Vikings 9, Bears 3: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20 · Soldier FieldFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
MIN	3	3	0	3	9
CHI	3	0	0	0	3

Home · 7-2ChicagoBears3

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Chicago Bears 9-3 on Sun, Sep 20 at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL (Week 2, 2026 season). Records after the game: Vikings 6-2, Bears 7-2. K.Raymond (CHI) led all players with +5.2 EPA on 5 targets.

Who won Vikings vs Bears?

The Minnesota Vikings won 9-3. By quarter: MIN 3-3-0-3, CHI 3-0-0-0.

Who was the best player in Vikings vs Bears?

By expected points added: K.Raymond (CHI, +5.2 EPA on 5 targets), D.Swift (CHI, +4.6 EPA on 5 targets) and T.Hockenson (MIN, +3.3 EPA on 4 targets).

What was the turning point of Vikings vs Bears?

The biggest swing in win probability (32 points toward the Vikings) came in Q4 at 0:06: (Shotgun) T.Bagent pass incomplete short middle to C.Loveland.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Vikings 9, Bears 3: Week 2 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-20-min-at-chi (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 2 issue →

Week 2EarnedGame file →

Vikings33% success · −0.06 EPA/play

Bears32% success · −0.14 EPA/play

MIN 77% deserveddeserved 23% CHI

Vikings earned it: the snaps said Vikings by 4.1, a deserved win probability of 77%.

Deserved marginMIN by 4.1

Real marginMIN by 6

Luck pts MIN+4.3

Luck pts CHI−3.2

The swingQ4 6:26 · CHI · −25 pts of win probability. 8-C.Santos 23 yard field goal is BLOCKED (2-I.Rodgers), Center-45-B.Gardner, Holder-19-T.Taylor, recovered by CHI-19-T.Taylor at MIN 12.

Flags that moved this game

1Roughing the PasserMIN → helped CHI · Wk 2 Q2 6:18 · 18-C.Williams pass short right to 14-K.Raymond to CHI 45 for 5 yards (7-B.Murphy). PENALTY on MIN-15-D.Turner, Roughing the…+7.3 WP
2Intentional GroundingCHI → helped MIN · Wk 2 Q2 2:13 · (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass incomplete short right [55-E.Wilson]. PENALTY on CHI-18-C.Williams, Intentional Grounding, 13…+6.5 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1MIN · 4th & 1Kevin O'Connell chose Punt at own 21, Wk 2 Q4 13:04, up 3. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−1.15 EP
2MIN · 4th & 3Kevin O'Connell chose Punt at own 42, Wk 2 Q1 0:11, tied. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.52 EP
3CHI · 4th & 3Ben Johnson chose Punt at own 34, Wk 2 Q3 4:15, down 3. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.34 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA143 plays, one strand0 lead changes · 10 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewLand Clark11 accepted flags in this game · 14.3 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: CHI by 4.5 · Snaps: MIN by 4.1Vikings covered; the snaps agree

9@3

Week 2

If the 39-yard kick had missed

Bears after the play14%what really happened

Q4 1:12 16-W.Reichard 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-19-B.Thorson.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

CHI ▲MIN ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+32%Q4 0:06 · for MIN (Shotgun) T.Bagent pass incomplete short middle to C.Loveland.
+32%Q4 0:31 · for CHI (Shotgun) T.Bagent pass short right to L.Burden to MIN 12 for 8 yards (J.Pierre).
+24%Q4 0:38 · for CHI(Shotgun) T.Bagent pass deep right to R.Odunze pushed ob at MIN 20 for 21 yards (I.Rodgers).
+20%Q4 0:01 · for MIN(Shotgun) T.Bagent sacked at MIN 21 for -9 yards (D.Turner).
+18%Q4 0:10 · for MIN(No Huddle, Shotgun) T.Bagent pass incomplete short left to L.Burden (I.Rodgers).The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld.

Every drive, on the field

CHI attacks →← MIN attacks

Q1 15:00FG9p · 55y · 3:57
Q1 11:03FG9p · 37y · 6:00
Q1 5:03PUNT3p · -14y · 2:06
Q1 2:57INT3p · -2y · 1:22
Q1 1:35PUNT3p · 7y · 1:32
Q1 0:03PUNT3p · 2y · 1:00
Q2 14:03FG11p · 33y · 5:45
Q2 8:18PUNT13p · 33y · 6:33
Q2 1:45PUNT5p · 16y · 1:25
Q2 0:20HALF2p · -10y · 0:20
Q3 15:00FUM11p · 64y · 5:22
Q3 9:38PUNT5p · 30y · 3:08
Q3 6:30PUNT6p · 21y · 2:29
Q3 4:01PUNT4p · 21y · 2:23
Q3 1:38PUNT5p · 13y · 1:49
Q4 14:49PUNT3p · 9y · 1:51
Q4 12:58BLOCK12p · 62y · 6:37
Q4 6:21FG11p · 67y · 5:12
Q4 1:09DOWNS8p · 44y · 1:09

