Week 6 · 2026Saints 34 · 27 Giants
165 plays, one strand. Saints won after 1 lead change; Saints peaked at 100% to win, Giants at 85%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for NYG, down for NO, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line1 lead change; Saints peaked at 100% to win, Giants at 85%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Giants win, play by play. High = NYG in control, low = NO in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for NYG on offense, down for NO; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: NO on the left, NYG on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.1 expected points for Saints.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q2 0:05 · NO · Touchdown+4.1 EP
6-T.Shough pass short middle to 18-B.Lance for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 2Q3 12:31 · NO · Touchdown+3.6 EP
6-T.Shough pass short right to 41-A.Kamara for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 3Q3 4:23 · NYG · Interception−5.4 EP
19-J.Winston pass short left intended for 1-M.Nabers INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Emerson at NO 26. 22-M.Emerson pushed ob at NO 38 for 12 yards (1-M
- 4Q4 12:28 · NYG · Interception−5.6 EP
19-J.Winston pass deep middle intended for 9-I.Likely INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Blackmon at NYG 42. 23-J.Blackmon to NYG 21 for 21 yards (88-M.Fie
- 5Q4 10:27 · NYG · Interception−3.9 EP
18-J.McCarthy pass short right intended for 88-M.Fields INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Emerson at NO 37. 22-M.Emerson to NO 44 for 7 yards (88-M.Fields
- 6Q4 9:40 · NO · Fumble lost−5.1 EP
43-C.Donaldson up the middle to NYG 48 for 1 yard (25-J.Pinnock; 52-A.Reese). FUMBLES (25-J.Pinnock), RECOVERED by NYG-52-A.Reese at NYG 48.
- 7Q4 5:54 · NYG · Completion+3.4 EP
18-J.McCarthy pass deep left to 89-C.Jones to NO 24 for 49 yards (29-Q.Riley). ** Injury Update: NO-22-M.Emerson has returned to the game.
- 8Q4 5:11 · NYG · Touchdown+3.1 EP
18-J.McCarthy pass deep left to 9-I.Likely for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 58-yard kick had missed
Q2 1:23 10-D.Carlson 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright.