The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 6 · 2026Steelers 26 · 19 Buccaneers

171 plays, one strand. Steelers won after 1 lead change; Steelers peaked at 94% to win, Buccaneers at 96%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for TB, down for PIT, as long as the yards it gained.

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Bottom line1 lead change; Steelers peaked at 94% to win, Buccaneers at 96%.

How to read this chart

Read it left to right:: kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line: is the chance that Buccaneers win, play by play. High = TB in control, low = PIT in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:: up for TB on offense, down for PIT; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).

Buccaneers ↑

Steelers ↓

win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete

Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart

Each row compares the two teams: on one stat: PIT on the left, TB on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays: are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.

PITTB

73Plays73

301Yards224

3Explosive plays5

2Offensive TDs1

1Turnovers2

94%Peak win prob.96%

Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart

Each tile is one possession,: in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:: the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.

TBPunt-14yPITPunt2yTBPunt5yPITINT0yTBFG14yPIT–40yTBTD38yPITPunt8yTBPunt20yPITFG ✕36yTBFG33yPITPunt-13yTBPunt6yPITFG43yPITPunt2yTBFG70yPITPunt4yTBPunt5yPITTD53yTBINT3yPITFG29yTBPunt-1yPITFG25yTBINT0yPITFG2yTBFG30yPITTD70yTB–15y

Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 2.7 expected points against Buccaneers.

How to read this chart

The strip is the game clock;: each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points): is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.

12345678

1
Q1 13:30 · TB · Sack
10-J.Daniels sacked at TB 16 for -15 yards (5-J.Ramsey).
−2.7 EP
2
Q1 10:51 · PIT · Interception
8-A.Rodgers pass short right intended for 80-D.Washington INTERCEPTED by 91-A.Robinson (3-R.Bain) [0-Y.Diaby] at PIT 39. 91-A.Robinson to PI
−5.3 EP
3
Q2 7:15 · PIT · Missed field goal
9-C.Boswell 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.
−3.7 EP
4
Q4 15:00 · PIT · Completion
8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 4-D.Metcalf to TB 29 for 17 yards (27-Z.McCollum; 5-I.Melifonwu).
+3.0 EP
5
Q4 13:14 · TB · Interception
10-J.Daniels pass short left intended for 2-E.Egbuka INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Everette [97-C.Heyward] at TB 45. 23-D.Everette ran ob at TB 45 for
−3.2 EP
6
Q4 2:47 · PIT · Sack
8-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 40 for -9 yards (51-D.Walker).
−2.8 EP
7
Q4 2:00 · PIT · Field goal
9-C.Boswell 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Holder-19-C.Johnston.
+2.9 EP
8
Q4 1:46 · TB · Interception
10-J.Daniels pass short right intended for 2-E.Egbuka INTERCEPTED by 35-J.Dean at TB 43. 35-J.Dean pushed ob at TB 3 for 40 yards (10-J.Dani
−6.9 EP

Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →

How to read this chart

The line is win probability: over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it: to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.

26@19

Week 6Changes the winner

If that interception had fallen incomplete

Buccaneers after the play19%what really happened

Q4 1:46 10-J.Daniels pass short right intended for 2-E.Egbuka INTERCEPTED by 35-J.Dean at TB 43. 35-J.Dean pushed ob at TB 3 for 40 yards (10-J.Daniels).

Week 6

The rest of the week

17@23