Eagles 10, Commanders 27: drive chart, EPA and box score

Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · Northwest StadiumFinal

Final

	1	2	3	4	T
PHI	10	0	0	0	10
WSH	3	10	3	11	27

Home · 2-5-1WashingtonCommanders27

At a glanceUpdated Nov 10, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

The Washington Commanders beat the Philadelphia Eagles 27-10 on Sun, Nov 1 at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD (Week 8, 2026 season). Records after the game: Eagles 2-7, Commanders 2-5-1. T.Burks (WAS) led all players with +4.7 EPA on 5 targets.

Who won Eagles vs Commanders?

The Washington Commanders won 27-10. By quarter: PHI 10-0-0-0, WSH 3-10-3-11.

Who was the best player in Eagles vs Commanders?

By expected points added: T.Burks (WAS, +4.7 EPA on 5 targets), D.Goedert (PHI, +1.9 EPA on 4 targets) and R.White (WAS, +1.8 EPA on 11 carries).

What was the turning point of Eagles vs Commanders?

The biggest swing in win probability (13 points toward the Commanders) came in Q3 at 2:59: (Shotgun) T.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (D.Armstrong), RECOVERED by WAS-C.Omenihu at WAS 40.

Cite this page

Pigskin Nightly, “Eagles 10, Commanders 27: Week 8 recap”, https://pigskinnightly.com/games/2026-11-01-phi-at-wsh (updated 2026-11-10).

How we calculate Plain-text version Report an error

The Verdict

Week 8 issue →

Week 8EarnedGame file →

Eagles40% success · −0.16 EPA/play

1027

Commanders41% success · +0.05 EPA/play

PHI 2% deserveddeserved 98% WSH

Commanders earned it: the snaps said Commanders by 11.4, a deserved win probability of 98%.

Deserved marginWSH by 11.4

Real marginWSH by 17

Luck pts PHI+0.1

Luck pts WSH+2.3

The swingQ3 2:59 · PHI · −20 pts of win probability. (Shotgun) 16-T.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (92-D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (92-D.Armstrong), RECOVERED by WAS-90-C.Omenihu at WAS 40.

Flags that moved this game

1Roughing the PasserWAS → helped PHI · Wk 8 Q3 0:10 · (Shotgun) 16-T.McKee pass short right intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 23-T.Amos at PHI 29. 23-T.Amos to PHI 29 for no…+4.5 WP
2Defensive OffsidePHI → helped WAS · Wk 8 Q1 12:25 · (Shotgun) 5-J.Daniels pass deep left intended for 13-T.Burks INTERCEPTED by 24-A.Mukuba at PHI -4. Touchback. PHI-24-A.Mukuba…+4.2 WP

Fourth downs our model disagreed with

1PHI · 4th & 6Nick Sirianni chose Punt at opp 48, Wk 8 Q3 10:18, down 3. Model: Go for it (lean). Result: punted.−0.25 EP

Deserved win probability from the snaps, fumble bounces evened out. How we judge

From the Lab

This game, re-drawn

All Lab tools →

Game DNA154 plays, one strand1 lead change · 12 explosive plays · downloadable poster →

Officiating crewShawn Hochuli15 accepted flags in this game · 14.4 a game this season (about league average)Market vs SnapsLine: WSH by 6 · Snaps: WSH by 11.4Commanders covered; the snaps agree

10@27

Week 8

If the 42-yard kick had missed

Eagles after the play6%what really happened

Q4 3:48 19-D.Stevens 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-10-T.Way.

Every game's sliding door →

Home win probability, play by play

The river

100%

Hover, tap or drag along the river to read any play. Arrow keys work too. Click to jump to its drive.

