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The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 6 · 2026Cardinals 18 · 16 Rams

146 plays, one strand. Cardinals won after 4 lead changes; Cardinals peaked at 89% to win, Rams at 67%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAR, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.

Bottom line4 lead changes; Cardinals peaked at 89% to win, Rams at 67%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Rams win, play by play. High = LAR in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for LAR on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Rams ↑Cardinals ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1INTTDFUMTDLAR ↑ HOMEARI ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: ARI on the left, LAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
ARILAR
70Plays57
338Yards286
4Explosive plays3
0Offensive TDs2
1Turnovers1
89%Peak win prob.67%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
LARPunt9yARIINT5yLARFG6yARIFG37yLARPunt8yARIFG68yLARTD68yARIPunt6yLARPunt4yARIFG64yLAR–12yARIFG66yLAR–41yARIFG63yLARFUM14yARIPunt4yLAR–33yARIPunt0yLARTD91yARIFG25y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.3 expected points against Cardinals.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 12:23 · ARI · Interception

    7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 85-T.McBride INTERCEPTED by 37-Q.Lake [55-B.Fiske] at ARI 32. 37-Q.Lake pushed ob at ARI 32 for no

    −4.3 EP
  2. 2
    Q1 8:57 · ARI · Completion

    7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 85-T.McBride to LA 27 for 26 yards (3-K.Curl).

    +2.4 EP
  3. 3
    Q1 1:04 · ARI · Run

    20-Z.Knight left end to LA 10 for 31 yards (37-Q.Lake).

    +2.4 EP
  4. 4
    Q2 8:29 · LAR · Touchdown

    9-M.Stafford pass short right to 24-B.Corum for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +2.5 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 2:44 · LAR · Run

    87-D.Allen up the middle to ARI 27 for no gain (50-J.Gibbens; 1-Ma.Wilson). ARI-97-W.Nolen was injured during the play. ARI-10-J.Sweat was i

    −4.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q4 8:05 · LAR · Fumble lost

    9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to ARI 22 for 8 yards (0-C.Simon). FUMBLES (0-C.Simon), RECOVERED by ARI-29-D.Burke at ARI 25.

    −4.3 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 2:01 · LAR · Completion

    9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 12-P.Nacua to ARI 34 for 43 yards (21-G.Williams) [56-D.Robinson].

    +2.3 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 0:47 · ARI · Completion

    7-J.Brissett pass deep middle to 86-J.Brooks to LA 44 for 21 yards (30-J.Wallace). PENALTY on LA-30-J.Wallace, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yar

    +2.9 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
18@16Week 6Changes the winner

If the 43-yard kick had missed

Rams after the play0%what really happened
RamsCardinalsthe rest never happened

Q4 0:03 38-C.Ryland 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

Week 6

The rest of the week