Hurst.PENALTY on TB-G.Barton, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CLV 13 - No Play.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Browns 23, Buccaneers 19: Week 2 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-20-cle-at-tb (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 2 issue →

Week 2EarnedGame file →

Browns43% success · +0.01 EPA/play

2319

Buccaneers39% success · −0.18 EPA/play

CLE 93% deserveddeserved 7% TB

Browns earned it: the snaps said Browns by 8.2, a deserved win probability of 93%.

Deserved marginCLE by 8.2

Real marginCLE by 4

Luck pts CLE−4.0

Luck pts TB+0.7

The swingQ4 0:22 · TB · −26 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to 2-E.Egbuka.

Flags that moved this game

1Offensive HoldingTB → helped CLE · Wk 2 Q4 0:45 · (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to 17-T.Hurst. PENALTY on TB-62-G.Barton, Offensive Holding, 10 yards,…+10.7 WP
2Defensive HoldingCLE → helped TB · Wk 2 Q1 1:48 · (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles right end to TB 31 for 14 yards (26-M.Harden). PENALTY on CLE-21-D.Ward, Defensive Holding, 5…+6.5 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1TB · 4th & 2Todd Bowles chose Field goal at opp 13, Wk 2 Q4 10:01, tied. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: good.−0.47 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA138 plays, one strand1 lead change · 9 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewBrad Rogers12 accepted flags in this game · 12 a game this season (one of the quietest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: TB by 8.5 · Snaps: CLE by 8.2Browns covered; the snaps agree

23@19

Week 2Changes the winner

If the Buccaneers had converted that fourth-and-11

Buccaneers after the play4%what really happened

Q4 0:22 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to 2-E.Egbuka.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

TB ▲CLE ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+43%Q4 0:45 · for CLE(Shotgun) B.Mayfield pass incomplete short right to T.Hurst.PENALTY on TB-G.Barton, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CLV 13 - No Play.
+22%Q4 3:51 · for CLED.Watson pass short left to B.Whiteheart for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.
+20%Q4 0:22 · for CLE(Shotgun) B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep middle to E.Egbuka.
+16%Q3 1:23 · for CLE(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short middle to D.Boston for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.
+13%Q4 0:51 · for TB(Shotgun) B.Mayfield pass short left to T.Hurst to CLV 13 for 6 yards (M.Blackmon).

Every drive, on the field

TB attacks →← CLE attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 5y · 1:44
Q1 13:16FG5p · 23y · 2:06
Q1 11:10FG7p · 40y · 3:58
Q1 7:12FG6p · 48y · 3:10
Q1 4:02PUNT3p · -2y · 1:34
Q1 2:28INT4p · 19y · 1:19
Q1 1:09FG6p · 12y · 2:10
Q2 13:59PUNT6p · 16y · 4:19
Q2 9:40PUNT3p · -12y · 2:32
Q2 7:08PUNT3p · -11y · 2:27
Q2 4:41DOWNS4p · 9y · 1:56
Q2 2:45FG9p · 21y · 2:33
Q2 0:12HALF1p · -1y · 0:12
Q3 15:00TD9p · 65y · 5:27
Q3 9:33FG11p · 58y · 5:48
Q3 3:45PUNT4p · 8y · 1:16
Q3 2:29TD3p · 83y · 1:06
Q3 1:23PUNT3p · 2y · 1:35
Q4 14:48PUNT4p · 15y · 1:57
Q4 12:51FG7p · 71y · 2:53
Q4 9:58TD12p · 68y · 6:07
Q4 3:51DOWNS10p · 31y · 3:33
Q4 0:18END1p · -1y · 0:18

Browns10 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)50%drives ending in pointsOWN 31avg starting field position3three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Buccaneers11 drives5scoring drives (1 TD)45%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position2three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
11:10Field goalC.McLaughlin 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.0–3
Q1
7:12Field goalA.Szmyt 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.3–3
Q1
4:02Field goalC.McLaughlin 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.3–6
Q2
13:59Field goal A.Szmyt 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.6–6
Q2
0:12Field goalC.McLaughlin 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.6–9
Q3
9:33TouchdownB.Mayfield pass short left to E.Egbuka for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.6–16
Q3
3:45Field goalA.Szmyt 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.9–16
Q3
1:23Touchdown(Shotgun) D.Watson pass short middle to D.Boston for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.16–16
Q4
9:58Field goalC.McLaughlin 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-E.Deckers, Holder-R.Dixon.16–19
Q4
3:51TouchdownD.Watson pass short left to B.Whiteheart for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.Szmyt extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Sunahara, Holder-C.Bojorquez.23–19

