Saints 24, Ravens 17: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20 · M&T Bank StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
NO	0	6	3	15	24
BAL	7	7	3	0	17

Home · 4-5BaltimoreRavens17

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 9:31 PM ET

The New Orleans Saints beat the Baltimore Ravens 24-17 on Sun, Sep 20 at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD (Week 2, 2026 season). Records after the game: Saints 3-5, Ravens 4-5. T.Shough (NO) led all players with +10.2 EPA on 39 dropbacks.

Who won Saints vs Ravens?

The New Orleans Saints won 24-17. By quarter: NO 0-6-3-15, BAL 7-7-3-0.

Who was the best player in Saints vs Ravens?

By expected points added: T.Shough (NO, +10.2 EPA on 39 dropbacks), J.Johnson (NO, +7.0 EPA on 4 targets) and C.Olave (NO, +6.5 EPA on 10 targets).

What was the turning point of Saints vs Ravens?

The biggest swing in win probability (23 points toward the Saints) came in Q4 at 2:03: (Shotgun) T.Shough pass short right to J.Johnson to BLT 5 for 25 yards (J.Hawkins).PENALTY on BLT-T.Hendrickson, Roughing the Passer, 3 yards, enforced at BLT 5.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Saints 24, Ravens 17: Week 2 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-09-20-no-at-bal (updated 2026-11-11).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 2 issue →

Week 2Coin flipGame file →

Saints45% success · +0.14 EPA/play

2417

Ravens64% success · +0.12 EPA/play

NO 57% deserveddeserved 43% BAL

Saints earned it: the snaps said Saints by 0.9, a deserved win probability of 57%.

Deserved marginNO by 0.9

Real marginNO by 7

Luck pts NO+3.4

Luck pts BAL−3.3

The swingQ4 2:03 · NO · +18 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 83-J.Johnson to BAL 5 for 25 yards (21-J.Hawkins). PENALTY on BAL-91-T.Hendrickson, Roughing the Passer, 3 yards, enforced at BAL 5.

Flags that moved this game

1Roughing the PasserBAL → helped NO · Wk 2 Q4 2:03 · (Shotgun) 6-T.Shough pass short right to 83-J.Johnson to BAL 5 for 25 yards (21-J.Hawkins). PENALTY on BAL-91-T.Hendrickson,…+18.2 WP
2Offensive HoldingBAL → helped NO · Wk 2 Q3 8:12 · 8-L.Jackson scrambles right end ran ob at NO 28 for 12 yards (33-A.Jennings). PENALTY on BAL-17-C.Moore, Offensive Holding, 10…+3.8 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1BAL · 4th & 1Jesse Minter chose Punt at own 37, Wk 2 Q4 8:14, tied. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: punted.−1.34 EP
2NO · 4th & 3Kellen Moore chose Field goal at opp 5, Wk 2 Q2 3:49, down 7. Model: Go for it (clear call). Result: good.−0.83 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

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Game DNA139 plays, one strand1 lead change · 9 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewClete Blakeman12 accepted flags in this game · 15.8 a game this season (one of the busiest crews)Market vs SnapsLine: BAL by 8.5 · Snaps: NO by 0.9Saints covered; the snaps agree

24@17

Week 2Changes the winner

If the Ravens had stopped that fourth-and-1

Ravens after the play44%what really happened

Q4 5:41 6-T.Shough up the middle to BAL 43 for 1 yard (14-K.Hamilton).

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Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

BAL ▲NO ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+23%Q4 2:03 · for NO(Shotgun) T.Shough pass short right to J.Johnson to BLT 5 for 25 yards (J.Hawkins).PENALTY on BLT-T.Hendrickson, Roughing the Passer, 3 yards, enforced at BLT 5.
+22%Q4 1:28 · for NOT.Shough up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-R.Wright.
+14%Q4 5:41 · for NO(No Huddle) T.Shough up the middle to BLT 43 for 1 yard (K.Hamilton).
+11%Q4 1:40 · for BALT.Shough up the middle to BLT 1 for no gain (K.Hamilton).
+11%Q4 9:42 · for NO(Shotgun) T.Shough pass deep middle to C.Olave for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. T.Etienne rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

Every drive, on the field

BAL attacks →← NO attacks

Q1 15:00PUNT3p · 4y · 1:35
Q1 13:25PUNT6p · 12y · 3:42
Q1 9:43TD12p · 76y · 6:51
Q1 2:52PUNT8p · 22y · 4:24
Q2 13:28MISS7p · 63y · 3:18
Q2 10:10FG12p · 56y · 6:24
Q2 3:46TD10p · 80y · 3:22
Q2 0:24FG4p · 15y · 0:24
Q3 15:00FG8p · 41y · 4:00
Q3 11:00FG14p · 37y · 7:37
Q3 3:23PUNT3p · -17y · 1:42
Q3 1:41PUNT3p · -16y · 1:41
Q4 15:00TD9p · 68y · 5:18
Q4 9:42PUNT3p · 9y · 1:36
Q4 8:06TD16p · 68y · 6:38
Q4 1:28INT6p · 34y · 1:15
Q4 0:13END1p · -1y · 0:13

Saints8 drives5scoring drives (2 TD)63%drives ending in pointsOWN 34avg starting field position1three-and-outs0turnovers incl. downs