Vikings9 drives3scoring drives (0 TD)33%drives ending in pointsOWN 20avg starting field position3three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Bears9 drives1scoring drives (0 TD)11%drives ending in pointsOWN 28avg starting field position1three-and-outs4turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
11:03Field goal W.Reichard 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.DePaola, Holder-B.Thorson.3–0
Q1
5:03Field goalC.Santos 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-B.Gardner, Holder-T.Taylor.3–3
Q2
8:18Field goalW.Reichard 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.DePaola, Holder-B.Thorson.6–3
Q4
1:09Field goal W.Reichard 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.DePaola, Holder-B.Thorson.9–3

Team stats

MINvsCHI

246Total yards297

127Passing yards163

119Rushing yards134

4.8Yards per play4.2

11First downs17

3-13 · 23%Third down5-15 · 33%

1-1Fourth down2-3

0-1Red zone TDs0-3

11/20Comp / att20/35

4.3Yards per carry4.3

0Turnovers2

3 (−16 yds)Sacks allowed4 (−29 yds)

3 for 25Penalties8 for 58

27:19Possession32:41

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.078-0.125

Dropback EPA+0.005-0.026

Rush EPA-0.151-0.271

Success rate33%32%

Explosive plays48

Plays5169

Who moved the needle

K.RaymondTargets: 5+5.2

D.SwiftTargets: 5+4.6

T.HockensonTargets: 4+3.3

C.WilliamsDropbacks: 32+1.6

R.OdunzeTargets: 4+1.6

J.JeffersonTargets: 6+1.5

Cost their side the most

D.SwiftCarries: 16-8.9

L.BurdenTargets: 7-3.6

T.BagentDropbacks: 9-2.6

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Carson WentzQB	11/20	143	7.2	0	0	3-16	36.6	77.7

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Aaron Jones Sr.RB	23	105	4.6	20
DeeJay DallasRB	2	8	4.0	4
Carson WentzQB	3	6	2.0	4

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Justin JeffersonWR	3	6	55	18.3	30
T.J. HockensonTE	3	4	29	9.7	19
Josh OliverTE	1	1	24	24.0	24
Jordan AddisonWR	2	5	21	10.5	15
DeeJay DallasRB	1	1	12	12.0	12
Demond ClaiborneRB	1	1	2	2.0	2
Myles PriceWR	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Blake CashmanLB	10	6	1	0	0	1
Byron Murphy Jr.CB	7	4	0	0	2	0
Joshua MetellusS	7	4	0	0	1	0
Eric WilsonLB	7	3	0	0	0	1
Caleb BanksDT	6	3	0	1	0	0
Dallas TurnerLB	5	3	2	2	0	4
Isaiah RodgersCB	4	2	0	0	1	0
Jalen RedmondDT	4	2	0	0	1	0
Andrew Van GinkelLB	3	3	1	1	0	3
Harrison SmithS	3	3	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Will ReichardPK	3/3	100.0	49	0/0	9

Chicago Bears

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Caleb WilliamsQB	15/26	138	5.3	0	1	3-20	71.6	56.2
Tyson BagentQB	5/9	54	6.0	0	0	1-9	17.9	73.4

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	LONG
Kyle MonangaiRB	10	47	4.7	15
D'Andre SwiftRB	16	45	2.8	12
Caleb WilliamsQB	5	42	8.4	17

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
D'Andre SwiftRB	5	6	54	10.8	32
Rome OdunzeWR	3	4	43	14.3	21
Kalif RaymondWR	5	5	40	8.0	16
Luther Burden IIIWR	3	7	32	10.7	18
Kyle MonangaiRB	2	2	11	5.5	7
Sam RoushTE	1	3	9	9.0	9
Colston LovelandTE	1	3	3	3.0	3
Cole KmetTE	0	1	0	0.0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Dillon ThienemanS	7	3	0	0	1	0
James LynchDT	7	2	0	0	0	0
Cam LewisCB	5	3	0	0	0	0
Tyrique Stevenson Sr.CB	5	3	0	1	1	0
Jaylon JohnsonCB	4	4	0	0	0	0
Devin BushLB	4	3	0	1	1	0
T.J. EdwardsLB	4	2	0	0	0	0
Malik Muhammad IICB	3	2	1	1	0	1
Montez SweatDE	3	0	0	0	0	0
D'Marco JacksonLB	3	0	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Cairo SantosPK	1/2	50.0	50	0/0	3

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Kirk CousinsQB→ Carson Wentz

Jordan MasonRB→ Aaron Jones Sr.

Jauan JenningsWR→ Myles Price

Joe HuberLG→ Donovan Jackson

James PierreRCB→ Theo Jackson

Theo BenedetLT→ Braxton Jones

Jeffery SimmonsRDT→ Kentavius Street

D'Marco JacksonSLB→ Dayo Odeyingbo

Kyler GordonNB→ Malik Muhammad II

AwayVikings1 questionable · 5 changes