Dolphins at Bills: Week 11 preview, odds and injuries

Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22 · Highmark Stadium1 PM ET

at1 PMET · CBS

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 3:42 PM ET

The Miami Dolphins (1-7) visit the Buffalo Bills (7-1) on Sun, Nov 22, 1 PM ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY (Week 11, 2026 season), on CBS.

When and where is Dolphins vs Bills?

Sun, Nov 22, 1 PM ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. TV: CBS.

Who is injured for Dolphins vs Bills?

Dolphins: Darrell Baker Jr. (CB, out, undisclosed), Zach Sieler (DT, out, biceps), Jaylen Wright (RB, questionable, quadriceps), Malik Willis (QB, questionable, groin) and Will Kacmarek (TE, questionable, quadriceps). Bills: Tyrell Shavers (WR, out, knee - acl), Alec Anderson (OT, questionable, ankle), Dion Dawkins (OT, questionable, ribs) and Greg Gaines (DT, questionable, calf).

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Dolphins at Bills: Week 11 preview”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-22-mia-at-buf (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

Regular season through week 10 · rank out of 32

Where this game will be decided

1Bills dropback offense vs Dolphins pass defense
The Bills' dropback offense ranks 4th in EPA per dropback (+0.25, 277 dropbacks) against a Dolphins pass defense ranked 32nd (+0.26 allowed, 247 dropbacks faced).
4thBUF offense28 spots apart32ndMIA defense
2Bills third-down offense vs Dolphins third-down defense
The Bills' third-down offense ranks 5th in third-down conversion rate (45.7%, 92 third downs) against a Dolphins third-down defense ranked 31st (50.0% allowed, 94 third downs faced).
5thBUF offense26 spots apart31stMIA defense
3Bills big-play offense vs Dolphins defense against big plays
The Bills' big-play offense ranks 1st in explosive-play rate (13.5%, 504 plays) against a Dolphins defense against big plays ranked 21st (9.9% allowed, 454 plays faced).
1stBUF offense20 spots apart21stMIA defense

When the Dolphins have the ballEdge BUF · +14 ranks

MIA dropback offenseEPA per dropbackBUF pass defense

23rd-0.02257 dropbacks

+0.05 allowed328 dropbacks faced16th

MIA run gameEPA per rushBUF run defense

22nd-0.13189 rushes

BUF +14

-0.11 allowed176 rushes faced8th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Bills have the ballEdge BUF · +28 ranks

BUF dropback offenseEPA per dropbackMIA pass defense

4th+0.25277 dropbacks

BUF +28

+0.26 allowed247 dropbacks faced32nd

BUF run gameEPA per rushMIA run defense

7th+0.00227 rushes

BUF +15

-0.06 allowed207 rushes faced22nd

Third downEdge BUF · +26 ranks

MIA third-down offensethird-down conversion rateBUF third-down defense

11th42.6%101 third downs

39.0% allowed100 third downs faced14th

BUF third-down offensethird-down conversion rateMIA third-down defense

5th45.7%92 third downs

BUF +26

50.0% allowed94 third downs faced31st

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneNo big edge

MIA red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateBUF red-zone defense

25th50%20 trips

63% allowed30 trips faced21st

BUF red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateMIA red-zone defense

9th65%34 trips

59% allowed32 trips faced16th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge BUF · +20 ranks

MIA big-play offenseexplosive-play rateBUF defense against big plays

6th10.3%446 plays

MIA +10

9.5% allowed504 plays faced16th

BUF big-play offenseexplosive-play rateMIA defense against big plays

1st13.5%504 plays

BUF +20

9.9% allowed454 plays faced21st

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge BUF · +10 ranks

MIA pass protectionsack rateBUF pass rush

30th9.3% sacked257 dropbacks

BUF +9

5.2% of dropbacks328 dropbacks faced21st

BUF pass protectionsack rateMIA pass rush

18th6.1% sacked277 dropbacks

BUF +10

4.9% of dropbacks247 dropbacks faced28th

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge BUF · +14 ranks

MIA ball securityturnovers per gameBUF takeaway defense

19th1.3 giveaways a game8 games

BUF +14

1.5 takeaways a game8 games5th

BUF ball securityturnovers per gameMIA takeaway defense

23rd1.5 giveaways a game8 games

0.9 takeaways a game8 games28th

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

AbsencesMIA 1 · BUF 0 regulars out or doubtful

Dolphins5 listed

1 of them is a regular ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QMalik WillisQB100% offense · 8 wk
OUTZach SielerDT76% defense · 8 wk
QWill KacmarekTE41% offense · 8 wk
QJaylen WrightRB14% offense · 6 wk
OUTDarrell Baker Jr.CBno snaps

Bills4 listed

0 of them are regulars ruled out or doubtful (60%+ of their unit's snaps across 3+ weeks on the field).

QDion DawkinsOT99% offense · 7 wk
QGreg GainesDT32% defense · 6 wk
OUTTyrell ShaversWRno snaps
QAlec AndersonOTno snaps

Snap share is the average of the weeks each player was on the field this season. Full injury report ↓

Rest & travelSame rest · MIA travels 1,165 mi

AwayDolphins

7days since last game

1,165miles to get here

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 10 at IND · Indianapolis · 14,622 mi flown this season

Normal week

Rest edgeEvensame restTravel gap 1,165 mi

HomeBills

7days since last game

0miles · home

0time zones

Last: Sun wk 10 at NYJ · East Rutherford · 12,423 mi flown this season

Normal week

League splits for these situations ↓

Sample: MIA 8 games, 446 offensive and 454 defensive plays · BUF 8 games, 504 offensive and 504 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Season to date · rank out of 32