Ravens8 drives3scoring drives (2 TD)38%drives ending in pointsOWN 27avg starting field position3three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
2:52Touchdown(Shotgun) C.Vinson reported in as eligible. Direct snap to D.Henry. D.Henry right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.0–7
Q2
3:46Field goalD.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-R.Wright.3–7
Q2
0:24Touchdown(Shotgun) L.Jackson pass deep middle to R.Bateman for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. T.Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.3–14
Q2
0:00Field goalD.Carlson 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-R.Wright.6–14
Q3
11:00Field goalD.Carlson 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-R.Wright.9–14
Q3
3:23Field goalT.Loop 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-N.Moore, Holder-R.Eckley.9–17
Q4
9:42Touchdown(Shotgun) T.Shough pass deep middle to C.Olave for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. T.Etienne rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.17–17
Q4
1:28TouchdownT.Shough up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-S.Daly, Holder-R.Wright.24–17

Team stats

NOvsBAL

298Total yards312

233Passing yards204

65Rushing yards108

4.7Yards per play5.6

19First downs19

8-15 · 53%Third down4-9 · 44%

2-2Fourth down0-0

1-2Red zone TDs1-2

27/34Comp / att21/31

2.4Yards per carry4.9

0Turnovers1

3 (−19 yds)Sacks allowed3 (−31 yds)

5 for 35Penalties7 for 34

32:45Possession27:15

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play+0.149+0.116

Dropback EPA+0.260+0.100

Rush EPA-0.025+0.149

Success rate45%64%

Explosive plays65

Plays6455

Who moved the needle

T.ShoughDropbacks: 39+10.2

J.JohnsonTargets: 4+7.0

C.OlaveTargets: 10+6.5

R.BatemanTargets: 9+5.6

D.VeleTargets: 7+5.4

M.AndrewsTargets: 7+4.0

Cost their side the most

A.KamaraCarries: 9-3.8

A.KamaraTargets: 6-3.5

C.MooreTargets: 3-1.9

Box score

New Orleans Saints

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Tyler ShoughQB	27/34	252	7.4	1	0	3-19	76.4	107.4

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Travis Etienne Jr.RB	8	25	3.1	0	8
Tyler ShoughQB	9	23	2.6	1	11
Alvin KamaraRB	9	15	1.7	0	6
CJ DonaldsonRB	1	2	2.0	0	2

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Chris OlaveWR	8	10	86	10.8	1	21
Juwan JohnsonTE	4	4	66	16.5	0	25
Devaughn VeleWR	5	7	64	12.8	0	29
Oscar DelpTE	1	1	8	8.0	0	8
Bryce LanceWR	1	1	8	8.0	0	8
Kevin Austin Jr.WR	1	1	7	7.0	0	7
Alvin KamaraRB	5	6	7	1.4	0	6
Travis Etienne Jr.RB	2	2	6	3.0	0	6

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Pete WernerLB	11	8	1	1	0	1
Kaden EllissLB	6	4	0	1	0	2
Carl GrandersonDE	5	2	0	1	0	0
Danny StutsmanLB	4	2	0	0	0	0
Nathan ShepherdDT	4	1	0.5	0	0	1
Justin ReidS	3	3	0	0	0	0
Martin Emerson Jr.CB	3	3	0	0	0	0
Kool-Aid McKinstryCB	3	3	0	0	1	0
Jonas SankerS	3	3	0	0	0	0
Anfernee JenningsLB	3	1	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Daniel Carlson	3/3	100.0	51	1/1	10

Baltimore Ravens

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Lamar JacksonQB	21/31	235	7.6	1	1	3-31	69.4	87.4

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Derrick HenryRB	16	68	4.3	1	8
Lamar JacksonQB	4	34	8.5	0	13
Justice HillRB	2	6	3.0	0	6

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Rashod BatemanWR	7	9	88	12.6	1	22
Mark AndrewsTE	6	7	49	8.2	0	14
Devontez WalkerWR	1	2	47	47.0	0	47
Derrick HenryRB	3	3	19	6.3	0	20
LaJohntay WesterWR	1	2	14	14.0	0	14
Justice HillRB	2	2	12	6.0	0	8
Chris MooreWR	1	3	6	6.0	0	6
Durham SmytheTE	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Kyle HamiltonS	13	7	0	1	0	0
Roquan SmithLB	8	2	0	0	0	0
Trenton SimpsonLB	6	5	0	1	0	0
Nate WigginsCB	6	3	0	0	0	0
Jaylinn HawkinsS	5	3	0	0	0	0
Marlon HumphreyCB	4	4	0	0	1	0
Malaki StarksS	4	3	0	0	0	0
Trey HendricksonLB	3	3	1	1	0	1
Zion YoungLB	3	2	0	0	0	0
Broderick Washington Jr.DT	3	1	0	0	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Tyler LoopPK	1/2	50.0	49	2/2	5

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Alvin KamaraRB→ Travis Etienne Jr.

Jordyn TysonWR→ Bryce Lance

William ShermanC→ Erik McCoy

Martin Emerson Jr.RCB→ Quincy Riley

Jacoby BrissettQB→ Lamar Jackson

Zay FlowersWR→ Chris Moore

Ja'Kobi LaneWR→ LaJohntay Wester

Cam JurgensC→ Jovaughn Gwyn

Nnamdi MadubuikeLDE→ Tavius Robinson

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