Team stats

CLEvsTB

267Total yards313

223Passing yards176

44Rushing yards137

4.9Yards per play5.0

15First downs17

5-13 · 38%Third down7-16 · 44%

0-1Fourth down0-1

1-3Red zone TDs1-4

24/30Comp / att21/34

1.9Yards per carry5.5

0Turnovers1

2 (−15 yds)Sacks allowed3 (−6 yds)

6 for 50Penalties6 for 62

29:22Possession30:38

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.009-0.146

Dropback EPA+0.307-0.235

Rush EPA-0.569+0.015

Success rate43%39%

Explosive plays27

Plays5362

Who moved the needle

D.WatsonDropbacks: 35+10.7

D.BostonTargets: 7+7.0

C.GodwinTargets: 3+3.9

H.FanninTargets: 6+2.1

Q.JudkinsTargets: 5+1.1

D.WatsonCarries: 4+1.1

Cost their side the most

B.MayfieldDropbacks: 40-9.4

Q.JudkinsCarries: 12-8.3

T.HurstTargets: 7-6.4

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Deshaun WatsonQB	24/30	238	7.9	2	0	2-15	71.4	121.9

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Deshaun WatsonQB	7	22	3.1	8
Quinshon JudkinsRB	12	21	1.8	9
Raheim SandersRB	2	4	2.0	3
Jaleel McLaughlinRB	1	3	3.0	3
KC ConcepcionWR	1	-6	-6.0	-6

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Denzel BostonWR	5	7	95	19.0	1	55
Harold Fannin Jr.TE	5	6	54	10.8	0	21
KC ConcepcionWR	6	6	28	4.7	0	9
Quinshon JudkinsRB	5	5	27	5.4	0	13
Blake WhiteheartTE	1	2	17	17.0	1	17
Isaiah BondWR	1	1	10	10.0	0	10
Raheim SandersRB	1	1	7	7.0	0	7
Jerry JeudyWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0
Jaleel McLaughlinRB	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Carson SchwesingerLB	10	5	0	1	0	0
Quincy WilliamsLB	6	4	0	1	0	0
Grant DelpitS	5	5	1	0	0	1
Denzel WardCB	5	4	0	0	0	0
Tyson CampbellCB	5	4	0	1	0	0
Myles HardenCB	5	2	0	0	2	0
Isaiah McGuireDE	4	3	0	1	0	0
Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenS	3	3	0	0	0	0
Sam WilliamsLB	3	2	0	0	0	0
Ronnie HickmanS	3	1	1	0	0	1

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Andre SzmytPK	3/3	100.0	50	2/2	11

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Baker MayfieldQB	21/34	182	5.4	1	1	3-6	58.9	73.4

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Bucky IrvingRB	17	89	5.2	38
Baker MayfieldQB	4	29	7.3	14
Chris Godwin Jr.WR	1	12	12.0	12
Kenny GainwellRB	2	10	5.0	6
Emeka EgbukaWR	1	-3	-3.0	-3

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Tez JohnsonWR	1	4	49	49.0	0	49
Chris Godwin Jr.WR	3	3	46	15.3	0	24
Cade OttonTE	5	6	38	7.6	0	13
Ted Hurst IIIWR	2	7	27	13.5	0	21
Emeka EgbukaWR	3	5	16	5.3	1	7
Kenny GainwellRB	3	4	5	1.7	0	5
Bucky IrvingRB	4	4	1	0.3	0	4

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Josiah TrotterLB	13	6	0	0	0	0
Alex AnzaloneLB	8	2	0	0	0	0
Benjamin MorrisonCB	7	5	0	0	1	0
Keionte ScottCB	5	5	0	0	0	0
Tykee SmithS	5	4	0	3	0	0
A'Shawn RobinsonDT	5	2	1	1	0	1
Antoine Winfield Jr.S	4	2	0	0	0	1
Zyon McCollumCB	3	3	0	0	0	0
Yaya DiabyLB	3	1	0	1	1	1
Kameron JohnsonWR	2	2	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Chase McLaughlinPK	4/4	100.0	59	1/1	13

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Easton Mascarenas-ArnoldWLB→ Mike Hall Jr.

David WalkerSLB→ Yaya Diaby

Jacob ParrishNB→ Keionte Scott

AwayBrowns2 questionable · 1 change