WSH ▲PHI ▼

Q1Q2Q3Q4

The five biggest swings

+13%Q3 2:59 · for WSH(Shotgun) T.McKee sacked at WAS 44 for -7 yards (D.Armstrong). FUMBLES (D.Armstrong), RECOVERED by WAS-C.Omenihu at WAS 40.
+9%Q3 2:51 · for WSH(Shotgun) J.Daniels pass deep right to T.Burks to PHI 7 for 53 yards (Q.Mitchell).Penalty on PHI-Q.Mitchell, Illegal Contact, declined.
+9%Q4 9:43 · for WSH(Shotgun) T.McKee pass short right to E.Mitchell pushed ob at WAS 13 for no gain (S.Styles).
+8%Q4 9:01 · for WSHJ.Elliott 41 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.
+7%Q1 0:28 · for WSHD.Stevens 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.

Every drive, on the field

WSH attacks →← PHI attacks

Q1 15:00MISS7p · 13y · 2:51
Q1 12:09PUNT3p · 1y · 1:36
Q1 10:33PUNT3p · 7y · 0:53
Q1 9:40FG7p · 40y · 3:30
Q1 6:10FUM1p · 1y · 0:41
Q1 5:29TD3p · 26y · 1:02
Q1 4:27FG10p · 27y · 3:59
Q1 0:28PUNT8p · 23y · 4:42
Q2 10:46TD11p · 89y · 5:50
Q2 4:56PUNT5p · 17y · 2:25
Q2 2:31PUNT3p · 9y · 0:59
Q2 1:32PUNT3p · 8y · 0:42
Q2 0:50FG5p · 29y · 0:31
Q2 0:19HALF1p · 3y · 0:19
Q3 15:00PUNT7p · 27y · 4:54
Q3 10:06PUNT6p · 14y · 3:46
Q3 6:20FUM6p · 22y · 3:29
Q3 2:51FG5p · 53y · 1:18
Q3 1:33MISS15p · 57y · 7:35
Q4 8:58FG8p · 45y · 5:15
Q4 3:43INT4p · -15y · 1:25
Q4 2:18TD3p · 37y · 0:26
Q4 1:52END8p · 69y · 1:52

Eagles10 drives2scoring drives (1 TD)20%drives ending in pointsOWN 37avg starting field position2three-and-outs2turnovers incl. downs

Commanders11 drives6scoring drives (2 TD)55%drives ending in pointsOWN 30avg starting field position2three-and-outs1turnovers incl. downs

Scoring summary

Q1
6:10Field goal J.Elliott 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.3–0
Q1
4:27TouchdownF.Johnson and W.Lampkin reported in as eligible. Direct snap to S.Barkley. S.Barkley right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-R.Underwood, Holder-B.Mann.10–0
Q1
0:28Field goalD.Stevens 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.10–3
Q2
4:56Touchdown(No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Daniels pass short right to S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. D.Stevens extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.10–10
Q2
0:19Field goalD.Stevens 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.10–13
Q3
1:33Field goal D.Stevens 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.10–16
Q4
3:43Field goalD.Stevens 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Ott, Holder-T.Way.10–19
Q4
1:52TouchdownR.White up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. A.Ekeler rushes left guard. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.10–27

Team stats

PHIvsWSH

268Total yards339

177Passing yards204

91Rushing yards135

3.9Yards per play5.9

17First downs16

5-15 · 33%Third down5-13 · 38%

1-2Fourth down0-0

1-2Red zone TDs2-3

23/34Comp / att16/29

3.1Yards per carry5.2

2Turnovers1

5 (−35 yds)Sacks allowed2 (−13 yds)

6 for 30Penalties9 for 70

33:31Possession26:29

Expected points added · nflverse model

The game in EPA

EPA per play-0.191+0.023

Dropback EPA-0.213-0.006

Rush EPA-0.152+0.061

Success rate40%41%

Explosive plays48

Plays6858

Who moved the needle

T.BurksTargets: 5+4.7

D.GoedertTargets: 4+1.9

R.WhiteCarries: 11+1.8

S.DiggsTargets: 6+1.1

M.LemonTargets: 9+1.0

A.WilliamsTargets: 7+0.9

Cost their side the most

T.McKeeDropbacks: 43-9.2

E.MitchellTargets: 6-5.0

D.CooperTargets: 6-4.3

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Tanner McKeeQB	23/34	212	6.2	0	1	5-35	32.7	72.2

