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Week 10
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WSH ThuNYG NE SunDET BUF SunNYJ CAR SunNO HOU SunCLE JAX SunTEN KC SunATL MIA SunIND MIN SunGB LAR SunARI SEA SunLV SF SunDAL PIT SunCIN LAC MonBAL
The LabEvery game, drawn from every snap

Week 6 · 2026Chargers 6 · 22 Chiefs

142 plays, one strand. Chiefs won without the lead ever changing hands; Chargers peaked at 44% to win, Chiefs at 100%. The white spine is the win probability, every rung a snap: up for KC, down for LAC, as long as the yards it gained.

Game pageDownload poster (SVG)All games

Bottom lineThe lead never changed hands; Chargers peaked at 44% to win, Chiefs at 100%.

How to read this chart
Read it left to right:
kickoff on the left, final whistle on the right.
The white line
is the chance that Chiefs win, play by play. High = KC in control, low = LAC in control, the middle is a coin flip. Each crossing of the middle is a change in who was more likely to win.
Each little bar is one play:
up for KC on offense, down for LAC; the longer the bar, the more yards. The key under the picture explains the marks (touchdown, turnover, field goal, punt).
Chiefs ↑Chargers ↓
Q2Q3Q4Q1TDINTINTTDFUMKC ↑ HOMELAC ↓ AWAY
win probabilityhome snapaway snaptouchdownturnoverfield goalpuntincomplete
Head to head

The strands compared

How to read this chart
Each row compares the two teams
on one stat: LAC on the left, KC on the right. The longer bar is the bigger number.
Explosive plays
are long gains (big runs and passes). Peak win prob. is the highest chance to win each team reached at any moment.
LACKC
63Plays55
259Yards425
1Explosive plays7
0Offensive TDs2
2Turnovers1
44%Peak win prob.100%
Drive by drive

Every possession

How to read this chart
Each tile is one possession,
in game order, colored by the team that had the ball.
Inside:
the team, how it ended (TD = touchdown, FG = field goal, INT = interception, FUM = fumble, otherwise punt or downs) and the yards gained. Brighter tiles are drives that scored.
KCFG61yLACPunt-1yKCTD67yLACFG49yKCPunt12yLACINT27yKCINT15yLACPunt20yKCTD80yLACPunt8yKCFG33yLACFG70yKC–62yLACPunt1yLACPunt-2yKCPunt8yLAC–34yKCFG ✕27yLACFUM19yKCFG60yLAC–34y
Key moments

The plays that moved it most

Largest swings in expected points

Bottom lineThe biggest swing: play 1, 3.5 expected points for Chiefs.

How to read this chart
The strip is the game clock;
each numbered dot is one of the plays below, placed when it happened and colored by the team on offense.
EP (expected points)
is how many points the play added to (+) or took away from (−) the offense's expected score. +3.5 EP is worth more than a field goal; big minus numbers are usually turnovers.
12345678
  1. 1
    Q1 7:29 · KC · Touchdown

    9-K.Walker up the middle for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

    +3.5 EP
  2. 2
    Q2 10:59 · LAC · Interception

    10-J.Herbert pass short right intended for 84-K.Lambert-Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-J.Cochrane [97-A.Gillotte] at KC 35. 43-J.Cochrane pushed ob

    −7.9 EP
  3. 3
    Q2 8:37 · KC · Interception

    15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 85-A.Armstrong INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Hart [93-T.Tart] at LAC -9. Touchback.

    −5.8 EP
  4. 4
    Q3 12:26 · LAC · Completion

    10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 1-Q.Johnston to KC 1 for 57 yards (5-M.Delane).

    +6.2 EP
  5. 5
    Q3 6:34 · KC · Run

    64-H.Nourzad and 92-K.Tonga reported in as eligible. 9-K.Walker left guard to LAC 1 for no gain (92-J.Eboigbe; 58-M.Wax).

    −4.0 EP
  6. 6
    Q3 4:34 · LAC · Punt

    16-J.Scott punts 35 yards to LAC 37, Center-47-J.Harris. 81-N.Remigio to LAC 41 for -4 yards (43-T.Dye). FUMBLES (43-T.Dye), recovered by KC

    +4.8 EP
  7. 7
    Q4 9:50 · LAC · Fumble lost

    10-J.Herbert pass short right to 84-K.Lambert-Smith to KC 36 for 1 yard (38-L.Sneed). FUMBLES (38-L.Sneed), RECOVERED by KC-23-D.Tranquill a

    −4.8 EP
  8. 8
    Q4 1:28 · LAC · Completion

    10-J.Herbert pass short right to 82-T.Wease to KC 26 for 14 yards (23-D.Tranquill). PENALTY on KC-95-C.Jones, Roughing the Passer, 13 yards,

    +4.3 EP
Sliding Doors

The one play that could have changed it

All sliding doors →
How to read this chart
The line is win probability
over the game (top = home team ahead). The dot marks the one play that could have gone either way; the big % is the losing team's chance right after it.
Press Flip it
to see where that chance would have gone if the play had gone the other way. Only that instant is priced: the rest of the game never happened.
6@22Week 6

If the Chargers had recovered that fumble

Chargers after the play22%what really happened
ChiefsChargersthe rest never happened

Q2 4:19 52-C.Humphrey to KC 28 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by KC-15-P.Mahomes at KC 28. 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 49 for 16 yards (0-D.Henley).

Week 6

The rest of the week

Every week →
Seahawks at Broncos, Game DNA14@17Texans at Jaguars, Game DNA34@31Ravens at Browns, Game DNA10@13Panthers at Eagles, Game DNA25@14Bears at Falcons, Game DNA31@23Saints at Giants, Game DNA34@27Jets at Patriots, Game DNA19@26Steelers at Buccaneers, Game DNA26@19Titans at Colts, Game DNA26@20Cardinals at Rams, Game DNA18@16Bills at Raiders, Game DNA33@30Cowboys at Packers, Game DNA13@23Commanders at 49ers, Game DNA17@23