Week 6 · 2026Cardinals 18 · 16 Rams
146 plays, one strand. Cardinals won after 4 lead changes; Cardinals peaked at 89% to win, Rams at 67%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for LAR, down for ARI, as long as the yards it gained.
↳Bottom line4 lead changes; Cardinals peaked at 89% to win, Rams at 67%.
?How to read this chart
- Read it left to right:
- kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
- The white line
- is the chance that Rams win, play by play. High = LAR in control, low = ARI in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
- Each little bar is one play:
- up for LAR on offense, down for ARI; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
The strands compared
?How to read this chart
- Each row compares the two teams
- on one stat: ARI on the left, LAR on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
- Explosive plays
- are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
Every possession
?How to read this chart
- Each tile is one possession,
- in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
- Inside:
- the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
The plays that moved it most
↳Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 4.3 expected points against Cardinals.
?How to read this chart
- The strip is the game clock;
- each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
- EP (expected points)
- is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
- 1Q1 12:23 · ARI · Interception−4.3 EP
7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 85-T.McBride INTERCEPTED by 37-Q.Lake [55-B.Fiske] at ARI 32. 37-Q.Lake pushed ob at ARI 32 for no
- 2Q1 8:57 · ARI · Completion+2.4 EP
7-J.Brissett pass short middle to 85-T.McBride to LA 27 for 26 yards (3-K.Curl).
- 3Q1 1:04 · ARI · Run+2.4 EP
20-Z.Knight left end to LA 10 for 31 yards (37-Q.Lake).
- 4Q2 8:29 · LAR · Touchdown+2.5 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short right to 24-B.Corum for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- 5Q3 2:44 · LAR · Run−4.0 EP
87-D.Allen up the middle to ARI 27 for no gain (50-J.Gibbens; 1-Ma.Wilson). ARI-97-W.Nolen was injured during the play. ARI-10-J.Sweat was i
- 6Q4 8:05 · LAR · Fumble lost−4.3 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee to ARI 22 for 8 yards (0-C.Simon). FUMBLES (0-C.Simon), RECOVERED by ARI-29-D.Burke at ARI 25.
- 7Q4 2:01 · LAR · Completion+2.3 EP
9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 12-P.Nacua to ARI 34 for 43 yards (21-G.Williams) [56-D.Robinson].
- 8Q4 0:47 · ARI · Completion+2.9 EP
7-J.Brissett pass deep middle to 86-J.Brooks to LA 44 for 21 yards (30-J.Wallace). PENALTY on LA-30-J.Wallace, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yar
The one play that could have changed it
?How to read this chart
- The line is win probability
- over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
- Press Flip it
- to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
If the 43-yard kick had missed
Q4 0:03 38-C.Ryland 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-C.Kreiter, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.