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Elijah MitchellRB	11	34	3.1	0	9
Saquon BarkleyRB	13	30	2.3	1	5
Tanner McKeeQB	4	25	6.3	0	15
Dallas GoedertTE	1	2	2.0	0	2

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	LONG
Makai LemonWR	6	9	57	9.5	20
Eli StowersTE	3	3	53	17.7	34
Dallas GoedertTE	4	4	30	7.5	16
Saquon BarkleyRB	1	1	24	24.0	24
Darius CooperWR	2	6	19	9.5	11
Hollywood BrownWR	2	2	17	8.5	9
Jaydon BlueRB	1	1	9	9.0	9
Elijah MitchellRB	4	6	3	0.8	4

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.LB	10	6	0	0	0	0
Andrew MukubaS	9	7	0	0	1	0
Zack BaunLB	7	4	0	0	0	0
Jalen CarterDT	5	2	1	1	1	1
Kenny Moore IICB	3	3	0	0	0	0
Riq WoolenCB	3	3	0	0	0	0
Quinyon MitchellCB	3	3	0	0	0	0
Nolan Smith Jr.LB	3	1	1	1	0	2
Moro OjomoDT	3	1	0	1	0	1
Cooper DeJeanCB	3	1	0	1	0	0

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Jake ElliottPK	1/2	50.0	40	1/1	4

Washington Commanders

Passing	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	SACKS	QBR	RTG
Jayden DanielsQB	16/29	217	7.5	1	0	2-13	58.7	90.7

Rushing	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Rachaad WhiteRB	11	55	5.0	1	33
Austin EkelerRB	8	36	4.5	0	18
Jayden DanielsQB	2	23	11.5	0	14
Jeremy McNicholsRB	5	21	4.2	0	7

Receiving	REC	TGTS	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Treylon BurksWR	3	5	81	27.0	0	53
Antonio WilliamsWR	5	7	54	10.8	0	30
Stefon DiggsWR	3	6	38	12.7	1	20
Chig OkonkwoTE	2	4	32	16.0	0	21
Jeremy McNicholsRB	1	1	7	7.0	0	7
Rachaad WhiteRB	2	3	5	2.5	0	4
Van JeffersonWR	0	1	0	0.0	0	0

Defense	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HTS
Nick CrossS	9	5	0	1	0	0
Sonny StylesLB	8	4	0	0	0	0
Frankie LuvuLB	8	3	0	0	0	0
Dorance ArmstrongDE	7	4	1	1	0	0
Jeremy ReavesS	7	3	0	0	0	0
Shy TuttleDT	6	4	1	2	0	1
Amik RobertsonCB	6	3	0	1	0	0
K'Lavon ChaissonLB	4	3	1	1	0	4
Trey AmosCB	4	3	0	0	2	0
Charles OmenihuDE	4	2	1	1	0	3

Kicking	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Drew StevensPK	4/5	80.0	56	1/1	13

Before kickoff · Regular season through week 7 · rank out of 32

Where it was expected to be decided

1Commanders ball security vs Eagles takeaway defense
The Commanders' ball security ranks 1st in turnovers per game (0.3 giveaways a game, 6 games) against a Eagles takeaway defense ranked 31st (0.4 takeaways a game, 7 games).
1stWSH offense30 spots apart31stPHI defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters
2Eagles red-zone offense vs Commanders red-zone defense
The Eagles' red-zone offense ranks 6th in red-zone touchdown rate (68%, 19 trips) against a Commanders red-zone defense ranked 31st (82% allowed, 22 trips faced).
6thPHI offense25 spots apart31stWSH defenseSmall sample, read with care Why sample size matters
3Commanders defense against big plays vs Eagles big-play offense
The Commanders' defense against big plays ranks 12th in explosive-play rate (8.5% allowed, 376 plays faced) and faces a Eagles big-play offense ranked 31st (5.4%, 410 plays).
31stPHI offense19 spots apart12thWSH defense

When the Eagles have the ballNo big edge

PHI dropback offenseEPA per dropbackWSH pass defense

27th-0.10266 dropbacks

+0.14 allowed246 dropbacks faced26th

PHI run gameEPA per rushWSH run defense

22nd-0.14144 rushes

-0.07 allowed130 rushes faced20th

Dropbacks include sacks and scrambles; rushes are designed runs. What EPA measures.

When the Commanders have the ballEdge WSH · +9 ranks

WSH dropback offenseEPA per dropbackPHI pass defense

19th+0.06240 dropbacks

WSH +8

+0.16 allowed267 dropbacks faced27th

WSH run gameEPA per rushPHI run defense

23rd-0.14137 rushes

WSH +9

+0.05 allowed202 rushes faced32nd

Third downEdge PHI · +12 ranks

PHI third-down offensethird-down conversion rateWSH third-down defense

25th37.9%95 third downs

46.3% allowed80 third downs faced26th

WSH third-down offensethird-down conversion ratePHI third-down defense

32nd30.9%81 third downs

PHI +12

42.7% allowed103 third downs faced20th

Conversions are third-down snaps that gained a first down or scored.

Red zoneEdge PHI · +25 ranks

PHI red-zone offensered-zone touchdown rateWSH red-zone defense

6th68%19 trips

PHI +25

82% allowed22 trips faced31st

WSH red-zone offensered-zone touchdown ratePHI red-zone defense

23rd50%18 trips

59% allowed27 trips faced16th

A trip is a drive with at least one snap inside the opponent's 20; the rate is trips that ended in an offensive touchdown. Small samples swing fast here.

Explosive playsEdge WSH · +19 ranks

PHI big-play offenseexplosive-play rateWSH defense against big plays

31st5.4%410 plays

WSH +19

8.5% allowed376 plays faced12th

WSH big-play offenseexplosive-play ratePHI defense against big plays

19th8.8%377 plays

9.4% allowed469 plays faced14th

Completions of 20+ yards and runs of 10+, per snap. Definition.

Pressure & sacksEdge WSH · +16 ranks

PHI pass protectionsack rateWSH pass rush

21st6.8% sacked266 dropbacks

4.5% of dropbacks246 dropbacks faced25th

WSH pass protectionsack ratePHI pass rush

16th5.8% sacked240 dropbacks

WSH +16

3.0% of dropbacks267 dropbacks faced32nd

Sacks per dropback. The public play-by-play has no pressure charting, so this is the sack side of it only.

TurnoversEdge WSH · +30 ranks

PHI ball securityturnovers per gameWSH takeaway defense

11th0.9 giveaways a game7 games

1.3 takeaways a game6 games12th

WSH ball securityturnovers per gamePHI takeaway defense

1st0.3 giveaways a game6 games

WSH +30

0.4 takeaways a game7 games31st

Interceptions and lost fumbles on offensive snaps, per game. Turnover rates are among the least stable numbers in football.

Sample: PHI 7 games, 410 offensive and 469 defensive plays · WSH 6 games, 377 offensive and 376 defensive plays. Rank 1 is the best offense or the best defense in each stat. Keys are the largest rank gaps (12+ spots) between an offense and the defense it faces, one per stat. Ranks are not schedule-adjusted.

Starters, confirmed

ConfirmedEvery game →

Confirmed from the official snap counts: at every position group the starters are the snap leaders. Expected lineup = today's depth chart, adjusted for the injury report.

Expected, did not start

Joe MiltonQB→ Tanner McKee

Saquon BarkleyRB→ Elijah Mitchell

Byron YoungLDE→ Jordan Davis

Marcus EppsSS→ Kenny Moore II

Nick AllegrettiC→ Lucas Patrick

Shy TuttleRDE→ K'Lavon Chaisson

AwayEagles3 next man up · 1 questionable · 4 changes